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Exclusive: Maldives set to pull out of China free trade deal, says senior lawmaker

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Sanjeev Miglani and Mohamed Junayd

MALE (Reuters) - The Maldives' new government will pull out of a free trade agreement (FTA) with China because it was a mistake for the tiny nation to strike such a pact with the world's second biggest economy, the head of the largest party in the ruling alliance said.

It is the latest sign of a backlash against China in the Maldives, best-known for its luxury resorts on palm-fringed coral islands.

"The trade imbalance between China and the Maldives is so huge that nobody would think of an FTA between such parties," said Mohamed Nasheed, the chief of the Maldivian Democratic Party, which leads the ruling federal alliance. "China is not buying anything from us. It is a one-way treaty."

On Saturday, as he took office, the new President Ibrahim Mohamed Solih declared the state coffers have been "looted" and warned that the country was in financial difficulty after racking up debt with Chinese lenders.

Former President Abdullah Yameen, who lost the election in September, signed the FTA during a visit to Beijing in December, and the same month his parliament ratified the treaty despite opposition protests that he had rushed through the 1,000-page document in less than an hour without any debate.

Nasheed, a former president and now an advisor to Solih, said parliament would not pass the law changes required for the zero tariffs agreement to come into force.

"It was ratified by parliament, but fortunately it calls for different sets of legislation. We are not going to have this further legislation. We can't go with that," Nasheed told Reuters in an interview in the capital Male.

China's embassy in Male did not respond to a request for a comment on the trade pact.

But China's Foreign Ministry said in a statement that Culture and Tourism Minister Luo Shugang, President Xi Jinping's special envoy to the inauguration, told Solih that China paid great attention to developing relations with the Maldives.

The Maldives is among a number of small countries where China has invested billions of dollars building highways and housing as part of its Belt and Road Initiative. Through that initiative, Beijing hopes to improve trade and investment flows with much of Asia and parts of the rest of the world.

China was willing to work with the Maldives to consolidate their traditional friendship, plan their practical cooperation and promote Belt and Road to inject "new impetus" into their future relationship, the foreign ministry cited Luo as saying during Sunday's meeting with Maldivian president.

The statement cited Solih as expressing appreciation for China's long-term support of the Maldives and that he was willing to further deepen cooperation under the Belt and Road framework.

STRIKING DEALS

Critics in the Maldives say a China-led infrastructure boom has left the tiny country of a little more than 400,000 people debt-ridden, and a free trade pact would only make the situation worse given the lopsided nature of the relationship.

Between January to August this year, the Maldives' imports from China were $342 million, while its exports to China were just $265,270, according to Maldives customs data. The island nation bought meat, agricultural produce, flowers, plants, electronics and toys from China among many other items.

It imported $194 million worth of goods from India, its traditional partner, during the same period, while exporting $1.8 million of products including scrap metal such as copper, aluminum and steel.

The Yameen administration said at the time that the FTA with China would help diversify the $3.9 billion economy and boost fisheries exports from the Maldives, crucial since the European Union declined in 2014 to renew a tax concession on them.

The two countries would open up services such as finance, healthcare and tourism, China said at the time. The Maldives has no free trade pacts with any other country.

If the Maldives turns away, it would be the latest setback for China, which is facing opposition for its projects in countries stretching from Malaysia to Nepal, and even from its all-weather ally Pakistan.

A proposed free trade agreement has been held up in Sri Lanka over Colombo's demand that it have the option to leave after 10 years.

A member of Solih's transition team also said the administration was thinking of cancelling the pact.

"It makes no business sense," the official said, requesting anonymity because of the sensitivity of the matter. "This is not something we are going to pursue, we expect the cabinet to meet and take a formal decision on this."

The new administration plans an audit of the deals signed by the Yameen administration, but it said it had no plans to suspend or cancel any of the projects, such as airport expansion and housing contracts, given to Chinese firms.



(Additional reporting by Ben Blanchard in BEIJING; Editing by Martin Howell and Alex Richardson)

Our standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
 
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He speaks with a forked tongue. The lure of Chinese money is too strong for Maldives to walk away.

That's exactly the problem.. It is like opium. Your money is not the problem. In fact, it is a boon for any developing country.

