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Indian economy to grow by 6.4 per cent in 2015-16:World Bank

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Washington: Indian economy, which accounts for 80 per
cent of South Asia's output, is set to grow by 6.4 per
cent in 2015-16 as against 5.6 per cent in 2014-15, the
World Bank has said.
With economic activity buoyed by expectations from the
new elected government of Prime Minister Narendra
Modi, "India is benefiting from a "Modi dividend"," the
Bank said in its twice-a-year South Asia Economic Focus
report on Monday.
Over the next year or so economic growth should be
supported by the recovering US economy that would
provide a market for Indian merchandise and service
exports, it said.
"The outlook over the next years for South Asia indicates
broad economic stability and a pick-up in growth with
potential risks concentrated on the fiscal and structural
reform side," said Martin Rama, Chief Economist for
South Asia at the World Bank.
"Future growth will increasingly depend on strong
investment and export performance," he added.
Private investment is expected to pick up thanks to the
government's business orientation, and declining oil
prices should boost private sector competitiveness.
But economic reforms will be needed for India to achieve
its full long-term growth potential, the report argued.
The report said the region's economy will expand by a
real 6 per cent in 2015 and by 6.4 per cent in 2016
compared to 5.4 per cent this year, potentially making it
the second fastest growing region in the world after East
Asia and the Pacific. Other countries in the region are
Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Bhutan, Maldives, Nepal,
Pakistan and Sri Lanka.
The Bank said India's long-term growth potential remains
high due to favourable demographics, relatively high
savings, and policies and efforts to improve skills and
education, facilitate domestic market integration and
incentivise manufacturing activities.
In the medium term, with the economy still below
potential and reforms on a gradualist path, growth is
expected to accelerate from 5.6 per cent in 2015 to 6.4
per cent and 7 per cent in 2016 and 2017.
Inflation is expected to decline with monetary policy
switching to inflation targeting while the current account
deficit is expected to widen somewhat as import demand
and capital inflows rise.
Fiscal consolidation is expected to continue with
stronger revenue mobilisation, while the oil subsidy
burden could decline to 0.6 per cent of GDP if benign
global crude prices persist, it said.
Supply chain delays and uncertainty are a major yet
under-appreciated constraint to manufacturing growth
and competitiveness in India, it said.


got this news form ibnlive
 
Lanka is an island country with population less than even one of our state.. Madhya Pradesh in India is growing at around 11-12%.. So stop comparing yourself to India.
Lanka is an island country with population less than even one of our state.. Madhya Pradesh in India is growing at around 11-12%.. So stop comparing yourself to India.
:sarcastic:Of Course one cannot Compare a Country Like Sri Lanka to Country like India. One is having population below poverty line than the entire population of African Subcontinent while other country constantly reducing it's poverty to less than 6%, and intend to become an advanced economy by 2030 :dirol: you think having a larger population give country an edge. lol Sri Lanka have the similar population to countries like Malaysia and Australia. every statistics Sri Lanka far far ahead than any Country in the region. your most wealthiest state could not match to SL

Economy of Tamil Nadu alone is, more than twice that of srilanka.
Oh my god, have you gone school buddy. Tamilnadu?? one of the filtiest place to be. do you ever heard GDP Per Capita and GDP, do you know the difference of those two???.. Tamilnadu have population over 70 Million having GDP Per Capita of $1622 and total GDP of $120 Billion. Sri Lanka having 20.4 Million people and having GDP of $77Billion and GDP Per Capita of $3279.
 
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:sarcastic:Of Course one cannot Compare a Country Like Sri Lanka to Country like India. One is having population below poverty line than the entire population of African Subcontinent while other country constantly reducing it's poverty to less than 6%, and intend to become an advanced economy by 2030 :dirol: you think having a larger population give country an edge. lol Sri Lanka have the similar population to countries like Malaysia and Australia. every statistics Sri Lanka far far ahead than any Country in the region. your most wealthiest state could not match to SL


Oh my god, have you gone school buddy. Tamilnadu?? one of the filtiest place to be. do you ever heard GDP Per Capita and GDP, do you know the difference of those two???.. Tamilnadu have population over 70 Million having GDP Per Capita of $1622 and total GDP of $120 Billion. Sri Lanka having 20.4 Million people and having GDP of $77Billion and GDP Per Capita of $3279.

The point is that if a country wants to "lead growth", ie be the main force of growth, the total GDP and the increase in GDP is what is important, not per capita GDP, which is a measure of individual wealth. Madhya Pradesh or Tamil Nadu growing at 5 percent will make South Asia grow more than Sri Lanka growing at 7 percent.

A five percent increase of India's GDP adds a 100 billion dollars to the economy of S Asia, which is a lot more than the total GDP of Sri Lanka. In other words, each year India's GDP is growing by much more than the total economy of SL.

