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India retains World No 3 spot as steelmaker in 2016 even as it clocks highest production growth rate

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For the second year in a row, India remained as the third largest steelmaker in the world, behind China and Japan, even as it clocked the highest production growth rate among the major steelmakers in 2016.
By: Surya Sarathi Ray | New Delhi | Published: January 26, 2017 4:06 AM
Steel-pti.jpg

The share of the US in the global steel production has also fallen to 4.8% while China’s share rose to 49.6% from 49.4% a year earlier. (PTI)

For the second year in a row, India remained as the third largest steelmaker in the world, behind China and Japan, even as it clocked the highest production growth rate among the major steelmakers in 2016. Clocking 7.4% growth in production over 2015, India’s steel output stood at 95.6 MT in 2016. China produced 808.4 MT and Japan 104.8 MT in 2016. While production in China was up by 1.2%, it fell by 0.3% in Japan. Production in the US also fell by 0.3% to 78.6 MT. Total global production during the year was up by 0.8% to 1,628.5 MT.

India toppled the US in 2015 to become the third largest steelmaker in the world. In 2015, India produced 89 MT steel while the US produced 78.84 MT. However, before that the US was always ahead of Indian production. Even in 2014, the US had produced 88.17 MT steel while India’s production was 87.29 MT.
With higher production, India’s share in the global steel production also increased to 5.9% in 2016 from 5.5% in the year ago. Japan’s share has come down to 6.4%. The share of the US in the global steel production has also fallen to 4.8% while China’s share rose to 49.6% from 49.4% a year earlier.

As production in India is on the upswing while it has been on the wane in Japan, India is expected to go past the Japanese production in 2017 and thus, become the second largest steelmaker in the world. India’s current steel-producing capacity stands at 122 MT and the government has targeted to take it to 300 MT by 2030-31.

Meanwhile, data compiled by the World Steel Association (WSA) revealed that Asia led the chart in production with 1,125 MT output in 2016 followed by the EU at 162.3 MT, North America at 111 MT, CIS at 102.4 MT, South America at 39.2 MT and the Middle East at 29.4 MT.

GRAPH-STEEL.jpg


Apart from Japan and the US, four other countries among the top ten steel producing nations including Russia, South Korea, Germany and Brazil produced less steel in 2016 than what they had produced in 2015. Production in Ukraine and Turkey, however, remained in the positive terrain during the year.

“The average capacity utilisation in 2016 was 69.3% compared to 69.7% in 2015,” WSA said. With demand and prices of steel have started moving northwards, global production of steel in December, 2016 grew by a whopping 5.5% at 134 MT over the same month a year ago.
http://www.financialexpress.com/mar...clocks-highest-production-growth-rate/522561/
 
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We (India) should surpass Japan next year I think....maybe even this year.
 
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We should surpass Japan next year I think....maybe even this year.

Latest data of 2016 crude steel production data from World Steel Association, updated on 25 January 2017, see below.

  • India (95.618 million tonnes) increase alot from previous year. Yes I expect India continues to expand crude steel production as demand for infra will soar, should exceed 100 million tonnes in 2017.
  • Japan (104.77 million tonnes) and South Korea (68.57 million tonnes) are expected to further reduce crude steel volume, they will maintain traditional focus on high value-add sectors (at home and overseas plants). Examples are Nippon Steel (with Shanghai Baogang), JSW, JFE. One new powerhouse is POSCO, it's been ranked by World Steel Dynamics as the world’s most competitive steel maker for 7th year in a row, overtook Nippon Steel as world's number one largest patent filer in WIPO 2016 report, it's feared even by tech behemoth and rival Nippon Steel.
  • China (Mainland 808.37 million tonnes, Taiwan 21.57 million tonnes) overall tonnage is expected to grow moderately, main efforts would be trimming down excessive installed capacity, carries out domestic M&A (or JV with Japanese/Korean counterparts), technological upgrade and increase value-add. I expect trade tensions with EU will remain high in the next few years, if not even more.
2016-png.372116


http://www.worldsteel.org/steel-by-topic/statistics/Monthly-crude-steel-and-iron-production.html
https://defence.pk/threads/china-co...the-rest-of-the-world-combined.457241/page-20
https://defence.pk/threads/un-world...global-ranking-of-171-countries.462744/page-3
http://www.newsworld.co.kr/detail.htm?no=2674
 
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Latest data of 2016 crude steel production data from World Steel Association, updated on 25 January 2017, see below.

