Energy Projects...Updates

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Chairman WAPDA visits Diamer Basha Dam to review construction activities
Project’s completion scheduled in 2029

September 22, 2022: Chairman WAPDA Lt Gen Sajjad Ghani (Retd) visited Diamer Basha Dam, being constructed on River Indus, 40 Km downstream of Chilas town. DG FWO Maj Gen Kamal Azfar accompanied him during the visit. CEO Diamer Basha Dam Company, CEO Diamer Basha Consultants Group, and representatives of the Contractors i.e. Power China and FWO were also present on the occasion.

Chairman WAPDA visited sites of dam abutments, diversion system, permanent access bridge, contractor’s camp and reviewed the construction activities. Earlier, the project management briefed about the targets and progress achieved. The project is scheduled to be completed in 2029. The Chairman urged project teams to complete the project in earlier time frame.

It is pertinent to mention that Diamer Basha Dam will have a gross water storage capacity of 8.1 MAF sufficient to irrigate 1.23 million acres of additional land. With installed power generation capacity of 4,500 MW, the project will provide 18 billion green and low-cost electricity units on average to the National Grid every year. With completion of Diamer Basha Dam, the life of Tarbela Dam will also increase by another 35 years.

A sum of Rs.78.5 billion has been earmarked for welfare of local population in the project area. Besides, 4,100 locals of the project area have been provided employment opportunities. Jobs opportunities for locals will increase further with progress on the project.

 

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Inauguration ceremony of Gulpur Hydro Power - 102 MW

Inauguration ceremony of Gulpur Hydro Power Project developed by Korea Southeast Power Company.

Gulpur Hydropower Project is the third independent hydropower project in Pakistan. It is an operational run-of-the-river hydroelectric generation project located on Poonch River, a major tributary of Jhelum River near Gulpur in Kotli District of Azad Kashmir, Pakistan. The site is about 167 km from Federal Capital Islamabad and 285 km from Punjab's and is approachable directly from Islamabad and Lahore by a two-lane, all weather paved, partly mountainous road. The location of the Project is about 28 km upstream of Mangla Dam Reservoir.

The project designed for the generation of 102 megawatts consisting of two Kaplan-type turbine units with average energy output of 436 Gwh. Gulpur Hydropower Project is a part of least-cost energy generation plan, being executed by WAPDA to harness the indigenous hydropower resources of the country.

WAPDA awarded the contract to MIRA Power Limited, a subsidiary of Korean company KOSEP, an independent power producer (IPP) being developed in private sector on BOOT basis (Build, Own, Operate and Transfer) under Government of Pakistan Policy for Power Generation Projects 2002 as adopted in Azad Jammu & Kashmir. The project has the capability of generating an average annual energy of 465 GWh.

 

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In the wake of devastating floods, the Mohmand Dam’s completion, which is under construction in KPK, has been delayed by one more year. Its cost overrun is estimated to increase by Rs20-25 billion. This is because the coffer dam constructed for diversion tunnel had breached when the Swat River faced high flows after unprecedented heavy rains, senior officials at WAPDA and Ministry of Water Resources said.

With the breach of cofferdam, the under-construction diversion tunnel also sustained huge damage. According to the PC-I, they said, the Mohmand Dam was to be completed and commissioned in December, 2025 at the cost of Rs311 billion. But because of the flood that also hit the coffer dam and diversion tunnel, the cost of the project is estimated to increase by Rs20-25 billion following the cost escalation to be incurred on purchase of material and required items during the period of one more year. The construction work on the dam began on September 20, 2019.

“Investigation has begun to know the reasons why the coffer dam had breached and if the quality of the dam was not up to the mark. A probe has been kick-started on the directives of Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif. The premier had issued these directions when he visited the site of Mohmand Dam when the flood roiled Munda Headworks and inflicted damage to the under-construction Mohmand Dam.”

The officials said that the Swat flood was unprecedented in its nature because of the cloud burst and heavy rains, so the breaching of coffer dam and damage to the diversion tunnel was quite natural. They said that because of the flood calamity of high intensity, it should be declared not less than a force majeure. If force majeure is declared, then the construction companies working in Mohmand Dam and the executing agency WAPDA will not be able to penalize each other and both will not be held responsible for the damage. However, the cost overrun will be borne by the government.

Once the Mohmand Dam gets completed, it will not only help mitigate floods’ adverse impacts but will also help irrigate 16,737 acres in KPK. Apart from it, the dam will also generate cheaper electricity of 800 MW.

 

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Construction work on multipurpose Mohmand Dam Hydropower Project has been carrying out day and night. Resultantly, the project is moving ahead with a good pace.

