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The latest opinion poll by India TV-Times Now C Voter-Survey based on national representative sample of 24,284 randomly selected respondents between August 16 and October 15 shows the difference between Congress and BJP further widening.
Seat Projections:
Congress: 102 seats
BJP: 162 seats.
In 2009 Lok Sabha elections: Congress had won 206 seats and BJP 116.
Seat Projections for
NDA: [BJP, Shiv Sena, Akali Dal, RPI (Athawale) NCP of Meghalaya and Haryana Janhit Congress]
UPA: [NCP, RLD, JMM, Muslim League, National Conference and Kerala Congress (Mani)]
Others: [AIADMK, SP, BSP, Left Front, Trinamool Congress, RJD, BJD, YSR Congress and TSR]
NDA: 186 seats,
UPA: 117 seats.
Others: 240
In 2009 Lok Sabha, the ruling UPA had got 259 seats, while NDA had secured 159 seats.
The survey projects huge losses for Congress in Andhra Pradesh, Uttar Pradesh, Rajasthan and Kerala, where it had got a good number of seats last time.
The survey also projects good gains for BJP in Uttar Pradesh and Bihar, and a reversal of fortune in Rajasthan.
In terms of vote share the survey projects the following:
NDA: 35 per cent
UPA: 27 per cent
Others: 38 per cent
If elections were to be held today, the BJP-led NDA (BJP-Shiv Sena-Akali Dal) would get 186 seats. Of them the BJP alone would win 165 seats. The Congress-led UPA would win 117 seats. Of them the Congress would win 102 seats.
These are the key findings of an October 2013 opinion poll conducted by C-Voter and aired on Wednesday evening by multiple television channels.
The findings show that the BJP-led NDA has surged from 156 projected seats to 186 between July and October. In the same period the Congress-led UPA’s projected share of seats have dipped from 136 to 117.
The BJP’s surge is most noticeable in States where the party’s Prime Ministerial candidate Narendra Modi has addressed rallies. Modi was named as Chairman of the BJP Central Election Committee on July 9. He was formally declared as Prime Ministerial candidate on September 13.
Clearly there is a correlation between the BJP naming Modi as its Prime Ministerial candidate and the surge of support for the party.
Contrary to the political punditry of Delhi based commentators, the BJP’s popularity has soared in Bihar after it broke its alliance with the JDU. Nitish Kumar would emerge the looser if election was held today.
According to the poll, the Congress has suffered enormously in Andhra Pradesh, where it faces virtual decimation. The opinion poll shows the party is set for a rout in Kerala, West Bengal and Uttar Pradesh.
The opinion poll shows an erosion of support for Samajwadi Party in Uttar Pradesh, racked by riots and near collapse of law and order. At this point, the opinion poll suggests, the BSP has benefited from popular disenchantment with Samajwadi Party. The BJP, while improving its tally from 10 to 17, with 21 per cent of the vote share (compared to 24 per cent for the SP), is set to further improve its position once Narendra Modi starts addressing rallies in the State. His first rally in Uttar Pradesh is scheduled for October 19.
The C-Voter opinion poll indicates that parties not aligned with either the BJP or the Congress could notch up as many as 240 seats. This would be the first the biggest imponderable if people were to vote today.
According to the opinion poll, in Uttar Pradesh, which sends 80 members to Lok Sabha, the BJP has made crucial gain and is predicted to win 17 seats with 21 per cent of vote share. In 2009 general election, the party had won 10 seats with 18 per cent of vote share.
According to the poll survey, if the elections were held today, it would be a disaster for the Congress which had won 21 seats in 2009 with 18 per cent of vote share. This time, the party is predicted to remain confined to a measly 5 seats having 12 per cent of vote share.
The ruling Samajwadi Party, which has been nurturing a dream of leading a third front Government at the Centre, has been predicted to remain confined to just 25 seats with 24 per cent of vote share. Its tally in 2009 election was 23 with the same percentage of vote share.
Mayawati-led BSP has been predicted to win 31 seats with a vote share of 29 per cent. In 2009, when the party was in power, it had won 20 seats with 27 per cent of vote share.
