Hi everyone !
When I think 'combat' I imagine a plane capeable of smart manoevering, actually fighting instead of fireing a missile only.
well ... if you consider the present day and the last aerial conflicts, you will see dogfights are very marginal now.
I can't tell you when the last fighter was shooted down with bullets, but there should be some dozen of missile hits after this one.
I mean, at this time, with the fantastic missiles capabilities, dogfight is really not in top of the list of neither manned planes than UAV/UCAV.
I think I remember the predator is armed with sidewinders, may you confirm this please ?
Control has to be instant. Ping times (delay from the time, you send a command and is received and the acknowledged message is received back) will be crucial. In games a ping of 100 (1000 ping is one second delay), makes the game less than instantaneous and people don't prefer to play till their ping is as low as 20. For UCAV dogfights, it'd probably have to be even better.
you just described the next level war :
The main flaw of UAV is ... they need to receive orders with data transmission (at this time), and need to send back informations (video, flight data etc ...)
So, if you are able to jam transmission, you could make them (at this time again) completly useless, and even make them crashing.
French (I'm a frog, so I know better my army than other armee) are quite poor at UAV, even if they work a lot at this time, on that matter, even if some prototypes are quite impressive, deployment is really poor.
But were french are quite good, is in jam.
Even Iraqi could have jammed an area at a time (edited : with russian hardware), so there was no GPS usable in this area.
I think you will remember that better than me ... I can't tell you when they did that exactly ...
As you know => no GPS is very bad when you use stand off weapons GPS guided, as americans often do
Every computorised system could be hacked or jammed, it's only a question of means and time.
So I think (personnal expectation) that the future for UAV/UCAV is complete autonomy : just sending informations from the battlefield but with a complete flight plan and mission orders, without the need of ground or air control.
The need of guidance is actually the main Achilles'heel of UAV/UCAV, and I'm pretty sure this Achilles'heel could be, and will be, exploited quite soon, if not already done.