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Japan's Growth Forcast: Export Growth Accelerates

Aepsilons

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A shipping container is loaded from a truck onto a container ship at a shipping terminal in Tokyo. Overseas shipments rose 17 percent from a year earlier, the finance ministry said Thursday, compared with the median estimate for a 13.5 percent gain in a Bloomberg News survey. Photographer: Kiyoshi Ota/Bloomberg

(Bloomberg) --Japanese export growth accelerated to the fastest pace in more than a year in January, with stronger demand from Asia and the U.S. supporting a recovery in the world’s third-biggest economy.

The value of overseas shipments jumped 17 percent from a year earlier, the finance ministry said Thursday, exceeding a median 13.5 percent forecast. Imports fell 9 percent, reducing the trade deficit to 1.2 trillion yen ($9.9 billion) from a record shortfall of 2.8 trillion yen in January last year.

Export volumes rose the most in four years, signaling the yen’s drop is starting to aid an economy that struggled out of recession last quarter amid weakness in consumer and business spending. The drop in oil prices is cutting import costs.


“Japanese exporters finally responded to the weakness of the yen. It took nearly two years - a much longer time-lag than we originally had expected,” said Masaaki Kanno, economist at JPMorgan Chase & Co., who forecasts a return to a trade surplus next quarter or even earlier. “Export volume seems to have picked up because of the weak yen and also the gradual recovery of the global economy.”

The Nikkei 225 Stock Average was headed Thursday for the highest close in 15 years as the biggest banks and Sony Corp. climbed. The stock index rose 0.4 percent at 2:18 p.m. in Tokyo.

The yen was up 0.1 percent at 118.68 against the dollar, having lost 22 percent since the Bank of Japan began unprecedented monetary stimulus in April 2013 in an effort to reflate the economy.

Economy Rebounds
The central bank Wednesday gave a more upbeat assessment of exports than last month, saying they have been “picking up.”

Export volumes climbed 11 percent in January from a year earlier, helped by increased shipments of semiconductors and cars.

The value of Japan’s exports to Asia was the highest ever for January, according to the finance ministry.

Automobiles were the biggest driver of growth in export values, with car shipments to the U.S. rising 14 percent and those to the EU up more than 16 percent. Exports of semiconductor components rose 24 percent, the second-largest contribution to the jump in total shipment values.

Much of the decline in imports stemmed from lower energy prices. The value of crude oil imports fell almost 41 percent, while that of liquid petroleum gas dropped 40 percent.


Japan Export Growth Accelerates on Stronger Asia Demand: Economy - Bloomberg Business
 
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"Japanese export growth accelerated to the fastest pace in more than a year in January, with stronger demand from Asia and the U.S. supporting a recovery in the world’s third-biggest economy."

1473.gif
:usflag: - Who would have thought that a strong US economy could be good for other nations:whistle:. When the US is strong, the world is strong. When the US declines so to does everyone else... everyone else! For all the doomsayers out there in PDFburgh proclaiming or wishing for the demise of the US economy, let this be a reminder that the US remain one of the most important nations economically, and not even China, for all its economic might, can influence the world economy in the same way as the US.

Japan is growing as a result of US growing and spending more money on their exports. When the US slows or our consumer confidence wavers, Japan sees its export figures declines, so too does China... so too does everyone else.
 
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"Japanese export growth accelerated to the fastest pace in more than a year in January, with stronger demand from Asia and the U.S. supporting a recovery in the world’s third-biggest economy."

1473.gif
:usflag: - Who would have thought that a strong US economy could be good for other nations:whistle:. When the US is strong, the world is strong. When the US declines so to does everyone else... everyone else! For all the doomsayers out there in PDFburgh proclaiming or wishing for the demise of the US economy, let this be a reminder that the US remain one of the most important nations economically, and not even China, for all its economic might, can influence the world economy in the same way as the US.

Japan is growing as a result of US growing and spending more money on their exports. When the US slows or our consumer confidence wavers, Japan sees its export figures declines, so too does China... so too does everyone else.

Very well said, Sven ! Very well said !
 
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"Japanese export growth accelerated to the fastest pace in more than a year in January, with stronger demand from Asia and the U.S. supporting a recovery in the world’s third-biggest economy."

1473.gif
:usflag: - Who would have thought that a strong US economy could be good for other nations:whistle:. When the US is strong, the world is strong. When the US declines so to does everyone else... everyone else! For all the doomsayers out there in PDFburgh proclaiming or wishing for the demise of the US economy, let this be a reminder that the US remain one of the most important nations economically, and not even China, for all its economic might, can influence the world economy in the same way as the US.

Japan is growing as a result of US growing and spending more money on their exports. When the US slows or our consumer confidence wavers, Japan sees its export figures declines, so too does China... so too does everyone else.
pretty sure you misunderstood.

When people say China rising, and Chinese influence and US decline, they don't mean no US and just China. They mean US can not exert the same kind of influence it did pre-China's rise, and that while China already have influence, it still leaves much to be desired.

You don't think US is as influential as it once was before China took the path of modernization do you.
 
.
"Japanese export growth accelerated to the fastest pace in more than a year in January, with stronger demand from Asia and the U.S. supporting a recovery in the world’s third-biggest economy."

1473.gif
:usflag: - Who would have thought that a strong US economy could be good for other nations:whistle:. When the US is strong, the world is strong. When the US declines so to does everyone else... everyone else! For all the doomsayers out there in PDFburgh proclaiming or wishing for the demise of the US economy, let this be a reminder that the US remain one of the most important nations economically, and not even China, for all its economic might, can influence the world economy in the same way as the US.

Japan is growing as a result of US growing and spending more money on their exports. When the US slows or our consumer confidence wavers, Japan sees its export figures declines, so too does China... so too does everyone else.