Honestly, I don't even blame the Chinese for this. Because Chinese government wants to make infrastructure, ports, airports, hospitals etc which, in the long-run, are extremely beneficial for any country.

But the problem is, these countries do not conduct feasibility studies or plan their infrastructure in a meaningful way such that they can actually monetize the infrastructure that China builds for them.

This results in piling debts and then they are unable to pay; sadly, many of these developing countries have socially illiterate (not academically) leaders who don't understand the importance of cost vs national budget vs monetization etc.
 
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"The trade imbalance between China and the Maldives is so huge that nobody would think of an FTA between such parties," said Mohamed Nasheed, the chief of the Maldivian Democratic Party, which leads the ruling federal alliance. "China is not buying anything from us. It is a one-way treaty."

What does Maldives produce in the first place?

Edit:

Maldives-Export-1.jpg


I feel bad for laughing.
 
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He speaks with a forked tongue. The lure of Chinese money is too strong for Maldives to walk away.
  • India will soon make a large investment in the maldives, and I believe that India has the strength.
  • The huge Indian middle class will generate huge revenues for tourism in the maldives
 
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That's exactly the problem.. It is like opium. Your money is not the problem. In fact, it is a boon for any developing country.

Honestly, I don't even blame the Chinese for this. Because Chinese government wants to make infrastructure, ports, airports, hospitals etc which, in the long-run, are extremely beneficial for any country.

But the problem is, these countries do not conduct feasibility studies or plan their infrastructure in a meaningful way such that they can actually monetize the infrastructure that China builds for them.

This results in piling debts and then they are unable to pay; sadly, many of these developing countries have socially illiterate (not academically) leaders who don't understand the importance of cost vs national budget vs monetization etc.
When CN sign the deal, she also demand to bring her Cnese workers to build the infrastructure insead of train the local to improve their skill.

Thats why developing countries who ask for CN investment will still remain illiterate cos CN train them Nothing but wishing those countries will never make money from the project and finnally become the victim of debt.
 
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When CN sign the deal, she also demand to bring her Cnese workers to build the infrastructure insead of train the local to improve their skill.

Thats why developing countries who ask for CN investment will still remain illiterate cos CN train them Nothing but wishing those countries will never make money from the project and finnally become the victim of debt.

You are right, buddy.

Correct 100%.

But tell me something; is it China's fault that the local politicians are corrupt and don't negotiate?

Sri Lanka's Rajapakse just bullied everyone into accepting favourable terms just for Chinese money and today Lankans cannot pay off their external debt to China.

Yameen did a coup in his Maldives and today they cannot pay back their loans.

Nepal's Oli started on a similar trajectory, going openly anti-India (I am not saying that we were always very benevolent, infact our former leaders were quite idiotic in making Nepali politics so anti-India). Fortunately, our tensions cooled down.

Bangladesh follows a balanced policy with China, Japan, Korea, USA, India and everyone else so it is safe for now. But look at numerous African nations. All their leaders were corrupt and instead of using Chinese investments for truly mutual benefits, they created white elephants for their countries now unable to pay off Chinese loan.

If I am the ruler of a small country, I would first see which infrastructure is badly needed by my country:

  1. If it is roads, I will develop a tiered masterplan to connect top 10, top 20 and top 50 cities first, ensuring that inter-province toll collection mechanism is created to ensure cost recovery in at least 30 years.
  2. If I make a port using Chinese money, I will ensure that it is made in a place where ships want to come and use as a transshipment hub, so that I can collect a basing fee and recover my costs
  3. If I make an airport, I will ensure that it is connected to leading commercial centres nearby with easy road access and provide discounted landing fees to encourage airlines and promote non-aero revenues for profits in 20-30 years.
  4. If I want a railway system, then I will see what are the demand patterns and growth catchment areas before laying the tracks
Chinese just suggested and invested. The local corrupt politicians screwed it up.

Technically China isn't wrong from a business perspective.
 
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You are right, buddy.

Correct 100%.

But tell me something; is it China's fault that the local politicians are corrupt and don't negotiate?

Sri Lanka's Rajapakse just bullied everyone into accepting favourable terms just for Chinese money and today Lankans cannot pay off their external debt to China.

Yameen did a coup in his Maldives and today they cannot pay back their loans.