That is the reason that China's growth means a lot more to the world than Italy's growth, although the average Italian is a lot richer than an average Chinese.
 
:sarcastic:Of Course one cannot Compare a Country Like Sri Lanka to Country like India. One is having population below poverty line than the entire population of African Subcontinent while other country constantly reducing it's poverty to less than 6%, and intend to become an advanced economy by 2030 :dirol: you think having a larger population give country an edge. lol Sri Lanka have the similar population to countries like Malaysia and Australia. every statistics Sri Lanka far far ahead than any Country in the region. your most wealthiest state could not match to SL


Oh my god, have you gone school buddy. Tamilnadu?? one of the filtiest place to be. do you ever heard GDP Per Capita and GDP, do you know the difference of those two???.. Tamilnadu have population over 70 Million having GDP Per Capita of $1622 and total GDP of $120 Billion. Sri Lanka having 20.4 Million people and having GDP of $77Billion and GDP Per Capita of $3279.

If you want to compare HDI or per capita then you should compare it with Kerala.Our GDP is way less than other states like TN ,Karnataka etc. But we have an HDI almost equal to developed nations.
So your percapita shit alone cant determine an economy .TN and its GDP is growing several times faster than SL entire economy.
 
Don't worry Modi will make India a developed country by 2020z
 
BTW Sri Lanka is to lead the South Asia's growth with 8.2% 2014-2015
Good for you but remember Sri Lanka is a tiny, tiny nation and growing from a low base. India growing at 2% will still add more GDP in real terms than Sri Lanka growing at 15%. India's 6th richest city (Chennai) has a GDP equivalent to the entire Sri Lankan nation. Even many states in India with populations larger than Sri Lanka's are growing in the double digits.


Comparing India and Sri Lanka is absurd and Sri Lanka's growth rate is nothing all too impressive to say the least.
 
Washington: Indian economy, which accounts for 80 per
cent of South Asia's output, is set to grow by 6.4 per
cent in 2015-16 as against 5.6 per cent in 2014-15, the
World Bank has said.
With economic activity buoyed by expectations from the
new elected government of Prime Minister Narendra
Modi, "India is benefiting from a "Modi dividend"," the
Bank said in its twice-a-year South Asia Economic Focus
report on Monday.
Over the next year or so economic growth should be
supported by the recovering US economy that would
provide a market for Indian merchandise and service
exports, it said.
"The outlook over the next years for South Asia indicates
broad economic stability and a pick-up in growth with
potential risks concentrated on the fiscal and structural
reform side," said Martin Rama, Chief Economist for
South Asia at the World Bank.
"Future growth will increasingly depend on strong
investment and export performance," he added.
Private investment is expected to pick up thanks to the
government's business orientation, and declining oil
prices should boost private sector competitiveness.
But economic reforms will be needed for India to achieve
its full long-term growth potential, the report argued.
The report said the region's economy will expand by a
real 6 per cent in 2015 and by 6.4 per cent in 2016
compared to 5.4 per cent this year, potentially making it
the second fastest growing region in the world after East
Asia and the Pacific. Other countries in the region are
Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Bhutan, Maldives, Nepal,
Pakistan and Sri Lanka.
The Bank said India's long-term growth potential remains
high due to favourable demographics, relatively high
savings, and policies and efforts to improve skills and
education, facilitate domestic market integration and
incentivise manufacturing activities.
In the medium term, with the economy still below
potential and reforms on a gradualist path, growth is
expected to accelerate from 5.6 per cent in 2015 to 6.4
per cent and 7 per cent in 2016 and 2017.
Inflation is expected to decline with monetary policy
switching to inflation targeting while the current account
deficit is expected to widen somewhat as import demand
and capital inflows rise.
Fiscal consolidation is expected to continue with
stronger revenue mobilisation, while the oil subsidy
burden could decline to 0.6 per cent of GDP if benign
global crude prices persist, it said.
Supply chain delays and uncertainty are a major yet
under-appreciated constraint to manufacturing growth
and competitiveness in India, it said.


got this news form ibnlive
6.4% is somewhat acceptable considering whatever policies/action the new GoI implements today will take at least 18 months to bear fruit and thus will have little impact not the 2015-16 growth rate. 2016-17 will be the real test for Modi, if he continues on his path there is a strong possibility of India growing at 8% from 2016 onwards.
 
6.4% is somewhat acceptable considering whatever policies/action the new GoI implements today will take at least 18 months to bear fruit and thus will have little impact not the 2015-16 growth rate. 2016-17 will be the real test for Modi, if he continues on his path there is a strong possibility of India growing at 8% from 2016 onwards.

Do you think nominal GDP of $ 3.5 trillion by 2020 is a realistic target at present growth rate?
 
Do you think nominal GDP of $ 3.5 trillion by 2020 is a realistic target at present growth rate?
Not unless India sees in excess of 7.5% growth from 2016 onwards (I see this as increasingly likely though).
 

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