Major Shaitan Singh
SENIOR MEMBER
- Joined
- Dec 7, 2010
- Messages
- 3,550
- Reaction score
- 43
- Country
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In recent times, few events has helped Pakistan regain some of its national confidence and provided the much needed boost to its deteriorating economy. The visit of China's President Xi Jinping to Pakistan concluded by signing accords worth $46 billion (almost three times the entire FDI Pakistan has received since 2008) to strengthen its struggling economy, deteriorating infrastructure (China Pakistan Economic Corridor) and chronic power shortages. Pakistan also received one billion dollar aid from US to support its counter insurgency operations in the Af-Pak region. The signing of defence deal with Russia for Mi-35 attack helicopters, an arms supply route which never existed, is considered as a diplomatic coup by Pakistan.
On the Afghanistan front Pakistan could not have it better. President Ashraf Ghani believes the peace between Pakistan and Afghanistan can bring stability in Afghanistan hence Pakistan has a pivotal role to play in the internal security of Afghanistan. In spite of positives mentioned above, Pakistan continues to remain turbulent and chaotic. The ever increasing incidents of terrorist attacks, sectarian and ethnic violence pose a major threat to Pakistan’s sovereignty and internal security situation.
The attack on army school in Peshawar resulted in the polity being coerced into lifting embargo on capital punishment and accord permission to establish military courts, besides a National Action Plan was ratified by the Parliament to assist in fighting terrorism. The situation especially in the Af-Pak region remains an area of concern and there is immense uncertainty and disquiet in India about duplicitous role of Pakistan in the region.
In spite of Pakistan Government’s commitment of non-discriminatory targeting of all terrorist organisations, there are enough evidences to prove Pakistan’s tacit support to certain terrorist groups. Additionally, the developments in Middle East, growing threat of ISIS, drawdown of ISAF and changing situation in Afghanistan is likely to adversely affect Pakistan’s internal dynamics.
The state of Pakistani economy continues to be fragile. The per capita income of Pakistan’s after the partition till 90’s was higher than India. However, presently the investment remains low as energy shortage and security concerns continue to undermine investors’ confidence. The GDP growth of Pakistan ranges between 3.5% to 4.5 %, while the economy is surviving on huge debts and foreign aid. After a tumultuous year, Mr Sharif continues to precariously hang to power, complying to the whims of the Army, as on their mercy his government survives.
This fact has been recognised overseas as well, where world leaders are more inclined to interact with the Pakistani General’s than the Government. While the armed forces stand as a bulwark against the emerging centrifugal forces, growing religious and ethnic fissures within the forces do not bode well for the country. With changing dynamics and fragility of situation it is imperative that India prepares its response options to deal with the likely fallout from Pakistan.
Pakistan may continue to totter along the existing trajectory and at some stage either stabilise or decline. India needs to continuously review its policy options in consonance with the developing environmental realities in Pakistan. Objective of the Seminar The objective of the seminar is to analyse the situation in Pakistan, trends and response options for India. -
See more at: Pakistan Situation: Trends And Implications For India - Centre for Land Warfare Studies (CLAWS)
On the Afghanistan front Pakistan could not have it better. President Ashraf Ghani believes the peace between Pakistan and Afghanistan can bring stability in Afghanistan hence Pakistan has a pivotal role to play in the internal security of Afghanistan. In spite of positives mentioned above, Pakistan continues to remain turbulent and chaotic. The ever increasing incidents of terrorist attacks, sectarian and ethnic violence pose a major threat to Pakistan’s sovereignty and internal security situation.
The attack on army school in Peshawar resulted in the polity being coerced into lifting embargo on capital punishment and accord permission to establish military courts, besides a National Action Plan was ratified by the Parliament to assist in fighting terrorism. The situation especially in the Af-Pak region remains an area of concern and there is immense uncertainty and disquiet in India about duplicitous role of Pakistan in the region.
In spite of Pakistan Government’s commitment of non-discriminatory targeting of all terrorist organisations, there are enough evidences to prove Pakistan’s tacit support to certain terrorist groups. Additionally, the developments in Middle East, growing threat of ISIS, drawdown of ISAF and changing situation in Afghanistan is likely to adversely affect Pakistan’s internal dynamics.
The state of Pakistani economy continues to be fragile. The per capita income of Pakistan’s after the partition till 90’s was higher than India. However, presently the investment remains low as energy shortage and security concerns continue to undermine investors’ confidence. The GDP growth of Pakistan ranges between 3.5% to 4.5 %, while the economy is surviving on huge debts and foreign aid. After a tumultuous year, Mr Sharif continues to precariously hang to power, complying to the whims of the Army, as on their mercy his government survives.
This fact has been recognised overseas as well, where world leaders are more inclined to interact with the Pakistani General’s than the Government. While the armed forces stand as a bulwark against the emerging centrifugal forces, growing religious and ethnic fissures within the forces do not bode well for the country. With changing dynamics and fragility of situation it is imperative that India prepares its response options to deal with the likely fallout from Pakistan.
Pakistan may continue to totter along the existing trajectory and at some stage either stabilise or decline. India needs to continuously review its policy options in consonance with the developing environmental realities in Pakistan. Objective of the Seminar The objective of the seminar is to analyse the situation in Pakistan, trends and response options for India. -
See more at: Pakistan Situation: Trends And Implications For India - Centre for Land Warfare Studies (CLAWS)
