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Even after Rafale and other inductions, IAF will have only half of 42-squadron target by 2042

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Indian Air Force hit by ageing fleet, low serviceability & slow pace of upgradation by HAL. IAF fears it could end up with just 19 squadrons by 2042.

New Delhi: Hemmed in by an ageing fleet of fighter aircraft, low serviceability and a cautious bureaucracy and political leadership, the Indian Air Force is staring at an alarming fall in its muscle.

To make matters worse, even as one squadron after another of the MiG-21s and -27s continue to be phased out, the IAF is being stymied by the slow progress of upgradation work on its existing fleet of Jaguars and Mirage aircraft by state-owned Hindustan Aeronautics Limited (HAL).

The situation is so bleak that according IAF projections, even if all existing orders for 36 Rafale, six squadrons of Tejas (including Tejas Mark 1A) and two more squadrons of Su30 MKI are taken into account, the squadron strength will reduce to 27 by 2032 and a mere 19 by 2042.

The IAF has a squadron strength of 30 at present.

Target won’t be met even if all goes to plan
Even in the best case scenario, sources said, the IAF will not reach its sanctioned strength of 42 squadrons by 2042. That is if the force takes into account the Tejas Mark 2, the indigenous Advanced Medium Combat Aircraft (AMCA) and 114 fighter aircraft for which a Request For Proposal (RFP) is still awaited.

The sources said that even if one assumes that all the three futuristic aircraft are inducted as planned, the squadron strength will still only be 37 by 2042. The last time the IAF had 42 squadrons was way back in 2002.

Another concern is the low serviceability of the fighter aircraft. While it is a fact that during Exercise Gagan Shakti last year, the IAF managed to get some impressive numbers, the figures at other times are abysmally poor.

For example, the serviceability ratio of the country’s frontline fighter aircraft is only around 58 per cent. This means that if there are 100 aircraft, only 58 are available for flying at a time with the others in service and maintenance.

This has been a major concern and hence the deal for the 36 Rafale fighter jets comes with a performance-based logistics pact, under which at least 75 per cent of the Rafale aircraft will have to be available for flying at any point of time.

Also read: India pulls off big feat as indigenous combat helicopter decimates target in air

The HAL delays
A major troubling aspect is the series of delays by HAL when it comes to its upgradation programmes for the force. The IAF had even written to the government last year detailing the delays.

For instance, HAL was tasked with upgrading 47 Mirage 2000 aircraft, tasked with delivery of nuclear payload, on 29 July, 2011, at a cost of Rs 2,020 crore. The final operating capability (FOC) was scheduled to be completed by July 2017 but was it completed only by March 2018. HAL has revised the contracted production schedule thrice.

So far, HAL has upgraded only six aircraft against a contracted schedule of 21 aircraft, the IAF note says.

It is a similar story with the Jaguar Darin-III upgrade. In December 2009, HAL was handed the contract for upgrade of 61 deep penetration strike Jaguar Darin-I aircraft to Darin-III standard at a cost of Rs 3,113 crore.

The completion date of development activities and series upgrade of all 61 aircraft was December 2017. So far, however, no aircraft has been delivered to the IAF. The series upgrade is now expected to be completed by 2023-24, a delay of six years, the IAF has said.

Another concern is the go-slow approach when it comes to the RFP for the 114 fighter aircraft, especially in the wake of the Rafale contract controversy.

Following the signing of the deal for 36 Rafales, the government and the IAF were working on bringing out a tender for single-engine fighter aircraft, keeping the cost in mind.

The defence ministry, however, sprang a surprise by questioning the need for a single-engine foreign fighter when the indigenous LCA programme was on. This caused the IAF to retune itself and bring out an RFP in April, which did not limit it to single-engine fighters.

Industry experts wonder how this will play out, because one of the primary factors for the selection of aircraft will be cost, besides technical parameters.

https://theprint.in/security/even-a...ly-half-of-42-squadron-target-by-2042/184020/
 
No adequate infrastructure to set up Rafale fighters

Even as the Rafale fighter jet controversy rages on, it seems there is no infrastructure ready to house the jets once they arrive in India.


Published: 29th January 2019 08:11 AM | Last Updated: 29th January 2019 08:11 AM

By Mayank Singh
Express News Service

NEW DELHI: Even as the Rafale fighter jet controversy rages on, it seems there is no infrastructure ready to house the jets once they arrive in India. The first fighter jet is slated to arrive by September. The hangar, approach route and the associated work for two new squadrons of the Rafale jets is being done at Ambala in Punjab and Hashimara in West Bengal. Military Engineering Service (MES) contractors have stopped work as the bill raised against infrastructure work has not been paid yet.

“The work was being done by MES contractors. Due to the nonpayment of bills, initially, it (work) was slow. But for six months it has stopped,” said President of the MES Builders Association of India (BAI) Praveen Mahana. The deadline for this project was March/April 2019, but only 40 per cent related work has been done. There was no reply to queries sent to the MoD spokesperson and the PRO Air Force for comments on the delay in infrastructure associated with Rafale.


