The point is we are about to loose an ally and a friend. The Filipinos has shed blood with and gave their lives for Uncle Sam. Please
@C130 stop this talk about we don't need the Philippines talk why the hell do you think we have maintained presence there for more than 100 years?
Gentlemen I for one is not very familiar with how Geopolitics work, I have been to the PI though when I was in the service and when I do business trips. The Filipino Soldier can hold their own and many of them I consider my friends to this day. Give them the weapons and they will give you a run for your money.
We screwed up lets accept it and the Filipinos got fed up with our BS, we must do something to fix things. Hell I can name a few countries who are recipients to massive aids from the US of A and yet these countries always manage to stab us in the back every time they have the chance. If it was up to me, I'll give them all the weapon short of Nuclear ones and arm them to the teeth.
Now guys please mellow down with the rhetoric's and all that this is not about China and what have you, this is about the relationship between the PI and USA.
@gambit sir, were you ever deployed to the PI? May I have your opinion on the matter sir?
I have been TDY-ed to the PI, but never deployed there.
Here is my take on this...
The US is among the few countries in the world that have far less experience with neighbors than we Americans think we do. Even island England have more experience at being neighbors to other countries. We have only two neighbors: Mexico and Canada.
In geopolitics, neighbors, even when separated by a body of water, influences each other, from the tangibles like trade to the intangibles like thoughts. When neighbors rubbed each other wrong, the effects are immediate, powerful, and long lasting. When was the last time we have any problems with Canada ? And the most difficult issue between US and Mexico is illegal drugs. Whereas between the Euros and the Asians, their relations deteriorated down to outright warfare in their respective continents, even as recent as in our lifetime.
This is why ordinary Americans are so often puzzled as to why some people do not like or even hate US. When I say ordinary Americans, I mean those not like you and I who have been overseas for long periods of time. I mean Americans who have never left the country, the state, or even the county.
What is it like to be a Pole in relation to Russia ?
Here is a joke for that...
- A Pole freed a genie from a lamp and was granted three wished by the genie.
- The genie asked: " What is your first wish ? "
- The Pole replied: " I want a powerful China to invade Poland. "
- The genie replied: " Your wished is granted. "
- China was made overwhelmingly powerful and invaded Poland.
- The genie asked: " What is your second wish ? "
- The Pole replied: " I want China to invade Poland again. "
- Puzzled, the genie said: " Your wished is granted. "
- China invaded Poland again.
- The genie asked: " What is your third wish ? "
- The Pole replied: " I want China to invade Poland again. "
- Despite being really puzzled, the genie complied: " Your wished is granted. "
- China invaded Poland again and this time lay waste to whatever remained of Poland.
- The genie asked: " Why did you want such a fate for Poland ? "
- The Pole replied with smile: " China had to cross Russia six times. "
It is a bitter joke revealing of how Poland regards Russia.
Collectively speaking, we Americans do not have that kind of attitude towards either of our two neighbors or any associations outside of our borders. We do not know what it is like to reflexively be suspicious of anyone, friend and/or foe. So when a country turned against US, I do not see it so much as true animosity towards the US but more like a necessity in the face of a greater threat. These countries and their peoples are used to such turnabouts. We, who have only two neighbors who themselves are practically US states, are always puzzled as to why would anyone betrays US no matter how much good will and benefits we heaped upon them. It is not so much a 'betrayal' as it is political expediency in the face of immediate overwhelming odds.
The Filipinos are facing two immediate threats: China and their own internal turmoil.
Which threat is more immediate ? Unfortunately, their own fellow citizens who are in the illegal drugs business.
Next is China. Not only does China want, China is also putting markers by way of that threaded lines.
China, Korea, Japan, and the Philippines, however they responded to each other, do so from a position of natural suspicion. We view Canadians and Mexicans in more favorable light than how these Asian countries sees each other -- negatively.
The US is in no danger of losing the Philippines as an ally. A temporary dip in friendly relations -- maybe. But hardly a definitive severance. Duterte cannot hold the history of Americans in the Philippines as a club over the Filipinos and as a smear against the Americans for long. Those times, in comparison to the immediate Chinese threat, are useless in the long run. Duterte may say something about the Philippines once was a US colony, but that will not stop the flow of Filipinos trying to get to the US for better lives.
The average Filipino may inherit his ancestor's natural suspicion about any outsider, but when he weighs the differences between the US and China, he has to come to a comparison and who is more palatable, and China will come out the loser. All we have to do is let Duterte take the Philippines down the path of Venezuela and let the Filipinos take care of Duterte.
We may not be the perfect ally, but then who is or can be ? Just like the joke with the Pole who is willing to suffer three times so that Russia can suffer six times, an imperfect US will be regarded as better than China.