Nepal's Oli started on a similar trajectory, going openly anti-India (I am not saying that we were always very benevolent, infact our former leaders were quite idiotic in making Nepali politics so anti-India). Fortunately, our tensions cooled down.

Bangladesh follows a balanced policy with China, Japan, Korea, USA, India and everyone else so it is safe for now. But look at numerous African nations. All their leaders were corrupt and instead of using Chinese investments for truly mutual benefits, they created white elephants for their countries now unable to pay off Chinese loan.

If I am the ruler of a small country, I would first see which infrastructure is badly needed by my country:

  1. If it is roads, I will develop a tiered masterplan to connect top 10, top 20 and top 50 cities first, ensuring that inter-province toll collection mechanism is created to ensure cost recovery in at least 30 years.
  2. If I make a port using Chinese money, I will ensure that it is made in a place where ships want to come and use as a transshipment hub, so that I can collect a basing fee and recover my costs
  3. If I make an airport, I will ensure that it is connected to leading commercial centres nearby with easy road access and provide discounted landing fees to encourage airlines and promote non-aero revenues for profits in 20-30 years.
  4. If I want a railway system, then I will see what are the demand patterns and growth catchment areas before laying the tracks
Chinese just suggested and invested. The local corrupt politicians screwed it up.

Technically China isn't wrong from a business perspective.
Well Explained. @war&peace @Maarkhoor @Windjammer Just read above post
 
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You are right, buddy.

Correct 100%.

But tell me something; is it China's fault that the local politicians are corrupt and don't negotiate?

Sri Lanka's Rajapakse just bullied everyone into accepting favourable terms just for Chinese money and today Lankans cannot pay off their external debt to China.

Yameen did a coup in his Maldives and today they cannot pay back their loans.

Nepal's Oli started on a similar trajectory, going openly anti-India (I am not saying that we were always very benevolent, infact our former leaders were quite idiotic in making Nepali politics so anti-India). Fortunately, our tensions cooled down.

Bangladesh follows a balanced policy with China, Japan, Korea, USA, India and everyone else so it is safe for now. But look at numerous African nations. All their leaders were corrupt and instead of using Chinese investments for truly mutual benefits, they created white elephants for their countries now unable to pay off Chinese loan.

If I am the ruler of a small country, I would first see which infrastructure is badly needed by my country:

  1. If it is roads, I will develop a tiered masterplan to connect top 10, top 20 and top 50 cities first, ensuring that inter-province toll collection mechanism is created to ensure cost recovery in at least 30 years.
  2. If I make a port using Chinese money, I will ensure that it is made in a place where ships want to come and use as a transshipment hub, so that I can collect a basing fee and recover my costs
  3. If I make an airport, I will ensure that it is connected to leading commercial centres nearby with easy road access and provide discounted landing fees to encourage airlines and promote non-aero revenues for profits in 20-30 years.
  4. If I want a railway system, then I will see what are the demand patterns and growth catchment areas before laying the tracks
Chinese just suggested and invested. The local corrupt politicians screwed it up.

Technically China isn't wrong from a business perspective.
Based on Karl Marx communist theory, then thats CN's fault. As the big country, CN should help smaller and weaker countries to improve their living standar by giving them more training and more healthy investment ( thats the reason why VN defeated mighty US in 1975 and CN/Pol Pot in 1979 wt support from JP-SK-Nato-US thanks to Soviet tranining and helpfull support/investment).

If CN help those countries wt her heart then many of them may support CN in trade war against US. But in fact CN just want those countries to get into bigger debt, so now, even Maldivest also want to get rid of CN and happy to see CN collapse due to US's sanction, so they can erase the debt ( cos CN can not demand them to pay back when she collapse)
 
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Based on Karl Marx communist theory, then thats CN's fault. As the big country, CN should help smaller and weaker countries to improve their living standar by giving them more training and more healthy investment ( thats the reason why VN defeated mighty US in 1975 and CN/Pol Pot in 1979 wt support from JP-SK-Nato-US thanks to Soviet tranining and helpfull support/investment).

