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PSX continues sliding, down 434 points as country on brink of political confrontation

Dalit

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The Pakistan Stock Exchange's (PSX) benchmark KSE-100 index shed more than 400 points on Monday, with analysts attributing the fall to the central bank's hike in the interest rate coulped with the current political situation.

According to the PSX website, the KSE-100 index had gone down by 434.15 points, or 1.02 per cent, around 2:15pm.

Ahsan Mehanti of Arif Habib Corporation attributed the slump to the political deadlock in the country in light of the PTI's long march to Islamabad and the government's reaction to it, saying the situation was making investors anxious.

He said "investors are withdrawing capital from the market while foreign investors are prioritising selling shares," adding that the shares of cement and textile companies were witnessing a sharp decline.

The government has decided to ban the holding of the march by the PTI, blocking routes across Punjab and sealing entry points to the capital a night after it raided houses of PTI activists and leaders across the province.

Imran, on the other hand, has refused to back down and has vowed to continue with the march to the capital along with his supporters, saying it is his right to conduct a peaceful protest.

Mehanti also said the State Bank of Pakistan' s (SBP) decision to hike the interest rate by 150 basis points had also dented sentiment

"It was expected that the rate would be increased by one per cent," he said, adding that the slump could continue for some time.

Ali Malik, chief executive of First National Equities Limited, also echoed similar views, stating that the hike in the policy rate had impacted the market negatively. Malik said investors were choosing to put money in fixed-income securities due to a favourable interest rate.

The country's political scenario, he added, with PTI Chairman Imran Khan calling for a long march on May 25 (tomorrow), had also forced investors to exit the market.

Hamza Shehzad, chief executive of Alpha Beta Core, said: "Until we embark on a comprehensive reforms programme and unless all, or majority, of political parties agree on a common agenda i.e. charter of democracy, and work towards achieving a common goal for the country by running a reform process to undo and redo the system, we will continue to return to such vulnerabilities."

On Monday, the central bank increased the policy rate by 150 basis points to 13.75 per cent in a bid to arrest inflation. The move was aimed at cooling down the overheated economy, which is expected to grow at almost 6pc in 2021-22. Economic growth is expected to moderate to 3.5-4.5pc in 2022-23 on the back of monetary tightening and assumed fiscal consolidation.

The Monetary Policy Committee’s (MPC) baseline outlook assumed continued engagement with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) as well as the reversal of fuel and electricity subsidies together with the normalisation of the petroleum development levy (PDL) and general sales tax on fuel in 2022-23.

Headline inflation is likely to increase temporarily and may remain elevated throughout the next fiscal year, the SBP said, adding that it’s expected to fall to the 5-7pc target range by the end of 2023-24.


It will be very interesting to see how expats react with their remittances.
 
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There is no safe stock market anywhere right now :undecided:
 
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@Wood Looks like your PDM brothers are having a hell of a time performing on the economic front. Aren't you a Showbaz cheerleader from the Indian side? What happened to the promise that Showbaz was going to transform the Pak economy in 24 hours after the US sponsored regime change?
 
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The Pakistan Stock Exchange's (PSX) benchmark KSE-100 index shed more than 400 points on Monday, with analysts attributing the fall to the central bank's hike in the interest rate coulped with the current political situation.

According to the PSX website, the KSE-100 index had gone down by 434.15 points, or 1.02 per cent, around 2:15pm.

Ahsan Mehanti of Arif Habib Corporation attributed the slump to the political deadlock in the country in light of the PTI's long march to Islamabad and the government's reaction to it, saying the situation was making investors anxious.

He said "investors are withdrawing capital from the market while foreign investors are prioritising selling shares," adding that the shares of cement and textile companies were witnessing a sharp decline.

The government has decided to ban the holding of the march by the PTI, blocking routes across Punjab and sealing entry points to the capital a night after it raided houses of PTI activists and leaders across the province.

Imran, on the other hand, has refused to back down and has vowed to continue with the march to the capital along with his supporters, saying it is his right to conduct a peaceful protest.

