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Fareed Zakaria’s poor journalism misguided allegations on Pakistan's Nuke Program

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Source:
Fareed Zakaria’s nuclear allegations


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More by Muhammad Umar
Muhammad Umar is an assistant professor at the National University of Sciences and Technology.

On his show last week, CNN’s Fareed Zakaria made bold claims about Pakistan’s nuclear weapons program. In a segment of his show called, “What in the World?” he claimed that Pakistan posed a bigger threat to global nuclear security than Iran and North Korea.

Zakaria then went on to declare that Pakistan had the fastest growing nuclear weapons program in the world, citing two recently published reports by the Federation of American Scientists and the Stimson Center, he warned that if Pakistan’s program continued to grow at its current rate it would become the 3rd or 5th largest nuclear weapons state by 2025 depending on which report you look at.

Addressing a gap in its deterrence capability, Pakistan introduced tactical nuclear weapons in 2011; Zakaria warns this is a big cause for concern because “Pakistan is a hotbed of jihadi radicalism,” and tactical nuclear weapons can easily fall into the hands of terrorists. For this reason, according to research done by Zakaria and his team, the United States has a contingency plan in place to take control of Pakistan’s nuclear weapons.

Zakaria, an Indian born American, ended his segment looking desperate and blaming President Barack Obama for not doing enough to limit Pakistan’s nuclear weapons program and accusing him of instead spending too much time on Iran, a country that does not have actual nuclear weapons

Oh boy! If I were Fareed Zakaria I would fire my research team, until and unless the goal was in fact to misguide his viewers with one-sided biased reporting on a very serious issue.

I do not argue with the information he presented because the reports he cites actually exist and the projections in those reports do show an increase of Pakistani weapons by 2025. The issue however is the reports, which Zakaria completely ignored. The reports calculate the numbers of weapons Pakistan can develop if they used up all of their available resources. This should have raised a red flag if Zakaria actually cared how the reports were prepared. Pakistan is not a rich country, and furthermore it has very limited resources. The biggest resource constrain is access to uranium, which is an essential ingredient for making nuclear bombs.

The uranium stockpiles Pakistan has are used for both civil and military uses. Having recently announced a mid-century energy vision, the country plans to use most of its uranium to produce electricity, not weapons.
This is unlike in the case of India, a country whose nuclear weapons program is growing at a faster rate than Pakistan, but was completely ignored by Zakaria in his report. India having secured an NSG exemption from the USA in 2008, allowing it to import uranium from around the world, is able to dedicate all of its indigenous supply of uranium for weapons production.

Adrian Levy, an investigative journalist for the Guardian reported earlier this year that India is building an entire city dedicated to enriching uranium. Did Zakaria miss this report or dismiss it on purpose to mislead his audience?

Pakistan has the strongest nuclear security and safety framework in the world. The International Atomic Energy Agency has so much confidence and respect for Pakistan’s nuclear safety and security culture that it is now using Pakistan’s Center for Nuclear Excellence as a regional hub to train others in the norms of safety and security adopted by Pakistan.

Even the Nuclear Threat Initiative in its report earlier this year gave Pakistan a higher ranking than India on safety and security. I wonder if Zakaria knew this before making his allegations.

In a recent conference in Islamabad, Lt. General Khalid Kidwai, the former guardian of Pakistan’s nuclear arsenal said, “Pakistan’s national security is intertwined with its nuclear security, therefore it is the state’s most pressing priority.” In addition to the multiple layers of security and protection applied to the physical nuclear material, the country under the leadership of General Kidwai has invested a great deal on strengthening intelligence capabilities.

Zakaria talks about Pakistan’s tactical nuclear weapons but does not say a word about India’s tactical nuclear weapons, like the Prithvi, a low yield short-range missile.

Pakistan is combating terrorism, unlike India, which is using terrorism as an instrument of its policy to destabilise Pakistan. Most recently a former Indian Naval officer, working for RAW was arrested in Baluchistan and has been tied to a number of terrorist attacks in the country.

If Zakaria wants his viewers to be concerned about a country, it should be India, not Pakistan. Their new nuclear naval and military developments are not just destabilising South Asia, but are a threat to global
security.

The development of INS Arihant, a nuclear powered submarine capable of carrying nuclear weapons, and their recent tests of the SLBMs K-4, K5 will undoubtedly further worsen regional security.

Mr. Zakaria India now has the capability of targeting any site in the United States, a country you say you love and are now citizen of with nuclear weapons. Should this not concern you? India can park its nuclear submarine off the Western or Eastern US Coasts, easily bringing Washington DC, New York or Los Angeles, and San Francisco into its nuclear sights. Last I checked Pakistan did not possess such capabilities, and nor do they have any plans to develop them.
 
