OldTwilight
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So how are the chances Iran getting the Su-30?
zero ....
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So how are the chances Iran getting the Su-30?
And it will take even longer the longer they wait to go towards that direction!
A proper decision should have been taken over a decade ago after the flight tests of the Saegheh were completed as to what Airframe & Engine you'll need in your fleet 20 years from now!
You may be able to build a flying prototype in a matter of few years but a production model will take much longer & building the facilities for industrial size production even longer!
But in my opinion they made a major mistake and a complete miscalculation in their cost vs benefits annalists & they completely miscalculated cost upon purchase with overall cost of operations with a complete disregard of the Military, economic & technological advances of the country when building the most advanced Aircraft & Engine within their capability as oppose to something that's cheep upon purchase!
Right then and there while Oil prices were at $100 per barrel they should have made a decision in Titanium production & It's not like they didn't have Titanium mines in the country they have an ample supply and whether or not some like to admit or not Titanium is a major hurdle for Iran that's why Iran is sanctioned from buying & producing it!
Iran has the potential to produce various rare earth & strategic alloys! It took Iran about 6 months of R&D to start producing Magnesium which is 30% lighter than aluminum over 50% lighter than titanium, and 75% lighter than steel. Yet for many applications it's stronger per unit volume than all three of those structural metals. Although by it's self it is too expensive to be used on fighter but it has the potential of being mixed with other alloys to create other alloy composite used in fighter Airframes.
And that to me means anyone who is trying to sell Iranian Magnesium should be shot!
Russia isn't an ally to Iran. More like that one friend that helps you sometimes.zero ....
and that make the airplane not suitable , by the way if i'm not wrong sanction for airplanes last 2 more years after sanction for other weapons.
@VEVAK
First you are badly confused about the J90.
Second just ask yourself that sense it makes to produce 24, say a Su-30 equivalent each year? Do you know the fleet size of the Americans? You want to reach their level in 100 years or have a kill ratio 1:10 in favor of your fighter? This is lost.
Third why should we not just concentrate on fighting the Americans or a equivalent force? It's a monumental task to achieve a near peer status against the U.S and Iran is going in that direction very effectively.
I know one or two things about military, but if you ask anyone if Iran will ever stand any chance against the U.S military behemoth, the answer will be NEVER. No chance, don't even try it, just accept it.
Iran is doing the impossible and needs to invest its resources very wisely.
So much on that.
The J90 has NOTHING to do with the Tolue-4, a mini turbojet. The J-90 is a small turbofan with two fan stages, 3 LP and 6 HP (the Tolue has 3 stages in total...). If they do it right it will be a very effective design in thrust, cost and SFC.
Do you really think the Kowsar would have such large nacelles if they wanted to fit a Tolue-4 that fits in a C-802?
No. The J90 is Irans first own jet engine design, a turbofan and in class of the Al-222. It is very promising for the F-313 application. They only question is whether they will be able to get it working. It would be a huge accomplishment which no more than about 5 countries in the world are capable of. However because its so huge I don't believe it will happen anytime soon.
Then you say the Qaher was wrongly designed because of the engine number change. What if the IRIAF got interested in that AIO project but would not accept a single engine fighter? Now that we know the IRIAF is involved in the project, almost certainly twin engine was one of their requirements.
I already wrote that in the Qaher thread: Due to the low level operation regime I foresee for the Qaher, two small non-afterburning turbofans are sufficient to mach 0,9 sea level operation. Under those conditions a chasing F-16 with AAMs wont do mach 1,1-1,2 on afterburner. Terrain masking and low level hit and run tactics are what I foresee for the F-313. Its large fuel reserves and non-afterburning engines are the key to the range performance required for Iran and hit and run tactics. Only such a asymmetric approach on manned airpower makes sense against U.S level of manned airpower.
At the end we need to get the job done and figure out how. How fighting against such a professional superior force and not loose? 24 Su-30 copies a year for 60m $ an airframe or 100 "asymmetric" F-313 for 6-10m $ an airframe? If you want to accomplish the impossible, the answer is clear.
A conventional airforce adds some flexibility. 60 Su-35 (WVR+BVR), 20 Mig-29 (WVR+BVR) 40 F-14AM (BVR+ emergency WVR) and 80 F-4 (mach 2 dash BVR intercept and escape) as IADS emergency firefighters and UCAV bomber escort into a degraded enemy airspace are welcome. If resources are available why not. But a larger fleet size would bring it outside the good to have flexibility sphere and be counter productive for the serious missile/UAV based weapon systems.
None of them has any serious missile arsenal. Some have a few for nukes.
What do you think, why is having BMs = "political villain"???
Because its the single deadliest and in any terms most effective weapon system that is known to mankind.
Iran has more political will and is smarter then the countries you listed.
Russians and Americans want no country on this planet to have a missile arsenal like Iran.
