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INDIA 's Nuclear military capability-A FULL Analysis..

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There has been lot of misconception about India's real and imagined nuclear capabilities and make belief comparing with small countries like Pakistan so I am posting about India's fissile material capability since these so called Think Tanks use Fissile material as a yard stick for comparing India with Pakistan's military nuclear infrastructure.




India India has the capacity to reprocess at least 350 metric tons of heavy metal per year (MTHM/yr) in four facilities.

The official estimate of India’s natural uranium reserves provided by the Indian Govt stands at 210000 tons of uranium“reasonably assured resources” (RAR) plus an additional 500000 tonnes in AP –Telengana region of discovered conventional resources so that makes it a grand total of

210000 +500000 = 710000 tonnes.


Now where does India produce plutonium

1) CIRUS ( 40Mwt) assuming 1,000 (MWD/MTU) is necessary for producing weapons-grade plutonium it would have generated 9.4 kgs of plutonium ( WG) per annum so total WG Pu generated 413.6 Kgs till 2010 when CIRUS was shut down.

2) DHRUVA ( 100 Mwt) assuming low burnups of 665 MWD/MTU to 1000MWD/MTU with an operating factor of 0.7 woud have generated till now 626 Kg of WG Pu.


Now India has 8 PHWRs outside safeguards assuming .29 conversion factor so total thermal rating == 8233 to 8410 Mwt


that a single 700 MWt PHWR is committed for the production of weapons-grade plutonium rather than the production of electricity at low BURNUPs of 1000 MWD/MTU will generate 180 kgs of WG Pu per year .

If all are used at low burn ups it would yield 1400 Kgs of WG Pu per year which is ggod for 280 nuclear heads a year , but it would require annual fuel loading of 2000 MTU but we only prduce 1200 MTU/yr but we can increase our capacity and fast refuelling capacity which our CANDU derivatives are capable off but it would tax our refuelling machines.

These eight CANDU derivatives would have a requirement for natural uranium would increase to 60000MTU for their complete lifetime , as i have mentioned above we have the Uranium .

Our online reuelling machines will have problems if we fast fuel full core for all the reactors but it is possible.

So if India goes with this maximalist stance of agressive fissile material buildup through its CANDU derivatives at 1000 MWD/MTU and 0.7 loading factor India would be able to produce--------- 1400 Kgs of WG Pu /yr which is good for----------------------280 warheads/yr

Due to the above mentioned problems of 2000 MTU fuel and technical difficulties if only

1/4th or 1/3rd of the core is used for the production of weapons-grade plutonium operated at a 0.7 capacity factor and low discharge burnup of 1,000 MWD/MTU for a single 700 Mwth reactor ----50 Kgs for 1/4th core and 86 kgs 1/3rd core of WG Pu per year.


700 MWth 50Kg(1/4th core) 86 Kgs ( 1/3rd core ) 1000 MWD/MTU at 0.7


If all 8 reactors are used WG Pu generated per year


8200 Mwth 538 Kgs ( 1/4th core ) 995 Kgs ( 1/3rd core ) 1000 MWD/MTU



The fuel requirement for 1/3rd core low burup operation 1100 MTU/yr which is in India’s capacity

So India can operate all PHWR at ¼ th or 1/3rd core and can make

¼ th core---------- 107 warheads /yr

1/3rd core-----------200 warheads/yr


Here I will not include our PFBR which itself can generate 146 Kgs of WG Pu / Yr in its radial and axial blanket.

Again I will not include our ongoing expansion of our cemtrifuge program which is for our SSBN and SSN cores and also for Staged fusion ( Thermonuclear secondary)

Again i am not going into our AVLIS and MVLIS program

Pakistan's Heavy water reactor capacity to produce plutonium == 275 Mwth
India's Heavy water reactor capacity potentially to produce plutonium== 8233 Mwth
Total plutonium India has outside safeguards including fuel grade and weapons grade === 16000 Kgs
Total plutonium Pakistan has outside safeguards in weapons grade form == 125 kg to 150 kgs


Total number of bombs Pakistan can produce per year == 9 nuclear bombs
Total number of bombs India can produce per year ==== 156 bombs

In case anyone is mentally challenged 156 bombs > 9 bombs

In here I am not including India's fast breeder reactor which only one country in Asia operate.
Pakistan's reprocessing capacity is in the gutters and most important you are running out of Uranium ore before long you will be operating on depleted tails while India has enough uranium to last 60 years of weapons program and our Three stage program can last for 500 years .