It will store about 1.2 million acre feet (MAF) of water, generate 800 megawatt (MW), contribute 2.86 billion units of low-cost hydel electricity annually to the National Grid and help mitigate floods in Peshawar, Charsadda and Naushera. Besides supplementing 160,000 acres of existing land, about 16,700 acres of new land will also be irrigated because of Mohmand Dam. In addition, 300 million gallons water per day will also be provided to Peshawar for drinking purpose. Annual benefits of the project have been estimated at Rs. 51.6 billion.

 

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Chairman WAPDA visits Tarbela Dam, T-5 Hydropower Project

T-5 Project scheduled to start power generation in 2025, Chairman briefed
September 27, 2022: Chairman WAPDA Lt Gen Sajjad Ghani (Retd) has said that Tarbela Dam has been phenomenally contributing towards economic and social development in Pakistan since its completion in 1974. Under-construction Tarbela 5th Extension Hydropower Project (T-5) will increase its hydel generation.

Chairman WAPDA expressed these views during his visit to Tarbela Dam today. He had a detailed round of Ghazi Barrage downstream of Tarbela Dam, intake, penstock and power house sites of T-5 Project, Tarbela Hydel Power Station and Tarbela 4th Extension Hydel Power Station.

Earlier, GM Tarbela Dam/PD T-5 Project briefed the Chairman about effective operation and benefits of Tarbela Dam. He was also briefed about the progress on the under-construction T-5 Project, which is scheduled for generation in 2025. GM (Power) Tarbela made a presentation about the matters related to the operation and maintenance of the 3478 MW-Tarbela Hydel Power Station and the 1410 MW-Tarbela 4th Extension Hydel Power Station.

Tarbela Dam has been a vital project for irrigated agriculture and economy of the country, because it provides water for agriculture, mitigates floods and generates a sizeable quantum of low-cost and environment friendly hydel electricity to the National Grid. As many as 64 million acre feet of water are released annually from Tarbela Dam to meet irrigation needs of the country.

In addition, Tarbela Hydel Power Station and Tarbela 4th Extension Hydel Power Station have contributed 540.37 billion units and 17.30 billion units green, clean and cheap electricity to the National Grid respectively since their commissioning.


Tarbela has the singular honour of possessing more than half of the total installed capacity of hydel generation in Pakistan. With completion of under construction 1530 MW-T-5 Project, the existing installed capacity at Tarbela will rise from 4888 MW to 6418 MW.

 

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Under Construction Dasu Hydropower Project

Stage-I will generate 2160MW (06 Units x 360MW each) with annual energy of 12,222GWh.

Stage-I will be completed in five (05) years. The project is being financed by the World Bank.

 

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4500MW Diamer Basha Dam – Construction of Diversion Tunnels

An important structure for the construction of the main dam, the total length of the Diversion Tunnels 1&2 is about 2000m (912m & 1041m). Due to the larger cross-sectional area of horseshoe-shaped tunnels (220m²), the excavation was divided into layers.

The excavation on both tunnels is in progress from multiple work fronts however Diversion Tunnel 2 progress is advancing ahead.

The concrete lining in the completed section has already been commenced with steel formwork trolley.

 

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Pakistan's power generation cost up nearly 46% YoY in Sep as production declines​

BR
October 17, 2022


The total cost of generating electricity in the country jumped nearly 46%, hitting Rs9.91 KWh in September 2022 compared to Rs6.80 KWh registered in the same month last year.

However, on a month-on-month (MoM) basis, electricity generation cost declined marginally by 1.5%.

“On a MoM basis, the decrease in fuel cost is witnessed mainly due to a rise in wind and solar-based generation,” said Arif Habib Limited (AHL) in a note on Monday.

“In addition to this, coal and furnace oil-based costs of generation declined by 12% MoM and 3% MoM, respectively,” it added.

Moreover, power generation went down by 8.2% on a yearly basis to 12,878 GWh (17,886 MW) in September 2022, compared to 14,032 GWh (19,489 MW) in the same month last year. On a monthly basis, electricity generation also registered a drop of 8.4%, as compared to 14,053 GWh.

Pakistan's electricity generation cost up 57% YoY in August as production dips

During 1QFY23, power generation also recorded a drop of 10.3% YoY to 41,081 GWh (18,606 MW), in comparison to 45,790 GWh (20,738 MW) during 1QFY22.

Data on generation mix revealed that electricity generation decline on a yearly basis was led by coal 1,449 GWh, and Regasified Liquefied Natural Gas (RLNG) 1,821 GWh, which decreased by 39.4% and 31.3%, respectively.

Moreover, power generation from hydel and gas sources stood at 4,404 GWh and 1,449 GWh respectively, also showing a YoY decline of 13.4% and 3.4%, respectively, on a yearly basis.

