Geopolitics of African Union

[kalu_miah]

Geopolitics of AU (African Union)

In this thread we would like to discuss the geopolitics of African continent.

African Union - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

Neighbor powers:
Turkey
India
Eurasia+
EU
GCC+

Global power:
USA/NATO

 

[Major Shaheb]

Geopolitics of AU (African Union)

In this thread we would like to discuss the geopolitics of African continent.

African Union - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

Neighbor powers:
Turkey
India
Eurasia+
EU
GCC+

Global power:
USA/NATO

India is like world apart... they are not the African neighbour..

 

[kalu_miah]

India is like world apart... they are not the African neighbour..

India can be considered a neighbor because of the proximity of Africa to Indian ocean. Somalia is the closest point.

 

[Mahmoud_EGY]

the most important challenge is somalia this land has been suffring for ages and the terrorists are controlling it untill now
and the nile problem which i hope ethiopia do the right thing in that they have to believe that we wont leave our water and we would kill them all if they try something like that and isreal and the US wont save them

 

[manofwar]

A strategic mistake the US and the other older powers like USSR, UK, France and Japan did was hat they never understood the importance of Africa.....................The completely withdrew after the decolonising........
Glad to see the new age powers like India, China and Brazil not doing the same

 

[Kamal_Jamal]

A strategic mistake the US and the other older powers like USSR, UK, France and Japan did was hat they never understood the importance of Africa.....................The completely withdrew after the decolonising........
Glad to see the new age powers like India, China and Brazil not doing the same

Not they didn’t, western continue its influence into Africa long after colonization. Look at numerous African governments budget, they still funded and financed by the West. I think Ethiopia's budget is financed 50% by West alone not including other grants as well

 

[kalu_miah]

I heard that Gaddafi tried his best to create a Maghreb union, when he failed at that project he started working on African Union.

 

[kalu_miah]

cross posted from the GCC+ thread:

My earlier prediction was that GCC+ will remain and integrate with regional unions in Eurasian land mass. But considering the continuing influence of Arab Nationalism, I think the following is a more likely scenario:

- Asia will integrate in two areas, East and South East Asia (ASEAN+), Central and West Asia (Eurasia+)
- GCC+ will not integrate with Central and West Asia
- instead GCC+ will integrate with Maghreb region in North Africa under Arab League
- Arab League will integrate with Sub-saharan countries in a combined African Union-GCC+
- Sub-saharan countries have following regional efforts:
African Union - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

the Arab Maghreb Union (UMA)
the Common Market for Eastern and Southern Africa (COMESA)
the Community of Sahel-Saharan States (CEN-SAD)
the East African Community (EAC)
the Economic Community of Central African States (ECCAS)
the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS)
the Intergovernmental Authority on Development (IGAD)
the Southern Africa Development Community (SADC)

Iraq will be partitioned along Shia, Sunni and Kurdish population centers. Only Sunni part will become part of GCC+ while Shia and Kurdish part will become independent and remain with other regional unions in Eurasian landmass, together with Iran and Turkey.

Simiarly Syria will be partitioned along Kurdish and Arab lines. Kurdish part will join independent Kurdistan. The Arab part will become an integral part of GCC+. Alawite Latakia may become independent and remain with Eurasia+.

So the current conflict in the region can be looked at as a struggle to define a border between two great continental group of nations, Africa-GCC+ and Eurasia+.
http://www.defence.pk/forums/world-affairs/180767-geopolitics-eurasia-region-2.html#post3916234

 

[BDforever]

cross posted from the GCC+ thread:

My earlier prediction was that GCC+ will remain and integrate with regional unions in Eurasian land mass. But considering the continuing influence of Arab Nationalism, I think the following is a more likely scenario:

- Asia will integrate in two areas, East and South East Asia (ASEAN+), Central and West Asia (Eurasia+)
- GCC+ will not integrate with Central and West Asia
- instead GCC+ will integrate with Maghreb region in North Africa under Arab League
- Arab League will integrate with Sub-saharan countries in a combined African Union-GCC+
- Sub-saharan countries have following regional efforts:
African Union - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

the Arab Maghreb Union (UMA)
the Common Market for Eastern and Southern Africa (COMESA)
the Community of Sahel-Saharan States (CEN-SAD)
the East African Community (EAC)
the Economic Community of Central African States (ECCAS)
the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS)
the Intergovernmental Authority on Development (IGAD)
the Southern Africa Development Community (SADC)

Iraq will be partitioned along Shia, Sunni and Kurdish population centers. Only Sunni part will become part of GCC+ while Shia and Kurdish part will become independent and remain with other regional unions in Eurasian landmass, together with Iran and Turkey.

Simiarly Syria will be partitioned along Kurdish and Arab lines. Kurdish part will join independent Kurdistan. The Arab part will become an integral part of GCC+. Alawite Latakia may become independent and remain with Eurasia+.

So the current conflict in the region can be looked at as a struggle to define a border between two great continental group of nations, Africa-GCC+ and Eurasia+.
http://www.defence.pk/forums/world-affairs/180767-geopolitics-eurasia-region-2.html#post3916234

african union er jilapir pach ta valo lagsey

 

[kalu_miah]

Cross posted:

The African Dimension of Egyptian Foreign Policy - Student Pulse
http://dspace.cigilibrary.org/jspui/bitstream/123456789/31079/1/EGYPROLEAFRICA.pdf?1

Africa is no laughing matter for Egypt. Though African Union may sound like a joke today, the future may be different.

Currently Sub-saharan Africa has a population of about 750 million. Arab League has about 400 million, 300 million in North Africa and 100 million in Gulf and Levant.

Christianity in Africa - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

The statistics from the World Christian Encyclopedia (David Barrett) illustrate the emerging trend of dramatic Christian growth on the continent and supposes, that in 2025 there will be 633 million Christians in Africa.[15]

http://esa.un.org/wpp/Documentation/pdf/WPP2012_Press_Release.pdf

Africa growing rapidly

More than half of global population growth between now and 2050 is expected to
occur in Africa. According to the UN’s medium-variant projection, the population of
Africa could more than double by mid-century, increasing from 1.1 billion today to
2.4 billion in 2050, and potentially reaching 4.2 billion by 2100.
Rapid population increase in Africa is anticipated even if there is a substantial
reduction of fertility levels in the near future. The medium-variant projection assumes
that fertility will fall from 4.9 children per women in 2005-2010 to 3.1 in 2045-2050,
reaching 2.1 by 2095-2100. The gap for Africa between the high and low variants of
the new projections, corresponding to half a child more or less per woman compared
to the medium variant, amounts to roughly 600 million people by 2050 (2.7 vs. 2.1
billion) and potentially 3.2 billion people by 2100 (6.0 vs. 2.8 billion).
Regardless of the uncertainty surrounding the future population of Africa, the region
will play a central role in shaping the size and distribution of world population during
this century.

Due to higher fertility rate of Sub-saharan Africans, they will become the overwhelming majority, both Muslim and Christian in this continent. This is a potential opportunity that could as well become a disaster if future is not properly planned.