tvsram1992
SENIOR MEMBER
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Though MMRCA deal is for long time strategical benefits and experience of assembling 4++ gen aircrfats, we are having threat from china and pakistan.
Definetly we can say that MMRCA deal is going to take much time and we can expect delays. We cant be able to get 126 aircrafts completely by 2010.
So, its clear that we can't easily tackle immediate threat ie before 2020.
So, American aircrafts are best option for us. We can consider the following 2 options:
1. Award the deal to F-16 . We get 18 F-16IN's directly , we can start making them here so that there is no chance of american's keeping spy devices in falcons(There is a rumor that spy devices have been kept in PAF's F-16's). Mean while american's have more than 1200 F-16's. Ask them 100 F-16's for lease, we would return them in dozens when HAL completes making of dozen aircraft. Americans wouldn't feel much difficult for giving 100 aircrafts for lease when we are ordering such an amount of aircrafts.
2. Directly ask USAF to lease 100 F-16's (we can say we ll buy 100 US aircrafts later/we ll trade $10billion with them. It can be CJ-130's/AEWC&s/F/A 18's/F-35's/Other transport aircrafts.........). Any way we will trade with them even if we don't do like this.
Definetly we can say that MMRCA deal is going to take much time and we can expect delays. We cant be able to get 126 aircrafts completely by 2010.
My analysis of future IAF
2010- Total aircraft-636 , Effective aircraft(Su30,Mig29,Mirage,Jaguar)-413, Next to be retired:Mig21,Mig27,Jaguar
Any one can attack india easily before 2020. After wards india will be tuffest opponent.
Interceptor . Mig21 bison -121 .121
Multirole/airsuperiority . Su30mk/mk2 - 42, su30mki-82 .124
Fighter aircraft . Mig29S- 69, Mirage 2000H- 51 .120
Ground attack . JaguarIM-169 , Mig 27UPG-102 .271
2020- Total aircraft-738 , Effective aircraft(Su30,Super30,MMRCA,Tejas)-498, Next to be retired:Jaguar,Mirage,Mig29's
India is self sufficient. We are defensive, no one can dare to attack us
Interceptor . Tejas Mk1-40,Tejas Mk2-30 .70
Multirole/airsuperiority . MMRCA-126 ,Sukhoi su30 super-180 .306
Fighter aircraft . Su30mki-124 ,Mig29S- 69 .193
Ground attack . Jaguar upgraded-100, Mirage 2000H- 51,PakFa-18 .171
2030- Total aircraft-820 , Effective aircraft(Su30,super30,Tejas,Indian bomber,Russian bomber,Pakfa,fgfa,MMRCA)-820, Next to be retired:No retirement, Only upgrades
Dont touch India u'll die. India can stop attacks from neighbours.
Interceptor . Tejas Mk1-40,Tejas mk2-100 .140
Multirole/airsuperiority . Pakfa-50,Fgfa-50,Sukhoi su30 super-204 .304
Fighter aircraft . MMRCA-126 ,Su30mki-100 .226
Ground attack . Indeginous bomber-50,Sukhoi/ Mig bomber-100 .150
2040- Total aircraft-1270 , Effective aircraft(Su30,super30,TejasMk2,Indian bomber,Russian bomber,Pakfa,fgfa,Amca)-1104, Next to be retired:MMRCA will be upgraded to strike attack ,Tejas Mk1
Stealth rules india.IAF becomes attack airforce. More than sufficient airforce. India can attack deep in china.
Interceptor . Tejas Mk1-40,Tejas Mk2-150 .190
Multirole/airsuperiority . Fgfa-250,Sukhoi su30 super-254 .504
Fighter aircraft . Pakfa-50,Amca-100,Su30mki-50 .200
Ground attack . MMRCA-126,Indeginous bomber-150,Sukhoi/Mig bomber-100 .376
2050- Total aircraft-1370 , Effective aircraft(super30,Tejas,Indian bomber,Russian bomber,Pakfa,fgfa,MMRCA,Stealth bomber)-1020, Next to be retired:MMRCA,Su30's
Inducts more stealthy crafts. Gets ready for 6th gen aircrafts. Neighbours scare from India.India can attack china and pakistan simuntaneously!
Interceptor . Tejas Mk2-150, MMRCA-100 .250
Multirole/airsuperiority . Fgfa-250,Amca-200 .450
Fighter aircraft . Pak fa-50,Su30 most advanced-250 .300
Ground attack . Tejas Mk3-50,Stealth bomber-20,Indeginous bomber-200,Russian bomber-100 .370
Then onwards non stealthy aircrafts will be slowly replaced by stealthy ones and 6th gen aircrafts.
In 2060 su30's becomes 2010 mig21's and the story continues.....
*Effective aircraft refers to good aircraft at that time.
So, its clear that we can't easily tackle immediate threat ie before 2020.
So, American aircrafts are best option for us. We can consider the following 2 options:
1. Award the deal to F-16 . We get 18 F-16IN's directly , we can start making them here so that there is no chance of american's keeping spy devices in falcons(There is a rumor that spy devices have been kept in PAF's F-16's). Mean while american's have more than 1200 F-16's. Ask them 100 F-16's for lease, we would return them in dozens when HAL completes making of dozen aircraft. Americans wouldn't feel much difficult for giving 100 aircrafts for lease when we are ordering such an amount of aircrafts.
2. Directly ask USAF to lease 100 F-16's (we can say we ll buy 100 US aircrafts later/we ll trade $10billion with them. It can be CJ-130's/AEWC&s/F/A 18's/F-35's/Other transport aircrafts.........). Any way we will trade with them even if we don't do like this.