Buddy, we need to get certain things right:

  1. Communism failed. Miserably so, because it was an impractical and transient ideology which is not sustainable in the long run without checks and balances
  2. China is not communist any more. Communism to China served as a means to 'bring everyone on the same table'. That's all. That Communism, helped in re-tuning the Chinese people with basic Confucian theory of social harmony and state obedience.
  3. It is not China's responsibility to develop other nations if the leaders of those countries don't have the vision. If you are having a fever and tell the doctor that you have a leg pain, you will be prescribed wrong medicines, simple.
  4. Vietnam defeated US and threw out China because Vietnamese people had a resolve for the country and were dedicated to the nation. Also, Soviet Union's might stood behind you just as NAM's tacit support did. :) Don't attribute your victory to a dead ideology; it was the blood and sacrifice of Vietnamese people.
Maldives, Pakistan, Sri Lanka, Angola, Kenya, Ethopia, RO Congo, Sudan, Cameroon, Nigeria and Ghana are responsible for their current situation.

While Kenya, Ghana, Angola, Ethiopia and Nigeria have stable governments and have a better control of their resources, they can always pay off the loan at market rates using their mining resources.

However, the remaining are not so stable as we can see from different news updates.

Put it this way:

Once you move in, your installments clock starts ticking. So now instead of a rent, you are paying an installment, which in the end would allow you to take full ownership of your house.

If you choose a house wisely, stick to your work and responsibly pay off the loan, your daughter or son will get to enjoy the security of your own house and will be able to aspire for something greater thank working their heads off in some office for their own house (maybe they'll be able to save up double the cash and start their own business).

However, if you are not responsible with your loans and instead blow off the loan money in alcohol and drugs, then what will happen? The bank will still ask you their money back. No turning back from that.

This is similar, only, that this is with countries instead of individuals.

You are a working man going to your office daily and living in a rented apartment. Now, you aspire to have a house of your own for your family. So, you go to the bank and ask for a loan. The bank sees you as a potential customer and to make sure you purchase their scheme, offer you a good deal for bank loan at a relatively low interest rate. You accept the loan. Now, you go to the public office in your area and file for the registration work and documentation, while at the same time, choose a house of your choice and design.
  • Maldives annual revenue is less than half of what they are supposed to pay off.
  • Sri Lanka has to find international investors to monetize their resources in order to be able to generate revenue to return loans. Since they failed, they are now focusing on leasing infrastructure assets at China's wishes
  • Pakistan needless to say, in their obsession to counter us, they kept piling debt and blindly agreeing to all recommendations from Chinese consultants without their own internal needs. How will Pakistan pay off?
  • Nepal and India have Free Border Agreement for decades. We consider them as our own and vice versa from a common man's perspective. However, anti-India is a lobby in Nepal and gets votes, just as anti-China is a lobby as well. But since they are landlocked, they need to do smarter politics to get favours from both sides. China is constructing an excellent railway network in Nepal to connect Chinese cities to Nepal's capital. Nepal's government is still recovering from a constitutional deadlock and political instability. You do the math and tell me.
  • Congo, Cameroon and Sudan: Political instability, irresponsible control or lack of control over resources, limitless civil wars and constant meddling of mercenaries and external powers. Sudan still can pay off through its oil reserves, which China will take from its routing base in Eritrea. The others are doomed.
 
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The Maldives buy less than $300,000 from China while import more than $300 million?

Wow, calling it as looting is an understatement.
 
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Buddy, we need to get certain things right:

  1. Communism failed. Miserably so, because it was an impractical and transient ideology which is not sustainable in the long run without checks and balances
  2. China is not communist any more. Communism to China served as a means to 'bring everyone on the same table'. That's all. That Communism, helped in re-tuning the Chinese people with basic Confucian theory of social harmony and state obedience.
  3. It is not China's responsibility to develop other nations if the leaders of those countries don't have the vision. If you are having a fever and tell the doctor that you have a leg pain, you will be prescribed wrong medicines, simple.
  4. Vietnam defeated US and threw out China because Vietnamese people had a resolve for the country and were dedicated to the nation. Also, Soviet Union's might stood behind you just as NAM's tacit support did. :) Don't attribute your victory to a dead ideology; it was the blood and sacrifice of Vietnamese people.
Maldives, Pakistan, Sri Lanka, Angola, Kenya, Ethopia, RO Congo, Sudan, Cameroon, Nigeria and Ghana are responsible for their current situation.