Ajit Singh-led Rashtriya Lok Dal (RLD) which had aligned with the BJP in 2009 and had won 5 seats with 3 per cent of vote share would this time remain confined to just 2 seats with the same percentage of vote share.
The opinion poll shows that in West Bengal, ruling TMC would win 23 seats if elections were held today. The TMC had won 19 seats in 2009 general elections. The opinion poll suggests that Left Front which had won 15 seats in 2009 Lok Sabha election would get 16 seats this time.
The Congress, which was in alliance with the TMC in 2009 and had managed to bag 6 seats would remain confined to just three seats.
The opinion poll suggests the BJP which won one seat in 2009 would get no seat if elections were held today.
The opinion poll shows in Odisha, the ruling BJD would win 12 seats if elections were held today. The BJD had won 14 seats in 2009 Lok Sabha elections.
The opinion poll suggests that the BJP which could not win a single seat in 2009 general elections will get nil if elections were held today.
The opinion poll shows that Congress which had won 6 seats in 2009 would win win 9 seats if elections were held today. The CPI had won 1 seat in 2009 would be empty handed if elections were held today.
In Maharashtra, the opinion poll suggests that the BJP-led NDA is predicted to make a substantial gain in the State.
In 2009 Lok Sabha poll, the Congress and NCP (the UPA allies) had won 17 and 8 seats respectively. This time, the two alliance partners are predicted to suffer a massive defeat in the State. The opinion poll predicts that Congress’s tally would come down to 11 whereas the NCP’s tally would decline to 6.
This time the BJP would improve its tally to 13 seats from 9 seats of 2009. Its ally Shiv Sena’s tally would go up from 11 seats of 2009 to 14 seats if the elections were to be held today. The Republican Party of India (RPI), another NDA ally, would get 2 seats taking the total NDA tally in the State to 29 out of the total of 48 Lok Sabha seats. Raj Thackeray-led Maharashtra Navnirman Sena is predicted to win 2 seats this time.
http://www.niticentral.com/2013/10/16/bjp-surges-to-165-congress-at-102-146818.html
Seat Projections:
Congress: 102 seats
BJP: 162 seats.
In 2009 Lok Sabha elections: Congress had won 206 seats and BJP 116.
Seat Projections for
NDA: [BJP, Shiv Sena, Akali Dal, RPI (Athawale) NCP of Meghalaya and Haryana Janhit Congress]
UPA: [NCP, RLD, JMM, Muslim League, National Conference and Kerala Congress (Mani)]
Others: [AIADMK, SP, BSP, Left Front, Trinamool Congress, RJD, BJD, YSR Congress and TSR]
NDA: 186 seats,
UPA: 117 seats.
Others: 240
In 2009 Lok Sabha, the ruling UPA had got 259 seats, while NDA had secured 159 seats.
The survey projects huge losses for Congress in Andhra Pradesh, Uttar Pradesh, Rajasthan and Kerala, where it had got a good number of seats last time.
The survey also projects good gains for BJP in Uttar Pradesh and Bihar, and a reversal of fortune in Rajasthan.
In terms of vote share the survey projects the following:
NDA: 35 per cent
UPA: 27 per cent
Others: 38 per cent
If elections were to be held today, the BJP-led NDA (BJP-Shiv Sena-Akali Dal) would get 186 seats. Of them the BJP alone would win 165 seats. The Congress-led UPA would win 117 seats. Of them the Congress would win 102 seats.
These are the key findings of an October 2013 opinion poll conducted by C-Voter and aired on Wednesday evening by multiple television channels.
The findings show that the BJP-led NDA has surged from 156 projected seats to 186 between July and October. In the same period the Congress-led UPA’s projected share of seats have dipped from 136 to 117.
The BJP’s surge is most noticeable in States where the party’s Prime Ministerial candidate Narendra Modi has addressed rallies. Modi was named as Chairman of the BJP Central Election Committee on July 9. He was formally declared as Prime Ministerial candidate on September 13.
