PPP has extremely slim chance of forming even next provincial government in Sindh if MQM-P and PTI goes into an alliance.
If the above alliance materializes sizeable number of current PPP MNAs/MPAs for example from Ghotki, Jacobabad, Shikarpur, Badin and even Nawabshah will switch sides not because of love for PTI but because of practicality.
PPP in KPK has no chance even if it gets into an alliance with PMLN, and similarly PPP in Punjab has no chance as it has lost the space to PTI for anti PMLN votes. PPP has better chance in few pockets of southern Punjab seats; primarily due to Gilani clan (Multan) and Mahkdoom Syed Ahmed Mahmood (RYK) rest of the southern Punjab will also go with the party who has favourable “winds” let’s see if PTI can get that snatched from PMLN. Northern and Central Punjab PPP is absolutely finished. They have been out of electoral power game (MPA/MNA) for far too long to make a comeback as well as it doesn’t have leaders in both Central nor Northern Punjab to mobilize voters like it can in pockets of Southern Punjab.
With above two (KPK, and Punjab) written off for PPP, Sindh slipping away (just see what’s coming in Dec/Jan) the fourth; Balochistan has its own dynamics and they will go with whoever forms the Fed Govt.,
As one of the members has pointed out above; if MQM-P and PTI form alliance - I predict PPP will not be able to get what it got in 2013. Not a chance of it happening, specially what’s going to happen to it in December in Punjab - my sincere advice to Bilawal; sell his Bilawal House in Lahore; he’ll be too lonely there ...come 2018!