In September, hydel was the leading source of power generation, accounting for 34.2% of the generation mix. Whereas, power generation from nuclear improved to 17.6%, after recording a YoY increase of 76.7% at 2,266 GWh.

Moreover, electricity generation from wind sources improved significantly by 102.6%, as the renewable source share in the power generation mix increased to 3.6% in September 2022, in comparison to 1.6% in the same month last year.

 

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Power generation: The slide continues​

BR

It is clearly a pattern now. For the fourth month running, the country’s electricity generation has gone down year-on-year. September 2022 saw 12.5 billion generated on a net basis, down 8 percent year-on-year. Recall that electricity generation had increased year-on-year for 22 straight months starting from June 2020 – with the reversal starting in June 2022. The 12-month moving average generation is at its lowest in 8 months, growing only at 3.7 percent. The dip is sharper than the previous two dips witnessed during Covid and the 2019 economic slowdown.

It will be a while before granular data is made public, but anecdote suggests the bulk of the demand reduction has come from reduced industrial activity. LSM data for June and July give enough early indication of what the first half of FY23 will look like. The drop in electricity demand for August and September offers a glimpse into what the upcoming months for LSM look like. Mind you, industrial consumption accounts for more than a quarter of all electricity demand in Pakistan.

Floods have thrown another dimension to the demand scenario, as a slowdown in tubewell usage is widely expected, which could add another percentage point to the downside. The demand destruction was always seen coming and would not be an easy task to arrest the slide, as it also coincides with a historic rise in consumer end tariffs.

The authorities have pinned the hopes of better recovery in the power sector on incremental demand. Higher tariffs pose a challenge to both demand recovery and T&D losses. Fuel shortages in winter are now almost a certainty, and capacity costs will go through the roof pretty soon, with reduced demand. The monthly fuel adjustments have now expectedly reverted to mean, as FY22 was clearly, an anomaly.

The reference tariffs have been adjusted upwards significantly with the revision in base tariffs. In some cases, as high as 100 percent, which obviously makes the need for upward FPA much smaller. The reference fuel tariff for September 2022, for instance, is 97 percent higher year-on-year. The FPA requirement is peanuts. But that does not mean reduced overall tariffs, as base tariffs now reflect the increased reference fuel costs.

With winters approaching, and imported gas in short supply, furnace oil will remain in the mix, even if it is the priciest option today. Nothing much has changed in the past decade or so. The only change you keep seeing periodically is in the guise of tariff rationalization. The T&D losses continue to be painfully high, collection going down, merit order violations are up, and fuel supply management is abysmal. The ingredients are the same, the outcome would be nothing different, yet again.

 

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LUMS Energy Institute releases second edition of ‘Pakistan Electricity Outlook 2022’​

Recorder Report

ISLAMABAD: The LUMS Energy Institute released its second edition of Pakistan Electricity Outlook 2022 - a report with a detailed analysis of the electric power system of Pakistan. It carries a critical review of the National Transmission & Despatch Company’s Indicative Generation Capacity Expansion Plan (IGCEP) for 2021.

During the ceremony, Dr Fiaz Chaudhary, Director, of LUMS Energy Institute, shared that following the launch of the first edition of the Pakistan Electricity Outlook released in January 2020, spurred unprecedented decisions in the power sector by the government.

“LUMS Energy Institute was established as a think-tank and centre of excellence for improved policy outcomes across the energy landscape of Pakistan. We are proud to operate as a knowledge hub of Pakistan in the most objective manner and will continue to do so to exemplify talent, independence, and professionalism,” said Dr Chaudhary.

The Report involves modelling and analysis of the NTDC system through LUMS in-house Power Dispatch Model (LPDM) from 2022 up to 2029-30.

The results cover several points like capacity and energy balance, dispatch analyses by fuel type, capacity payments, energy payments, power purchase price, and projected quantities of fuels. It also analyses nine alternative scenarios to demonstrate the impact on IGCEP outlook, when key variables are changed.

The Pakistan Electricity Outlook 2022 reveals that a period of the expensive capacity surplus will sustain over the modelled period, ranging from over 15% in summers to over 40% in winters over peak demand, despite an optimistic growth in projected demand.

This means that the amount of capacity the government has already installed (including that which is under construction/development)—the power system—will remain in surplus capacity, much more than needed. As a result, consumers will be bound to pay for this excess capacity regardless of use, which is currently 900 billion and will rise to 1600 billion by 2030.

Representatives of public and private Energy companies took part in the event and lauded the efforts of the Institute. The Report was presented to US Ambassador Donald Blome who visited the LUMS Energy Institute to discuss potential collaboration in Green Energy solutions.