The game changer on India's part will be the invention FAST BREEDER REACTOR.
Once it is done then according to experts India can produce 700 warheads annually.
 
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Thermonuclear weapon by 2015


India plans to create thermonuclear weapon by 2015: IHS Janes

YEREVAN, JUNE 20, ARMENPRESS.

India is expanding a covert uranium enrichment plant that could potentially support the development of thermonuclear weapons. As informs "Armenpress", this was reported by Reuters Agency on June 20, in reference to IHS Jane's defence research group.

New units at the Indian Rare Metals Plant would boost India's ability to produce weapons-grade uranium to twice the amount needed for its planned nuclear-powered submarine fleet. This will raise the stakes in India's arms race with China and Pakistan.

The facility, located near Mysore in southern India, could be operational by mid-2015.

Unlike Iran, India is not a signatory to the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty. New Delhi tested its first nuclear weapon in 1974, provoking international sanctions that barred it from importing nuclear technology and materials. It conducted tests again in 1998 that drew a quick response from Pakistan, triggering an arms race between the neighbours, who have fought three wars since independence in 1947.A civil nuclear cooperation deal with the United States, sealed in 2008, gave India access to know-how and fuel in return for a pledge - so far unfulfilled - to bring in U.S. firms to expand India's nuclear power generation capacity.

The pact exempts military facilities and stockpiles of nuclear fuel from scrutiny by the International Atomic Energy Agency, a United Nations watchdog. The Mysore plant is not subject to IAEA safeguards. The IAEA declined to comment. The exemption, granted by the administration of President George W. Bush, faced opposition from China and Pakistan, India's regional rivals, and European nations who said it would undermine efforts to control the spread of nuclear weapons.

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Thermonuclear weapon by 2015


India plans to create thermonuclear weapon by 2015: IHS Janes

YEREVAN, JUNE 20, ARMENPRESS.

India is expanding a covert uranium enrichment plant that could potentially support the development of thermonuclear weapons. As informs "Armenpress", this was reported by Reuters Agency on June 20, in reference to IHS Jane's defence research group.

New units at the Indian Rare Metals Plant would boost India's ability to produce weapons-grade uranium to twice the amount needed for its planned nuclear-powered submarine fleet. This will raise the stakes in India's arms race with China and Pakistan.

The facility, located near Mysore in southern India, could be operational by mid-2015.

Unlike Iran, India is not a signatory to the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty. New Delhi tested its first nuclear weapon in 1974, provoking international sanctions that barred it from importing nuclear technology and materials. It conducted tests again in 1998 that drew a quick response from Pakistan, triggering an arms race between the neighbours, who have fought three wars since independence in 1947.A civil nuclear cooperation deal with the United States, sealed in 2008, gave India access to know-how and fuel in return for a pledge - so far unfulfilled - to bring in U.S. firms to expand India's nuclear power generation capacity.

The pact exempts military facilities and stockpiles of nuclear fuel from scrutiny by the International Atomic Energy Agency, a United Nations watchdog. The Mysore plant is not subject to IAEA safeguards. The IAEA declined to comment. The exemption, granted by the administration of President George W. Bush, faced opposition from China and Pakistan, India's regional rivals, and European nations who said it would undermine efforts to control the spread of nuclear weapons.

