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IMF ups India's growth forecast to 7.2 pc for current fiscal

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NEW DELHI: India's economy is recovering and its ability to withstand external shocks has improved. Terming Indian economy a 'bright spot' on the global economic landscape, IMF on Wednesday raised its growth forecast for the current fiscal to 7.2 per cent, even as it called for steps to revitalize the investment cycle and accelerate structural reforms in the country.

In an annual report, the IMF forecast that Asia's third-largest economy would grow by 7.5 percent in the 2015/16 fiscal year that starts on April 1, up from 7.2 percent in the year now ending. However, Prime Minister Narendra Modi's annual budget, the target growth forecast was up to 8.5 percent in 2015/16 - making India the world's fastest-growing large economy ahead of China.

The new forecasts have taken into account a revised methodology adopted by India earlier this year for calculating the GDP figures, about which IMF said that the country has "improved the way it measures economic output".

READ ALSO: India needs sustained GDP growth of 9-10%: Arun Jaitley

The new methodology, however, has been termed as 'puzzling' initially by some including Chief Economic Advisor Arvind Subramanian and RBI Governor Raghuram Rajan. Incidentally, both Subramanian and Rajan have been with IMF in the past.

Last year, IMF had forecasted a growth rate of 5.6 per cent for the current fiscal, and 6.4 per cent for the next.

The Indian economy is reviving, helped by positive policy actions that have improved confidence and lower global oil prices, the IMF said, while anticipating stronger growth in the next fiscal on the back of stronger investment flows following improvements to the business climate.

To continue on this trend, India needs to revitalise the investment cycle and accelerate structural reforms, it said in its annual assessment report for the country.

"Indian economy is the bright spot in global landscape, becoming one of the fastest-growing big emerging market economies in the world," IMF said in a report after its recently concluded annual consultations with India.

"Growth numbers are now much higher and the current account deficit is comfortable, in part due to the fall in gold imports and lower oil prices," IMF Mission Chief for India Paul Cashin said.

"New investment project announcements have started to pick up, particularly in the power and transport sectors," he said, while adding that bolstering financial sector health and further financial inclusion would support growth going ahead.

IMF said that the country is well placed to cope with external shocks, although there are possible risks on the horizon, both external and domestic.

IMF ups India's growth forecast to 7.2 pc for current fiscal - The Times of India
 
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But still 0 structural reform as of yet.

Nothing done at all in education sector.Arguably the most important sector if u want to look at the future with a favourable view.
 
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But still 0 structural reform as of yet.

Nothing done at all in education sector.Arguably the most important sector if u want to look at the future with a favourable view.
Education system can't change overnight and you can't change it even by pushing lot of money into it.

It takes a hell lot of time and research . Teaching methodology of UK or US or even SG won't suit the needs of Indian population because those methodology are adopted for their respective culture.

Moreover, CBSE-i is doing a good job! it almost same as SG but with more indian flavour.
 
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Good positive changes. Lets see what the future holds.
 
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But still 0 structural reform as of yet.

Nothing done at all in education sector.Arguably the most important sector if u want to look at the future with a favourable view.

Don't agree with the Structural part but yes on the Education front NDA has been a disappointment :(
 
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But according to some,we messed up the economics to increase our GdP :p:


Anyways it's good news and with policy reforms we can anticipate another 1 to 2 percent growth :enjoy:
 
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But still 0 structural reform as of yet.

Nothing done at all in education sector.Arguably the most important sector if u want to look at the future with a favourable view.


Education sector (barring higher technical education) should be responsibility of state government (It is in concurrent list anyway). Portion of state revenue from consolidated central revenue was increased from 32% to 42% on recommendation of 14 finance commission. It is only appropriate if state governments man up take responsibility of improving primary and secondary education in their hands.
 
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if state governments man up take responsibility of improving primary and secondary education in their hands.

They don't have that much money,,thats a fact.
We need to increase the number of ost graduate seats and its not even difficult to do.

Problem is no one gives a shyte............
 
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Kaha h phuckin ache din? It's been effing 9 months and yet no ache din? Bhakats must answer, the nation wants to know
 
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The forecasts were adjusted in response to the Indian government’s recent revision to its methodology for estimating GDP. The adjusted data show markedly faster economic growth in recent years than originally estimated, surprising many analysts and policy makers when the Central Statistics Office released them at the end of January.

IMF Raises India’s GDP Growth Forecast - WSJ
 
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The forecasts were adjusted in response to the Indian government’s recent revision to its methodology for estimating GDP. The adjusted data show markedly faster economic growth in recent years than originally estimated, surprising many analysts and policy makers when the Central Statistics Office released them at the end of January.

IMF Raises India’s GDP Growth Forecast - WSJ

In another word, this growth is base on new math instead of actual change. This is how India will become a superpower. There was a saying that numbers don't lie. But India is able to overcome this saying.
 
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