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Iran Out of Recession Now: Economy Minister

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Iran Out of Recession Now: Economy Minister
By
IFP Editorial Staff
-
February 10, 2020 - 14:06


Iran Minister of Economy Farhad Dejpasand says that the country has pulled itself out of economic recession, as the economic growth without taking oil revenues into account has been positive from March to November 2019 despite the US sanctions.



He made the remarks when elaborating on the Rouhani administration’s economic performance in the run-up to the 41st anniversary of the Islamic revolution in an interview with the Iranian state TV on Sunday.

“When the eleventh cabinet [Rouhani’s first term] started its work in 2013, the economic growth was minus 7 percent because of the sanctions imposed at the time. From September 2013 to March 2014 the trend of the negative growth slowed down and it stood at minus 3.2 percent.”

“The growth rate finally became positive as of March 2013 until March 2017, which it reached 12.5 percent, which was partly accounted for by the possibility of oil exports after JCPOA,” he noted.

“The economic growth without taking oil production into account was 6.5 percent from March 2016 until March 2017 according to Statistical Centre of Iran, and 4.5 percent according to Iran’s Central Bank,” he added.

Referring to Iran’s experience of negative economic growth from March 2018 to March 2019 due to the return and intensification of US sanctions after its withdrawal from JCPOA, the minister said “it was estimated that the economic growth would sink into between minus 8 percent and minus 15 percent, yet thanks to the measures and policies adopted it stood at minus 4.2 percent with oil and minus 2.2 percent without oil.”

He added “the predictions made in 2018 about economic growth in 2019 was very concerning, but, fortunately – according to the Central Bank’s statistics – non-oil economic growth was 0.4 percent from March to June, 0.5 percent from March to September, and 0.9 percent from March to November, which indicates that non-oil section of the economy has managed to thrive.”

Describing Iran’s agricultural section “at the height of economic growth”, the minister said “the industrial section has also shown a positive 7.5% growth, and other indexes also signify positive economic growth in the non-oil section.”

He mentioned that although the Rouhani administration “tried not to borrow from the banking system, our debt to the banking system has increased. But the borrowing was not aimed at offsetting the budget deficit, but at bartering.”

Iranian officials say the US sanctions imposed by Donald Trump since 2018, when he pulled out his country from the deal between Iran and major world powers, have failed to stop Iran from developing its economic capabilities.
 
News / Economy
Iran gradually emerging from recession: Chief banker
Tuesday, 11 February 2020 4:45 PM [ Last Update: Tuesday, 11 February 2020 7:23 PM ]

44810506-d2d8-4802-8cb9-fb61527c0fd8.jpg

Iranians walk in a commercial area in northern Tehran on February 9, 2020. (AFP photo)


The governor of the Central Bank of Iran (CBI) has said that the economy is emerging from a recession that began nearly two years ago when the United States imposed its unilateral sanctions on Tehran.

In a social media post on Tuesday, Abdolnasser Hemmati dismissed claims that the Iranian economy could fall deeper into recession over renewed tensions with the US and said that major economic indicators showed the opposite.

Hemmati has previously cited reports by the CBI and the Statistical Center of Iran suggesting that the economy had started to grow regardless of the share of oil revenues in government budgets.

“Based on the CBI data, important macroeconomic indicators including the growth of the non-oil sector of the economy, inflation and other variables, all point to a relative stability ... and the economy emerging from recession, “ he wrote on Instagram.

The chief banker also said that rampant inflation that caused a major slowdown in the economy after Washington imposed its sanctions in November 2018 had been brought under control.


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The comments came as the Iranian currency continued to dip against other major currencies on Tuesday with each US dollar traded at 140,000 rials in the unofficial market in Tehran.

A new plunge for the rial began following renewed tensions between Iran and the United States in early January and after US President Donald Trump ordered the assassination of an Iranian military commander in Iraq.

The rial then regained some of its losses when Iran launched missile attacks on US military bases in the Arab country. However, speculative trade in the market and a new round of US sanctions on Tehran have caused the currency to hit yearly lows.
 
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