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The MES BAI, which is a registered body, has raised the issue of non-payment for various Armed Forces related projects across the country. The liability till December 2018 was Rs 1,600 crore. This has now risen to around Rs 2,000 crore.

Projects such as the Other Than Married Accommodation Housing (OTH), for the soldiers of Northern Command, is also facing delays. Karan Kapoor, Vice President, Northern Region said, “Work has either stopped or is on the verge of stopping due to non-payment.”

According to Kapoor, work in areas such as Leh, Kargil, Thois, Srinagar, Baramulla, Rajouri, Poonch, Doda and Udhampur have also been affected. Around Rs 40 crore is needed to clear this liability, he added.

“A delegation had met Defence Minister Nirmala Sitharaman on October 26, 2018, after which Rs 250 crore was released. Now the liability (as per the association) is around Rs 2,000 crore,” said Shiv Kumar Gupta, treasurer of MES BAI.

Pending payments

The liabilities are across the country. The Chief Engineer, Air Force, Bengaluru needs around Rs 400 crore for the work to be done till March 2019. The other Air Force base related projects facing problems are Bamrauli in Allahabad, Bareilly, Sullur, Hyderabad and Tambaram. Payments have been done for the work at the air bases in Delhi, Chandigarh, Sirsa and Hyderabad. The MES Builders Association of India has been raising the matter with the Ministry of Defence and other ministers.
 
even with the depleted fleet of quality aircrafts comprising of su 30 and rafale IAF will still be having a significant advantage over PAF. fleet of 300 comprising of su 30 and rafale against fleet of upto 200 comprising of F-16 and JFT.
 
India will never meet her operational demands for Air security or Air superiority.

This is the nature of things in the region.
 
even with the depleted fleet of quality aircrafts comprising of su 30 and rafale IAF will still be having a significant advantage over PAF. fleet of 300 comprising of su 30 and rafale against fleet of upto 200 comprising of F-16 and JFT.
Don't forget you have an ally with 800+ gen 4 planes, almost fully indigenized except for the engines. Dual engine fighters already use WS-10s, due to risk, single engine fighters still use AL-31.
 
Don't forget you have an ally with 800+ gen 4 planes, almost fully indigenized except for the engines. Dual engine fighters already use WS-10s, due to risk, single engine fighters still use AL-31.
but we should be prepare to fight alone. no country fights a war for her ally in the modern world specially when the warring countries are nuclear countries. i dont think in case of india-pak war china will jump into the war and get a couple of nukes from india. india will surely suffer a defeat in case of a two front war but the war will have a huge negative impact on china as well.
 
as per my information next deal for 110 MRCA is also going to rafale F4 and so is naval deal for 36 maratime fighters meaning 146 more rafales to come

besides each rafale carries 9.5 tonne against 7 of Mig29 or 8 of MKI and does not even needs a jammer & a fighter escort in SEAD/DEAD or precission bombing roles meaning it even on internal fuel has more than 800Km combat radius with 9500 weapons load on 14 hard points (4 of them can take 3X250KG or 3X500Kgs load) besides in any role always carries 4XBVRs & 2XWVRsmeaning 8 sations still left for BOMBs & air to ground Missiles

in short one rafale does job of 3 fighters in every sortie and on every day can easily make 3-4 long range sorties almost twice in indian conditions ... so do we really need more of them :drag:
 
but we should be prepare to fight alone. no country fights a war for her ally in the modern world specially when the warring countries are nuclear countries. i dont think in case of india-pak war china will jump into the war and get a couple of nukes from india. india will surely suffer a defeat in case of a two front war but the war will have a huge negative impact on china as well.

Whenever two or more countries have attacked another country openly, it has led to a world war or mini world war like situation. History is the proof. Be it WW-I, WW-II, Korea, Vietnam etc. It won't be good for anyone involved to attract the attention and involvement of others to our region. :-)
 
Whenever two or more countries have attacked another country openly, it has led to a world war or mini world war like situation. History is the proof. Be it WW-I, WW-II, Korea, Vietnam etc. It won't be good for anyone involved to attract the attention and involvement of others to our region. :-)
war between india and pakistan is highly unlikely.
 
war between india and pakistan is highly unlikely.

And more than that a military confrontation between China and India is out of question. But another Musharraf kind of guy ?? And we both really can't say a limited war is 100% unlikely. Mr. Musharraf just proved that it is actually possible back in 1999. :-)
 
And more than that a military confrontation between China and India is out of question. But another Musharraf kind of guy ?? And we both really can't say a limited war is 100% unlikely. Mr. Musharraf just proved that it is actually possible back in 1999. :-)
indians cant live without pointing fingers and start useless fight on pdf. should i remind you what your terrorist PM said about 71 war? anyways this post of yours shows that it is useless to reply to you.
 
indians cant live without pointing fingers and start useless fight on pdf. should i remind you what your terrorist PM said about 71 war? anyways this post of yours shows that it is useless to reply to you.

Indeed I agree with that as well. But military misadventure form either side can lead to a limited conflict between India and Pakistan. So it's not 100% guaranteed, that's only what I meant. :)
 
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