Copyright Business Recorder, 2022

 

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ISLAMABAD, Oct 23 (APP):As many as 11 power projects with accumulative capacity of 6,369 MW under China Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) have been commissioned while 10 more projects are under various stages of development.
According to data, in the energy mix of CPEC power projects, coal is leading with 8,220 MW, hydel 3,428 MW, Solar 1000 MW and wind 400 MW.

The projects already completed are included 1320 MW each Sahiwal Coal Power, Port Qasim, China-HUB Coal Power, 660 MW Engro Thar Power and Mine, 330 MW HUBCO Thar, 720 MW Karot Hydropower, 400 MW Quaid-e-Azam Solar Park, 100 MW UEP Wind Farm, 99 MW Three Gorge Wind Power Projects, 50 MW each Sachal Wind Farm and Hydro China Dawood Wind.

The projects which are under various stages of development are included 1,320 MW Shanghai Electric (TCB-1) and Mine, 330 MW ThalNova Thar Power, Azad 700.7 MW Azad Pattan Hydropower Project, 1,124 MW Kohala Hydropower, 884 MW Suki Kinari Hydropower, 1,320 MW Thar (Oracle) Coal Plant, 600 MW Quaid-e-Azam Solar Park, 300 MW Gwadar Coal/Solar Power Plant and 50 MW each Cacho Wind Power and Westren Energy Pvt Ltd.

330 MW ThalNova Thar Power Project will start generation by December while 1320 MW Shanghai Electric will commence its generation before the next summer season.

There are some six potential power projects which is expected to be included in CPEC in future are 640 MW Mahl Hydropower, 135 MW Taunsa Hydropower, 350 MW Toren More Hydropower, 260 MW Jameshill More Hydropower and 80 Phander Hydropower Projects.

 

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World Bank to fund Two power projects​

$450m loan will be provided for Madyan, Gabral projects

Our Correspondent
October 28, 2022

PESHAWAR: The World Bank (WB) will fund two hydropower projects of 245 megawatts in Swat district next year, the completion of which will bring an annual income of more than Rs13 billion to the province.

The WB will lend money to the Khyber-Pakhtunkhwa (K-P) government.

In this regard, an important meeting was held under the chairmanship of Secretary Energy and Power Nisar Ahmad Khan, with the project directors of WB regarding progress on both the projects. The meeting was also attended by Special Secretary Energy Tashfeen Haider, Chief Executive PEDO Engineer Naeem Khan, Chief Engineer PEDO Shah Hussain.

While giving a briefing to the energy secretary, it was revealed that the WB will fund the construction of two hydropower projects in Swat district next year.

It is part of the development of K-P energy sector and includes the 157 MW Madyan Hydropower Project and 88 MW Gabral Kalam Hydropower Project.

In this regard, a $450 million agreement has been signed between the WB and the provincial government.

These projects will be completed by 2027, which will generate an annual income of more than Rs13 billion.

The process of appointing an international consultant for the projects has been completed, who has started work on the work plan and future strategy of the project and the practical work on the projects under the planning will be started from this year.

In the meeting, Nisar Ahmad Khan appreciated the steps taken by the WB for the provision of financial support in the energy sector and the development of the energy sector in the province and expressed the hope that foreign investment will come to the province from the above mentioned projects, which will help the province’s development and the provincial economy will be stabalised.

 

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World Bank to provide more than $3bn for energy infrastructure development in Pakistan​

Tahir Sherani
November 7, 2022

The World Bank (WB) has agreed to provide more than $3 billion to Pakistan for infrastructure development in the energy sector, according to a press release issued by the Power Division on Monday.

The international lender will also provide assistance in the Dasu hydropower project. “The World Bank is assisting in energy efficiency and conservation programmes, apart from helping provinces in installing solar projects,” it said.

The development followed a meeting between the World Bank delegation and Minister for Energy Khurram Dastgir.

Dastgir informed the delegation that the government had taken “tough and difficult decisions” in the power sector, referring to the increase in electricity prices, which he said were “politically difficult” but the government was committed to ensuring sustainability in the energy sector.

“The minister said the government is committed to providing relief to the common man. The minister appreciated that the Bank recognised the challenges faced by the country and the difficult decisions taken in wake of it.”

He added that climate change had made a “devastating impact” on Pakistan’s economy and the energy sector.

The delegation was also briefed on the CASA-1000 and Dasu power projects.

Last week, the World Bank also signed two agreements with the government to extend $500 million worth of two separate loans to Punjab and Khyber Pakhtunkhwa.

The loans pertained to Punjab Resilient and Inclusive Agriculture Transformation Project worth $200 million and Khyber Pakhtunkhwa Accessibility Project worth $300 million.

 

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KPK...
Federal Minister for Energy to lay foundation stone of 500KV transmission line at Malakandi Paras, 75km... 500 KV transmission line will add electricity generation to the national grid from 884MW Suki Kinar Hydropower project.

 

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