Response:

Lets look at India's poor record of nuclear safety ever few years , either a mafia ring or god knows who is stealing the Nuclear radio active material

Source:
Catch News | Smuggling racket involving atomic minerals busted

Source #2
Atomic material smuggling racket busted, Rajasthan ATS arrests 6 | The Indian Express

+ Confirmed and valid source

People were stealing stuff with out officials knowing it

A composite team from the Department of Atomic Energy (DAE), the Intelligence Bureau and the Anti-Terrorism Squad (ATS) of Rajasthan Police broke a smuggling ring that took an atomic mineral called beryl from India to unknown destination. About 31 tonnes of beryl was recovered.

The racket was busted after the DAE received an anonymous tip-off by letter in early January and alerted the IB. After confirming the tip, the IB passed on the information to the Rajasthan Police's ATS, which arrested six men by the end of January and recovered the atomic mineral.

Beryl is extracted from the ore of beryllium and used in atomic power plants, space technology and scanning equipment, according to The Indian Express.



Earlier in October, about 20 tonnes of beryl was allegedly smuggled to Hong Kong from Kandla Port, Gujarat.

About 10 per cent of India's beryl comes from Rajasthan. The mineral is a "prescribed substance" notified by the DAE under the Atomic Energy Act, 1962, and its export is regulated under the Foreign Trade (Development and Regulation) Act.

As a signatory of the International Atomic Energy Agency's (IAEA) Convention on Physical Protection of Nuclear Material and its 2005 Amendment, India is bound to prevent the smuggling of all atomic minerals.


 
Last edited:
March 2016


Kakrapar leak a ‘Level-1’ nuclear mishap, says AERB


Source
Kakrapar leak a ‘Level-1’ nuclear mishap, says AERB - The Hindu

India’s atomic energy regulatory body has classified Friday’s nuclear reactor leak at the Kakrapar atomic power station (KAPS) as a Level-1, or the lowest in a seven-rung classification scheme internationally used to rate the severity of nuclear mishaps.

Akin to the Richter scale, used to quantify the severity of an earthquake, the International Nuclear and Radiological Event (INES) scale, developed by the International Atomic Energy Authority, rates a Level 1 as only akin to ‘an anomaly in the plant.’ Levels 1-3 are termed ‘incidents’ and 4-7 as ‘accident.’ By comparison, the nuclear accidents in Fukushima, Japan in 2011 and Chernobyl, Russia in 1986 were Level 7 incidents, according to the Atomic Energy Regulatory Board (AERB) update.

On Friday, one of the pipes carrying heavy water ruptured and led to leakage on the floor of the reactor building. Though plant operators have identified the location of the leak, it will take a while for it to be plugged.

Moreover, the leak occurred in a subsystem that had been refurbished with better quality material in 2011, as part of a planned upgrade.



Tritium poisoning at India’s Kaiga nuclear reactor | Greenpeace International

Year -> 2009

Tritium poisoning at India’s Kaiga nuclear reactor

Over 55 workers at the Kaiga Generation Station in Karnataka were exposed to an excessive radiation dosage when they drank from a water cooler. How did it happen? The water had been mixed with tritium which is a radioactive form of hydrogen, used in research, fusion reactors and neutron generators. Tritium is a radiation hazard when inhaled, ingested via food, water, or absorbed through the skin. It’s also used in making hydrogen bombs.

The incident took place on November 25, when the number one reactor was under shut down for maintenance. Officials said their suspicions were confirmed when not only workers who worked in the radioactive areas of the reactor but also those who did not work in the radioactive zones had a high dose of tritium in their routine urine samples.

Top officials with the Nuclear Power Corporation of India Limited blamed the incident on ‘an insider's mischief’. They alleged that ‘an insider had mixed tritium in the drinking water in the water cooler kept in the operating island of the first unit’ at Kaiga.
 
This is neither the first nor the last time our nuclear program is targeted or criticised.
They see me rollin'
They hatin'
 
N-plant radiation leak in Karnataka leaves 45 staffers sick

N-plant radiation leak in Karnataka leaves 45 staffers sick - Times of India

In a nuclear accident that is bound to raise key safety concerns ahead of India's ambitious atomic expansion programme, about 45 employees of the Kaiga atomic power plant suffered radiation poisoning when radioactive heavy water from the plant contaminated the drinking water. Kaiga is one of India's newer nuclear reactors.
 
This is the guy that said that Gen Raheel Sharif would commit a coup, and oust NS. I don't take anything this guys says seriously.

His idiocy is well known and recorded.
 