@13 komaun @420canada @1000 @Etilla @A.Rafay @abhi21 @AdeelFaheem @Aether @Afridistan @Agent Smith @AgNoStiC MuSliM @Ahmad1996 @ajpirzada @Akheilos @Al Bhatti @al-Hasani @ali_raza @Ammyy @anant_s @Arabian Legend @Arav_Rana @Armstrong @arushbhai @asad71 @AsianUnion @asq @AstanoshKhan @AUz @Avik274 @AZADPAKISTAN2009 @Bagha @balixd @batmannow @BDforever @bhangi bava @Bilal. @bloo @blood @Blue_Eyes @Brahmos_2 @Bratva @cb4 @Chanakya's_Chant @CHARGER @chauvunist @Cheetah786 @Counter-Errorist @Crypto @danish_vij @DESERT FIGHTER @desert warrior @dexter @Dil Pakistan @Donatello @Dr. Stranglove @DRAY @Evil Flare @EyanKhan @Fahad Khan 2 @faisal6309 @Faizan Memon @farhan_9909 @FaujHistorian @FNFAL @Force-India @Fracker @Frogman @gau8av @genmirajborgza786 @ghazaliy2k @ghoul @GIANTsasquatch @graphican @Green Arrow @GreenFalcon @gslv mk3 @Guleen Ahmed @hacsan @Hakan @halupridol @haviZsultan @he-man @HRK @HughSlaman @hunter_hunted @IceCold @Ind4Ever @indiatester @Indrani @Irfan Baloch @itachiii @jaiind @jamahir @janon @jarves @Jazzbot @Jf Thunder @JUBA @Junaid B @junaid hamza @Jzaib @karan.1970 @Khalid Newazi @Khalidr @khanboy007 @khawaja07 @KingMamba @Krate M @Kunwar Anurag Rathore @KURUMAYA @kurup @Leader @LeveragedBuyout @levina @lightoftruth @LoveIcon @Luftwaffe @madmusti @madooxno9 @Major Sam @Major Shaitan Singh @Manticore @Marshmallow @Marxist @MastanKhan @Mav3rick @Meengla @Men in Green @Metanoia @Mike_Brando @mr42O @Muhammad Omar @muslim_pakistani @narcon @naveen mishra @noksss @nomi007 @Not Sure @Omega007 @orangzaib @OrionHunter @ozzy22 @p100 @Pak123 @pak-marine @Pakistani Exile @Pakistani shaheens @Pakistanisage @PARIKRAMA @Patriots @Peaceful Civilian @pkuser2k12 @Proudpakistaniguy @Pukhtoon @pumkinduke @pursuit of happiness @PWFI @r1_vns @raazh @Rafael @Rafi @rahi2357 @Rajput_Pakistani @Ranches @ranjeet @Rashid Mahmood @ravi Nair @raza_888 @razahassan1997 @Razia Sultana @RescueRanger @ROCKING @rockstar08 @Rohit Patel @rubyjackass @S.U.R.B. @Saifkhan12 @SamantK @SAMEET @SarthakGanguly @sathya @save_ghenda @SBD-3 @Sedqal @SHAMK9 @Shoaib Rathore @ShowGun @shuntmaster @Sidak @slapshot @Slav Defence @SOHEIL @SpArK @Spy Master @sreekumar @Srinivas @Star Wars @Stealth @StormShadow @Strigon @Strike X @SUPARCO @sur @suresh1773 @SwAggeR @Syed.Ali.Haider @syedali73 @Tameem @TankMan @TankMan @Tayyab1796 @TheFlyingPretzel @TheNoob @thesolar65 @Tridibans @Ulla @user1 @utraash @venu309 @Viny @vostok @vsdave2302 @W.11 @Waffen SS @WAJsal @waleed3601 @war khan @WAR-rior @Water Car Engineer @Winchester @WishLivePak @wolfpack @wolfschanzze @XenoEnsi-14 @yesboss @Yogijaat @zaid butt @Zarvan


hey Why I am not being marked?
 
Total number of bombs Pakistan can produce per year == 9 nuclear bombs
Total number of bombs India can produce per year ==== 156 bombs

This is excellent.
The game changer in India's part will be the invention FAST BREEDER REACTOR.
Once it is done then according to experts India can produce 700 warheads annually.

This is bloody hell of thing.

This does not include Two huge uranium purification plants on the verge of being commissioned. One at Maysore and another in MP.
 
