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Pakistan's pivot to Russia

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Pakistan's pivot to Russia
By Kamran Yousaf
Published: May 7, 2018
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The prompt statement issued by Russia, acknowledging Pakistan’s pivotal role in fighting terrorism was significant. PHOTO: ISPR

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In August last year, US President Trump unveiled his much-awaited strategy for Afghanistan and the wider South Asian region. Trump singled out Pakistan for not doing enough to curb terrorism and threatened to halt security assistance if it continued to play a “double game.” The diatribe and visibly more hostile approach by the Trump administration created ripples in Pakistan. Authorities were concerned about the possible fallout of shift in the US approach towards Islamabad. At the time it looked as if Pakistan was isolated.

One of the first things Pakistan did after Trump announced a new policy was to reach out to China. And Beijing did not take long to lend support to Pakistan. What was significant though was the prompt statement issued by Russia, acknowledging Pakistan’s pivotal role in fighting terrorism and for regional peace and stability. Coming from Russia, a country with whom Pakistan has had antagonistic relationship for almost 6 decades — thanks to the Cold War — was not an ordinary development. And it isn’t that just happened. Within hours after Trump announced a new Afghan strategy, a top Pakistani Foreign Office official was on the phone with Putin’s aide. Both sides discussed possible implications of the US new plan. The Pakistani official then requested his Russian counterpart that Moscow must come in support of Islamabad at this testing time. The move was to relay a message that Pakistan could not be bullied or made scapegoat. Russia agreed. Next day, Russian presidential envoy to Afghanistan Zamir Kabulov came up with a statement terming Pakistan “a key regional player”. “Putting pressure on Pakistan may seriously destabilise the region-wide security situation and result in negative consequences for Afghanistan,” Kabulov had said.

Pakistan offers Russia ‘strategic partnership’ for the first time

That statement was not the result of just a phone call but a consequence of years of painstaking and covert efforts by the two sides, seeking a new beginning. Although Pakistan began to reach out to Russia during Musharraf regime, 2011 was the turning point. It was the same year when Pakistan’s fragile alliance with the US had gone haywire. The controversy surrounding CIA contractor Raymond Davis, killing of Osama bin Laden and murder of 24 Pakistani soldiers in the US air strikes at Salala check post compelled Pakistan to look beyond Washington. The joint sitting of Parliament had recommended a raft of foreign policy measures. One of the key proposals was to further deepen strategic partnership with China and to expand cooperation with Russia. In Pakistan, it is rare to achieve consensus on key issues. But on Russia, there has been unanimity of views among all the stakeholders. That was the reason, relations between Pakistan and Russia have continued to go upwards irrespective of who has been in the government since 2011. In 2016, Russian and Pakistani troops for the first time ever conducted joint military exercises. Just days before the planned drills in Pakistan, at least 21 Indian soldiers were killed when the Indian army base was stormed by militants in Uri in the disputed Kashmir region. New Delhi pushed Russia to cancel its military exercises with Pakistan. Moscow, despite being an old strategic ally of New Delhi, turned down the demand and went ahead with war games with Pakistan. That was the perfect manifestation of an often-quoted maxim in diplomacy: “In international relations there are no permanent friends and no permanent enemies.”

Pakistan, Russia ‘keen to expand military ties’

The paradigm shift in Pak-Russia ties reflects the new strategic realities that necessitate adjustments and realignments. The key for Pakistan, though, is to maintain a delicate balance. Pakistan committed a blunder when it joined the Western camp after independence while completely ignoring Russia. That folly had cost Pakistan dearly. Therefore, increased cooperation with Russia and China doesn’t necessarily require Pakistan to shut the doors to the US and its Western allies.

Published in The Express Tribune, May 7th, 2018.

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They should have done that long ago....
It is time to have offer more to Russia, more energy deals, and economic and defence joint venture between Pakistan and Russia will further strengthen the friendship.
 
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They should have done that long ago....
It is time to have offer more to Russia, more energy deals, and economic and defence joint venture between Pakistan and Russia will further strengthen the friendship.
Dair aye durust aye. I support this move, but we must take into account the problem faced by indian military when it comes to after sales support for weapon systems our military purchases from them. Other than that, I think Pak-Russia alliance will be instrumental for both the nations.
 
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Dair aye durust aye. I support this move, but we must take into account the problem faced by indian military when it comes to after sales support for weapon systems our military purchases from them. Other than that, I think Pak-Russia alliance will be instrumental for both the nations.

I also questioned the news about T-90 tank purchase since we are already working on Al-Khalid I/II and Al haider tank but I did not get a response back from my source.
Whole deal with Russia is on shush shush mode...no information is coming out to prevent any backlash from India and Indian media.
 
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Russia is nice, but I think China is still better in the long-run. Russia's future doesn't look too good. Between the absurd levels of oligarchical corruption and the seperatist sentiments across the various autonomous republics, how long will Russia be around to aid Pakistan's geopolitical agenda?

Though the added benefits of Russia are nice for immediate concerns. I'm sure India is going to flip out at Russia moving towards India. And since India's goals don't directly align with the US(not that the US is really in much a position to help at the moment), they'll find themselves a bit closed off.
 
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