While Kenya, Ghana, Angola, Ethiopia and Nigeria have stable governments and have a better control of their resources, they can always pay off the loan at market rates using their mining resources.

However, the remaining are not so stable as we can see from different news updates.

Put it this way:

Once you move in, your installments clock starts ticking. So now instead of a rent, you are paying an installment, which in the end would allow you to take full ownership of your house.

If you choose a house wisely, stick to your work and responsibly pay off the loan, your daughter or son will get to enjoy the security of your own house and will be able to aspire for something greater thank working their heads off in some office for their own house (maybe they'll be able to save up double the cash and start their own business).

However, if you are not responsible with your loans and instead blow off the loan money in alcohol and drugs, then what will happen? The bank will still ask you their money back. No turning back from that.

This is similar, only, that this is with countries instead of individuals.

You are a working man going to your office daily and living in a rented apartment. Now, you aspire to have a house of your own for your family. So, you go to the bank and ask for a loan. The bank sees you as a potential customer and to make sure you purchase their scheme, offer you a good deal for bank loan at a relatively low interest rate. You accept the loan. Now, you go to the public office in your area and file for the registration work and documentation, while at the same time, choose a house of your choice and design.
  • Maldives annual revenue is less than half of what they are supposed to pay off.
  • Sri Lanka has to find international investors to monetize their resources in order to be able to generate revenue to return loans. Since they failed, they are now focusing on leasing infrastructure assets at China's wishes
  • Pakistan needless to say, in their obsession to counter us, they kept piling debt and blindly agreeing to all recommendations from Chinese consultants without their own internal needs. How will Pakistan pay off?
  • Nepal and India have Free Border Agreement for decades. We consider them as our own and vice versa from a common man's perspective. However, anti-India is a lobby in Nepal and gets votes, just as anti-China is a lobby as well. But since they are landlocked, they need to do smarter politics to get favours from both sides. China is constructing an excellent railway network in Nepal to connect Chinese cities to Nepal's capital. Nepal's government is still recovering from a constitutional deadlock and political instability. You do the math and tell me.
  • Congo, Cameroon and Sudan: Political instability, irresponsible control or lack of control over resources, limitless civil wars and constant meddling of mercenaries and external powers. Sudan still can pay off through its oil reserves, which China will take from its routing base in Eritrea. The others are doomed.
Bro, your 1st "certain thing" is wrong.After the dead of Lenin, Soviet was not smart enough to run communist theory, so she collapse.Communism is just like controlling an air plane when Soviet was just able to ride a motobike, so the air plane got crashed.

Your 2nd "certain thing" is also wrong. CN is using Lenin New economy policy now ( read Lenin NEP if u dont know).

And bcs u dont know what is NEP, so your 3rd"certain thing" is also wrong. CN should help weaker and smaller nations to create a stronger bloc to defeat bad guy US ( CN didnt do it, so now US can kill CN easily in trade war)

4th is Ok.I agree except communist theory is not dead. Or even its dead, the world still need to overthrow greedy capitalist US cos she does Nothing good but selling weapon and creating chaos to make money.


Pls read Lenin NEP before we can continue discussing
 
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Arrivals by country
Most visitors arriving to the Maldives on short term basis, were from the following countries of nationality:

Foreign tourist arrivals
Rank Country 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011
1 China 306,530 324,326 359,514 363,626 331,719 229,550 198,655
2 Germany 112,109 106,381 105,132 98,328 93,598 98,351 90,517
3 United Kingdom 103,977 101,843 92,775 88,704 85,869 91,776 104,508
4 Italy 88,848 71,202 65,616 57,862 57,854 62,782 83,328
5 India 83,019 66,955 52,368 45,587 38,014 31,721 30,978
6 Russia 61,931 46,522 44,323 66,308 76,479 66,378 63,936
7 France 42,365 40,487 42,024 50,656 54,328 56,775 59,694
8 Japan 41,133 39,894 39,244 38,817 39,463 36,438 35,782
9 United States 39,180 32,589 29,308 25,641 20,034 16,049 14,490
10 South Korea 34,808 29,580 33,001 34,896 30,306 23,933 25,285
Total 1,389,542 1,286,135 1,234,248 1,204,857 1,125,202 958,027 931,333

Is tourism a big part of this country's economy?
 
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