Clearly there is a correlation between the BJP naming Modi as its Prime Ministerial candidate and the surge of support for the party.
Contrary to the political punditry of Delhi based commentators, the BJP’s popularity has soared in Bihar after it broke its alliance with the JDU. Nitish Kumar would emerge the looser if election was held today.
According to the poll, the Congress has suffered enormously in Andhra Pradesh, where it faces virtual decimation. The opinion poll shows the party is set for a rout in Kerala, West Bengal and Uttar Pradesh.
The opinion poll shows an erosion of support for Samajwadi Party in Uttar Pradesh, racked by riots and near collapse of law and order. At this point, the opinion poll suggests, the BSP has benefited from popular disenchantment with Samajwadi Party. The BJP, while improving its tally from 10 to 17, with 21 per cent of the vote share (compared to 24 per cent for the SP), is set to further improve its position once Narendra Modi starts addressing rallies in the State. His first rally in Uttar Pradesh is scheduled for October 19.
The C-Voter opinion poll indicates that parties not aligned with either the BJP or the Congress could notch up as many as 240 seats. This would be the first the biggest imponderable if people were to vote today.
According to the opinion poll, in Uttar Pradesh, which sends 80 members to Lok Sabha, the BJP has made crucial gain and is predicted to win 17 seats with 21 per cent of vote share. In 2009 general election, the party had won 10 seats with 18 per cent of vote share.
According to the poll survey, if the elections were held today, it would be a disaster for the Congress which had won 21 seats in 2009 with 18 per cent of vote share. This time, the party is predicted to remain confined to a measly 5 seats having 12 per cent of vote share.
The ruling Samajwadi Party, which has been nurturing a dream of leading a third front Government at the Centre, has been predicted to remain confined to just 25 seats with 24 per cent of vote share. Its tally in 2009 election was 23 with the same percentage of vote share.
Mayawati-led BSP has been predicted to win 31 seats with a vote share of 29 per cent. In 2009, when the party was in power, it had won 20 seats with 27 per cent of vote share.
Ajit Singh-led Rashtriya Lok Dal (RLD) which had aligned with the BJP in 2009 and had won 5 seats with 3 per cent of vote share would this time remain confined to just 2 seats with the same percentage of vote share.
The opinion poll shows that in West Bengal, ruling TMC would win 23 seats if elections were held today. The TMC had won 19 seats in 2009 general elections. The opinion poll suggests that Left Front which had won 15 seats in 2009 Lok Sabha election would get 16 seats this time.
The Congress, which was in alliance with the TMC in 2009 and had managed to bag 6 seats would remain confined to just three seats.
The opinion poll suggests the BJP which won one seat in 2009 would get no seat if elections were held today.
The opinion poll shows in Odisha, the ruling BJD would win 12 seats if elections were held today. The BJD had won 14 seats in 2009 Lok Sabha elections.
The opinion poll suggests that the BJP which could not win a single seat in 2009 general elections will get nil if elections were held today.
The opinion poll shows that Congress which had won 6 seats in 2009 would win win 9 seats if elections were held today. The CPI had won 1 seat in 2009 would be empty handed if elections were held today.
In Maharashtra, the opinion poll suggests that the BJP-led NDA is predicted to make a substantial gain in the State.
In 2009 Lok Sabha poll, the Congress and NCP (the UPA allies) had won 17 and 8 seats respectively. This time, the two alliance partners are predicted to suffer a massive defeat in the State. The opinion poll predicts that Congress’s tally would come down to 11 whereas the NCP’s tally would decline to 6.
This time the BJP would improve its tally to 13 seats from 9 seats of 2009. Its ally Shiv Sena’s tally would go up from 11 seats of 2009 to 14 seats if the elections were to be held today. The Republican Party of India (RPI), another NDA ally, would get 2 seats taking the total NDA tally in the State to 29 out of the total of 48 Lok Sabha seats. Raj Thackeray-led Maharashtra Navnirman Sena is predicted to win 2 seats this time.
http://www.niticentral.com/2013/10/16/bjp-surges-to-165-congress-at-102-146818.html
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