Well the U.S is still the world's only super power by a wide margin. No country even comes close for now to be honest. The U.S is also the worlds largest consumer market, and has by far the most advanced/high tech industry, again no other country even comes close(bar Europe.:D). The U.S also has the worlds best education system/universities and the worlds best/largest financial and banking industry, again no other country even comes close(bar the U.K). The U.S stock/capital market are by far the most adavanced, reason many of the biggest Chinese, Russian tech companies rush to list in the U.S, again no other country comes close. Im not even talking militarily/culturally etc. In fact in almost ALL FIELDS the U.S has a wide lead over the world.

However this doesnt means the U,S will remain at the top forever, obvously nothing is permanent, just like us in our heydays when we ruled the world and led the world in all fields. One day(it will be a very longggg time from now though) the U.S will also have to relinquish its postion to another country. As the bibles says: KINGDOM RISE, KINGDOM FALLS.:) everything that goes up must come down as well. What matters most is how a country manages its decline/fall from grace.Thats life. But it wont happen for a longggg time to come though, since U.S lead is still very large compared to any of its nearest competitors.:usflag::cheers:
 
. .
"Japanese export growth accelerated to the fastest pace in more than a year in January, with stronger demand from Asia and the U.S. supporting a recovery in the world’s third-biggest economy."

1473.gif
:usflag: - Who would have thought that a strong US economy could be good for other nations:whistle:. When the US is strong, the world is strong. When the US declines so to does everyone else... everyone else! For all the doomsayers out there in PDFburgh proclaiming or wishing for the demise of the US economy, let this be a reminder that the US remain one of the most important nations economically, and not even China, for all its economic might, can influence the world economy in the same way as the US.

Japan is growing as a result of US growing and spending more money on their exports. When the US slows or our consumer confidence wavers, Japan sees its export figures declines, so too does China... so too does everyone else.

How strong is Iraq today, after experiencing your strength? The reason why no one knows what's going to happen if Chinese demand collapses is because it hasn't done so for over four decades. There are economic studies done on China's impact on the world economy and believe me if China went into recession you'd feel it, starting with most of your major corporations.

It's China, not the US, that Japan is relying on to get it out of recession. Remember who pulled the rug out from under Japanese feet with the Plaza Accords.
 
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It's China, not the US, that Japan is relying on to get it out of recession. Remember who pulled the rug out from under Japanese feet with the Plaza Accords.

Japan chooses no sides. But both the United States and China are our two largest trading partners. Both China and United States are crucial to our export success and it is important to expand business in both countries. There should be no preferential treatment.

To secure this; Japan must sign a China-Japan FTA, as well as conclude the TPP.
 
. .
"Japanese export growth accelerated to the fastest pace in more than a year in January, with stronger demand from Asia and the U.S. supporting a recovery in the world’s third-biggest economy."

1473.gif
:usflag: - Who would have thought that a strong US economy could be good for other nations:whistle:. When the US is strong, the world is strong. When the US declines so to does everyone else... everyone else! For all the doomsayers out there in PDFburgh proclaiming or wishing for the demise of the US economy, let this be a reminder that the US remain one of the most important nations economically, and not even China, for all its economic might, can influence the world economy in the same way as the US.

Japan is growing as a result of US growing and spending more money on their exports. When the US slows or our consumer confidence wavers, Japan sees its export figures declines, so too does China... so too does everyone else.

Well of course. US Dollar is the reserve currency of the World. Besides it's the most frequently used currency in the trade as well.

Unless US Dollar is replaced by another global reserve currency, then the of course the entire world economies would ultimately be perfoming depending on the performance of the US.

There are 3 types of hegemonies that one nation can achieve : Economic Hegemony, Military Hegemony and Cultural Hegemony. Now the ecole of realist international relations suggest that only military hegemony matters and the rest has limited effects.

However I think the Economic Hegemony does the trick. It gives you the cultural attractiveness you have and gives you the resources to pay the price tag of the strongest military on earth (and make sure to stay there of course).

Even when China will have the title of "biggest economy on Earth" that won't make China an Economic Hegemony. In order to achieve that RMB should be a global reserve currency. GDP per capita is also a very very important metric and of course the "hot topic" innovation.

For a brief time period in history, Japan had greater GDP per capita than US. By that time it was thought that Japan was replacing US as an Economic Hegemony. However Japanese Yen were never widely accepted as a reserve currency and Japanese Cultural attractiveness had limited effect around the world. They simply failed to market their cultural perspective around the world just like US did. Hence the innovative products that Japan did -altough being extremely important- made very limited inroads around the world.

What I say above is not like Toyota producing a better car than Ford or GE. It's the mentality that creates the next generation products (technologies) and market it around the World. Just like Apple and Microsoft back in 80's (Personal Computers, Operating Systems), Google, Yahoo, Amazon (Search Engines, E-Commerce First Generation .com companies) back in 2000's, and the latest of them Facebook and Twitter (Social Media) in 2010's. Those companies revolutionized the lifestyles of people with innovative products (mixed with very strong marketing).

What will be the hot topic (after social networking) in 2020's? I don't know but I know one thing that it will probably originiate from US. That's why Japan failed to sustain it's GDP per capita more than US despite Japanese companies holding extremely important patents, just like Germany despite being the Research and Development center of the World.
 
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Japan chooses no sides. But both the United States and China are our two largest trading partners. Both China and United States are crucial to our export success and it is important to expand business in both countries. There should be no preferential treatment.

To secure this; Japan must sign a China-Japan FTA, as well as conclude the TPP.

The US never signs any sort of international agreement into effect unless it suits the essentially bloodthirsty demands of congress. Unless America benefits at the expense of the other parties, they will never even conceive of such a thing. The TPP is all politics.
 
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