Correct me if i'm wrong , you don't get a notification if a member is marking more than 5 other members right?
 
bhai koi aam bhasah me samjha dega ki aakhir india ke paas kitne "aetim bumb" hain aur kitne aur atim bumb bannane ka fissle material hai :azn:
 
India has mastered the boosted fission technology. This is a technology in which the yield of Bomb can be boosted by 3 to 4 time by putting Tritium like element i the core. India has gathered huge stock pile of Tritium good to produce H bombs in Thousand of Numbers by a very special crystallization technique which no other country in the world has.
 
bhai koi aam bhasah me samjha dega ki aakhir india ke paas kitne "aetim bumb" hain aur kitne aur atim bumb bannane ka fissle material hai :azn:
India k pass 90 to 100 warhead hien aor bohat sa fissile material hey but problem yeh k warhead ka material hona aor baat hey unsey bomb bana dosri baat hey. Jo warhead hien woh missile per fit nahien hotey kiyoky 2 different department ney missle aor warhead banaye.
 
bhai koi aam bhasah me samjha dega ki aakhir india ke paas kitne "aetim bumb" hain aur kitne aur atim bumb bannane ka fissle material hai :azn:
According to current scenario we can create more than 7000 nuclear bombs.
But once we get uranium from
Australia, Canada, Kazakhstan then our capabilities will increase.
Also India announced just recently that India is going create a strategic URANIUM reserves which can help in sanctions in future.
Also don't forget our FAST BREEDER REACTOR once that big boy comes in play than neither I nor anyone can predict how much india can make nuclear bombs.

The biggest surprise is that INDIA is getting a H Bomb.
Once that happens than the whole world will regard as a true power.
Actually the source which I gave is a source from Indian embassy do visit the link.
And welcome new member and father of all A bombs in our family H bomb.:D
 
Pokhran II not fully successful: Scientist
NEW DELHI: The 1998 Pokhran II nuclear tests might have been far from the success they have been claimed to be. The yield of the thermonuclear explosions was actually much below expectations and the tests were perhaps more a fizzle rather than a big bang. ( Watch Video )

The controversy over the yield of the tests, previously questioned by foreign agencies, has been given a fresh lease of life with K Santhanam, senior scientist and DRDO representative at Pokhran II, admitting for the first time that the only thermonuclear device tested was a "fizzle". In nuclear parlance, a test is described as a fizzle when it fails to meet the desired yield.

Santhanam, who was director for 1998 test site preparations, told TOI on Monday that the yield for the thermonuclear test, or hydrogen bomb in popular usage, was much lower than what was claimed. Santhanam, who was DRDO's chief advisor, could well have opened up the debate on whether or not India should sign CTBT as claims that India has all the data required and can manage with simulations is bound to be called into question.

``Based upon the seismic measurements and expert opinion from world over, it is clear that the yield in the thermonuclear device test was much lower than what was claimed. I think it is well documented and that is why I assert that India should not rush into signing the CTBT,'' Santhanam told TOI on Wednesday.

He emphasised the need for India to conduct more tests to improve its nuclear weapon programme.

The test was said to have yielded 45 kilotons (KT) but was challenged by western experts who said it was not more than 20 KT.

The exact yield of the thermonuclear explosion is important as during the heated debate on the India-

US nuclear deal, it was strenuously argued by the government's top scientists that no more tests were required for the weapons programme. It was said the disincentives the nuclear deal imposed on testing would not really matter as further tests were not required.

According to security expert Bharat Karnad, Santhanam's admission is remarkable because this is the first time a nuclear scientist and one closely associated with the 1998 tests has disavowed the government line. ``He is not just saying that India should not sign the CTBT, which I believe is completely against India's interests, but also that the 1998 thermonuclear device test was inadequate.

His saying this means that the government has to do something. Either you don't have a thermonuclear deterrent or prove that you have it, if you claim to have it,'' said Karnad.

Sources said that Santhanam had admitted that the test was a fizzle during a discussion on CTBT organised by IDSA. Karnad also participated in the seminar. He told TOI that no country has succeeded in achieving targets with only its first test of a thermonuclear device.

``Two things are clear; that India should not sign CTBT and that it needs more thermonuclear device tests,'' said Santhanam.

The yield of the thermonuclear device test in 1998 has led to much debate and while western experts have stated that it was not as claimed, BARC has maintained that it stands by its assessment. Indian scientists had claimed after the test that the thermonuclear device gave a total yield of 45 KT, 15 KT from the fission trigger and 30 KT from the fusion process and that the theoretical yield of the device (200 KT) was reduced to 45 KT in order to minimise seismic damage to villages near the test range.
British experts, however, later challenged the claims saying that the actual combined yield for the fission device and thermonuclear bomb was not more than 20 KT.

Key Pokharan scientist R Chidambaram had described these reports as incorrect. He has also argued that computer simulations would be enough in future design.
 
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