Mehanti also said the State Bank of Pakistan' s (SBP) decision to hike the interest rate by 150 basis points had also dented sentiment

"It was expected that the rate would be increased by one per cent," he said, adding that the slump could continue for some time.

Ali Malik, chief executive of First National Equities Limited, also echoed similar views, stating that the hike in the policy rate had impacted the market negatively. Malik said investors were choosing to put money in fixed-income securities due to a favourable interest rate.

The country's political scenario, he added, with PTI Chairman Imran Khan calling for a long march on May 25 (tomorrow), had also forced investors to exit the market.

Hamza Shehzad, chief executive of Alpha Beta Core, said: "Until we embark on a comprehensive reforms programme and unless all, or majority, of political parties agree on a common agenda i.e. charter of democracy, and work towards achieving a common goal for the country by running a reform process to undo and redo the system, we will continue to return to such vulnerabilities."

On Monday, the central bank increased the policy rate by 150 basis points to 13.75 per cent in a bid to arrest inflation. The move was aimed at cooling down the overheated economy, which is expected to grow at almost 6pc in 2021-22. Economic growth is expected to moderate to 3.5-4.5pc in 2022-23 on the back of monetary tightening and assumed fiscal consolidation.

The Monetary Policy Committee’s (MPC) baseline outlook assumed continued engagement with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) as well as the reversal of fuel and electricity subsidies together with the normalisation of the petroleum development levy (PDL) and general sales tax on fuel in 2022-23.

Headline inflation is likely to increase temporarily and may remain elevated throughout the next fiscal year, the SBP said, adding that it’s expected to fall to the 5-7pc target range by the end of 2023-24.


It will be very interesting to see how expats react with their remittances.
Markets are tumbling everywhere.
 
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Markets are tumbling everywhere.

LOL Not when Imran Khan was in power. You along with your American sponsored brigade claimed that he mismanaged the economy. Why apply double standards? Just in a matter of days and weeks suddenly all economies are equal and taking a beating? Everyone can see through this charade.

The most hilarious aspect is how Indian lawyers are cheerleading for PDM LOL No, this isn't some genuine affection I assume LOL
 
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@Wood Looks like your PDM brothers are having a hell of a time performing on the economic front. Aren't you a Showbaz cheerleader from the Indian side? What happened to the promise that Showbaz was going to transform the Pak economy in 24 hours after US sponsored regime change?
Shahbaz's administration has been unimpressive so far. Primarily, they have failed to do the obvious move of rolling back Imran's fuel subsidy. Miftah has been flip flopping on this agenda while sheepishly adding more fiscal debt for the exchequer. Shahbaz's lack of political will is a let down for Pakistani economy. Imran may get what he wants politically, but in the process Pakistan's macro economic outlook would take a serious beating.

Now all hopes are on the shoulders of young Bilawal. If he can charm Washington and Beijing to loosen their purse strings, then PDM can still survive the term. Otherwise, their prospects look bleak. Remittances cannot improve much on top of what is already the norm and FDI needs political stability that Imran will not allow for. Fiscal deficit should eventually be paid back either by printing notes or borrowing more external debt. Tough times for Shahbaz (and Pakistan) over all :undecided:
 
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No problem let it crash not major issue let it crash
 
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LOL Not when Imran Khan was in power. You along with your American sponsored brigade claimed that he mismanaged the economy. Why apply double standards? Just in a matter of days and weeks suddenly all economies are equal and taking a beating? Everyone can see through this charade.

The most hilarious aspect is how Indian lawyers are cheerleading for PDM LOL No, this isn't some genuine affection I assume LOL
I have no interest in IKN or SS. He definitely mismanaged the economy. There's no doubt. So will SS. I don't have any doubts about that either. Politicians are wrong in all countries. Yours are particularly horrible.
But, you have to agree markets are falling everywhere. Inflation is at record highs throughout the world. The point is your country is so ill-equipped to handle this crisis that it beggars belief.

There's no genuine affection. I will be honest I would be happy to see Pak fail.
 
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