Indians develop a conventional BM force? = no love anymore from Russia and the U.S
If you look close enough, the others try to somehow develop BMs, but only with restricted payloads and ranges.
I'm quite sure that Israelis threaten Americans to develop a conventional BM arsenal, but they persuade them with cheap F-35. Americans do everything to stop any country to take Iran as a role model, no need for a Israeli role model. Israel will soon reach the threshold at which their small country and airbases in it, have no chance to win a conventional conflict against Iran, they either go for BMs or have their BM based nukes as deterrence.
As for the Zolfaghar, you as a soft target was not there, close to the impact, to feel the mach 3 caused shockwave.
Nor did they use the Zolfaghar in numbers required for killing hardened targets. Either it was a display on single round performance to the world, or they really wanted to kill soft targets in those buildings.
Hopefully and it looks very well like it, Iran will not play to the rules set by U.S and Russians --> use conventional airpower. Just never play to the game rules set by the enemy. No one can catch up to Russiand and American aeronautics... Its lost.
Russians are sneaky, want to export their expensive toys/fighters to backward countries. But themselves know that their strategic bomber delivered sub- and supersonic CM arsenal (they agreed with the US not to use ground launched CMs, MRBMs, IRBMs) and their nuclear and non-nuclear BM force is what really breaks the neck of a peer enemy state.
PS: none of the neighboring countries is what Iran prepares against, those are magnitudes weaker than what Iran faces.
Our leaders made the mistake of completely disregarding airforce, and its funding is garbage. Fully focused on missiles as a substitute. We didn't need huge production of fighters but we should've been building the base, the resources, the plants to process materials. You are right, we should have already had this capability years ago, and their are only slight indications that we are going in this direction but by the time we see an indigenouns 4 gen squadron from Iran would take 10+ years. Maybe with some imports it'll be less but not fully indigenous. We've totally fucked it. Missiles cannot be a substitute for airforce. Only in the initial high intensity phase is where you'd lob 100's of missiles to soften air defences and attack vital assets in enemy country. The airforce then moves in just like how the Americans did in Iraq. We have one step of that nearly complete, we just need more range and accuracy on the zolfiqars. Maybe 30 years ago i'd say the airforce doesn't win wars but I beleive that in modern ages, the airfoce absolutely has the ability to stop an entire armoured bridage in its tracks,or give that final troops the punch they need to move forward. This isn't WW2 anymore, countries can smack a 2 ton bomb in a trench. Did you guys see the highway of death the americans did to Iraqi armourded vehicles. That right there wins wars. Only because of how precise airforces have become.
And the fact that they haven't even attempted to build a larger supersonic fighter after the Saegheh to me shows how misguided Iranian Air force commanders truly are and how miss managed Iran's Air Force is!
And I can't really blame the government for this because if the Air Force had developed a prototype worth producing then one could blame the MOD & the government for refusing to fund that program! But for now to me it looks like the Air Force had a problem and instead of trying to solve it as the IRGC did with it's missiles, UAV's,... and as Iran's Navy did with it's ships, subs, hovercraft, facilities,.... As Iran's Air Defense force did with developing various Air Defense systems....
To me it looks like IRIAF did nothing in the past decade to go after a larger more capable Air Frame & an engine to power them!
And I don't see why an Oil rich country like Iran should be worried about the cost of fueling it's jet but if they were worried about fueling them they should have started R&D in Natural Gas based Jet Fuel & Jet Engines!
That's something Iran has ample supply of!
God the more I think about it the more angry i get. The Airforce has literally nothing to show for itself, as you mentioned every other branch has built its own systems. Even the big projects like impressively made fateh submarines are moving forward. The only real achievement is the kowsar training jet. Which isn't really much if we look at the last 20 years. Once the best branch of the Iranian military as well. Such a shame
I'm not sure about Saegheh. Isn't it just a overhauled & alittle upgraded F-5, including the use of their parts?. We didn't actually build it ourselves i think. The Kowsar is the first actually Iranian built system, and we need to continue work from there. I can't be sure though, I don't know much about Saegheh.
Shafagh was something really realistic and has great potential. If we can get those RD-33 finished, we'd actually have a chance at building the foundations for a modern airforce in my opinion.
Because under this shitty deal, arms sanctions will remain for another 4 years, and with zero doubt U.S will scrap the deal before that due date.can someone explain why there is a zero chance on Iran getting russian jets like Su-30?
Russia isn't an ally to Iran. More like that one friend that helps you sometimes.
can someone explain why there is a zero chance on Iran getting russian jets like Su-30?
Wow I thought the deal was just about Iran lowering its enrichment in return of lifting sanctions, I didnt know it also included restrictions on its military, didnt Zarif say it will only be about the nuclear issue and nothing else.Because under this shitty deal, arms sanctions will remain for another 4 years, and with zero doubt U.S will scrap the deal before that due date.