As I said before the data purge; he is a left-wing plagiarist and has zero defence credentials. He scarcely mentions India's nuclear arsenal and does not, (or does not want to.) comprehend that a country's defence policies cannot be based on what their potential enemy says they will do but only on what their potential enemy can do. Pakistan needs an arsenal that can survive a first strike and retaliate. That ensures deterrence.
 
As I said before the data purge; he is a left-wing plagiarist and has zero defence credentials. He scarcely mentions India's nuclear arsenal and does not, (or does not want to.) comprehend that a country's defence policies cannot be based on what their potential enemy says they will do but only on what their potential enemy can do. Pakistan needs an arsenal that can survive a first strike and retaliate. That ensures deterrence.
Sir,

India doesn't proliferate centrifuges, enriched material and enrichment protocols to countries like Libya, North Korea and Iran as a part of state policy which posses a direct threat to US interests, and there lies the biggest difference between the two.
 
As I said before the data purge; he is a left-wing plagiarist and has zero defence credentials. He scarcely mentions India's nuclear arsenal and does not, (or does not want to.) comprehend that a country's defence policies cannot be based on what their potential enemy says they will do but only on what their potential enemy can do. Pakistan needs an arsenal that can survive a first strike and retaliate. That ensures deterrence.

False reasoning, the case you make for Pakistan specific to India can be similarly be made for India specific to China removing Pakistan from equation. Suffice to say - India has nothing to gain by launching a first strike on Pakistan. Kindly look at the complete power dynamics of India, China and Pakistan and alliance b/w China and Pakistan to arrive at the complete picture of motivations of India.
 
Sir,

India doesn't proliferate centrifuges, enriched material and enrichment protocols to countries like Libya, North Korea and Iran as a part of state policy which posses a direct threat to US interests, and there lies the biggest difference between the two.

Oh, I agree. I don't think India's nuclear arsenal threatens US interest. That had nothing to do with my post.

the case you make for Pakistan specific to India can be similarly be made for India specific to China removing Pakistan from equation.

You are correct but that can't be a factor in Pakistan's calculations.

Suffice to say - India has nothing to gain by launching a first strike on Pakistan.

That may be but Pakistan cannot base their deterrence on what India may or may not do or on current dynamics. She can only base her deterrence on what India can do. When it's intentions vs. capability, one always goes with 'capability' as the yardstick to measure by. It's basic strategic military thinking.
 
That may be but Pakistan cannot base their deterrence on what India may or may not do or on current dynamics. She can only base her deterrence on what India can do. When it's intentions vs. capability, one always goes with 'capability' as the yardstick to measure by. It's basic strategic military thinking.

Intent is the prime mover not the capability, nuclear weapons are just a tool what matters is the intent of it's wielder and there in lies the nuances of judgement which is oh so sadly missing in Pakistan. It is not so surprising as Generals have a different mindset and ideas than civilian leadership and all said and done Pakistan (not counting N. Korea) is the only country with nukes where security policy is firmly in hands of military leadership whose raison d'etre is war.

If one were making plans based on capability alone then Germans should have nukes too as their historic enemies France and UK have and the same goes for Japan as N. Korea and China have nukes.Why leave Iran out of the party as Israel too has nukes :)
 
Intent is the prime mover not the capability,

No offence, but you must not have any military experience. One never bases one's defence on what the enemy may do or not do, but only on what he is capable of doing. That's just basic military strategy 101.

If one were making plans based on capability alone then Germans should have nukes too as their historic enemies France and UK have.

Except that Germany, France, and the UK are not enemies but military allies. The UK and France does have a necessary nuclear arsenal though and it is not based on what they think Putin might do. Putin is not even a factor in that calculation. Those arsenals existed before Putin and they will exist after Putin. They are based on what they calculate are Russian capabilities and are designed to have enough forces to survive and retaliate, no matter what government is in power in Moscow.
 
No offence, but you must not have any military experience. One never bases one's defence on what the enemy may do or not do, but only on what he is capable of doing. That's just basic military strategy 101.



Except that Germany, France, and the UK are not enemies but military allies. The UK and France does have a necessary nuclear arsenal though and it is not based on what they think Putin might do. Putin is not even a factor in that calculation. Those arsenals existed before Putin and they will exist after Putin. They are based on what they calculate are Russian capabilities and are designed to have enough forces to survive and retaliate, no matter what government is in power in Moscow.

Very conveniently my point over Iran was glossed over, would you say Israel having nukes gives Iran the justification for possessing them ? :) As for my experience you are correct, I have none.
 
They are based on what they calculate are Russian capabilities and are designed to have enough forces to survive and retaliate, no matter what government is in power in Moscow.
You should rethink this statement,Russia is not the Soviet Union and Putin has absolute power(its not the US or a EU country).
If Putin wants,he can.
 

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