  • India (95.618 million tonnes) increase alot from previous year. Yes I expect India continues to expand crude steel production as demand for infra will soar, should exceed 100 million tonnes in 2017.
  • Japan (104.77 million tonnes) and South Korea (68.57 million tonnes) are expected to further reduce crude steel volume, they will maintain traditional focus on high value-add sectors (at home and overseas plants). Examples are Nippon Steel (with Shanghai Baogang), JSW, JFE. One new powerhouse is POSCO, it's been ranked by World Steel Dynamics as the world’s most competitive steel maker for 7th year in a row, overtook Nippon Steel as world's number one largest patent filer in WIPO 2016 report, it's feared even by tech behemoth and rival Nippon Steel.
  • China (Mainland 808.37 million tonnes, Taiwan 21.57 million tonnes) overall tonnage is expected to grow moderately, main efforts would be trimming down excessive installed capacity, carries out domestic M&A (or JV with Japanese/Korean counterparts), technological upgrade and increase value-add. I expect trade tensions with EU will remain high in the next few years, if not even more.
2016-png.372116


http://www.worldsteel.org/steel-by-topic/statistics/Monthly-crude-steel-and-iron-production.html
https://defence.pk/threads/china-co...the-rest-of-the-world-combined.457241/page-20
https://defence.pk/threads/un-world...global-ranking-of-171-countries.462744/page-3
http://www.newsworld.co.kr/detail.htm?no=2674

Does China import any speciality raw steels? Will the focus to be transfer the existing capacity to better accomodate those demand profiles?
 
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Japan was actually really furious with India imposing CWD on steel import, It resulted in decline in Steel production in Japan and we shifted from 6th to 11th export destination. They have in fact threatened to take us in WTO.
 
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Lots of infrastructure needs in wide areas of Xinjiang and Tibet province. China should continue to increase steel production rates for those regions.
 
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Does China import any speciality raw steels?
Will the focus to be transfer the existing capacity to better accomodate those demand profiles?

Yes China does import special steel, prelim estimate for 2016 is 12.31 million tonnes, mostly from Japan (which accounts for one-third of world special steel trade), rest from Germany and South Korea.

Note, China itself is world's largest producer of special steel, about 70 million tonnes yearly, major firms include Baosteel Special Steel Division (宝钢特钢分公司), Northeast Special Steel (东北特钢), CITIC Pacific Special Steel (中信泰富特钢).

CP SSteel.png


However since China's overall steel production is over 800 million tonnes p.a., share of special steel is 8-9% at the moment, yet to increase to 15-20% (Japan and Germany are at 22%). Yes you are right about it, Beijing will drive more M&A to consolidate steelmaker capacity, pool R&D resources, increase industrial concentration aka build bigger and more competitive firms, with an ultimate objective to increase production of special steel.

http://www.baosteel.com/group_en/contents/2910/40088.html
http://en.cp-ssteel.com/
https://sanwen8.cn/p/46aIyRV.html
http://site.leshou.com/s/23302536.html
 
Last edited:
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Yes China does import special steel, prelim estimate for 2016 is 12.31 million tonnes, mostly from Japan (which accounts for one-third of world special steel trade), rest from Germany and South Korea.

Note, China itself is world's largest producer of special steel, about 70 million tonnes yearly, major firms include Baosteel Special Steel Division (宝钢特钢分公司), Northeast Special Steel (东北特钢), CITIC Pacific Special Steel (中信泰富特钢).

View attachment 375236

However since China's overall steel production is over 800 million tonnes p.a., share of special steel is 8-9% at the moment, yet to increase to 15-20% (Japan and Germany are at 22%). Yes you are right about it, Beijing will drive more M&A to consolidate steelmaker capacity, pool R&D resources, increase industrial concentration aka build bigger and more competitive firms, with an ultimate objective to increase production of special steel.

http://www.baosteel.com/group_en/contents/2910/40088.html
http://en.cp-ssteel.com/
https://sanwen8.cn/p/46aIyRV.html
http://site.leshou.com/s/23302536.html

You should relocate some of your steel capacity to countries in South Asia
 
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You should relocate some of your steel capacity to countries in South Asia
In fact China has begun the process, some capacities have either been relocated overseas or under planning stage. Local demand in Southeast Asia, Africa, Eastern Europe and South America will rise, these are suitable destinations. Same with fast-developing South Asia, a large plant is planned for Gwardar, perhaps more projects will follow in the region.

http://www.reuters.com/article/us-china-steel-overcapacity-idUSKCN0XI05O
http://www.hellenicshippingnews.com/steel-companies-from-china-expanding-production-overseas/
http://www.wsj.com/articles/chinas-hebei-iron-steel-to-build-plant-in-south-africa-1410497371
http://www.africanreview.com/manufa...struct-its-largest-steel-mill-in-south-africa
https://timesofislamabad.com/china-set-large-steel-factory-gwadar-envoy/2016/12/19/
 
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In fact China has begun the process, some capacities have either been relocated overseas or under planning stage. Local demand in Southeast Asia, Africa, Eastern Europe and South America will rise, these are suitable destinations. Same with fast-developing South Asia, a large plant is planned for Gwardar, perhaps more projects will follow in the region.

http://www.reuters.com/article/us-china-steel-overcapacity-idUSKCN0XI05O
http://www.hellenicshippingnews.com/steel-companies-from-china-expanding-production-overseas/
http://www.wsj.com/articles/chinas-hebei-iron-steel-to-build-plant-in-south-africa-1410497371
http://www.africanreview.com/manufa...struct-its-largest-steel-mill-in-south-africa
https://timesofislamabad.com/china-set-large-steel-factory-gwadar-envoy/2016/12/19/

China's domestic consumption of steel is larger than that of all the other countries combined.
Big infrastructure projects outside China are still rare.
 
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