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Cold Start India seeks to upset Pakistani nuclear dominance

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SOURCE: ASIA TIMES

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Every other year India’s Army Commanders Conference gathers to address the impact technology has on doctrine and organizational operations. This year marks significant achievement in the elimination of old distinctions of corps, division and brigades favoring an Integrated Battle Group (IBG) that seeks to harmonize a previously archaic posture into dynamic fighting redundancies that render Pakistan’s nuclear achievements in asymmetry vulnerable.

India seeks quickly to mobilize six battalions with new elements of close air support, artillery and close-combat armor. It seeks to dominate Pakistan with conventional unified arms. With IBG, Indian political strategy, doctrine and conventional means underwrite a new level of credible threat deterrence.

Termed “Cold Start,” operationalizing IBG is India’s way of parlaying Pakistan’s nuclear gamesmanship through proactive war.

Examining the doctrinal development of India’s army throughout its post-independence period reveals British-led concepts of defense-in-depth that neatly fit within India’s operational purview beginning with its first prime minister Jawaharlal Nehru through Congress party dominance. Both the Indo-Pakistani war of 1971 and the liberation of Bangladesh proved the necessity of fast-moving mechanized arms. By envisaging deep mechanized thrusts into Pakistan, Indian Army leadership sought to punish Pakistan with strike-and-hold corps.

Islamabad answered with powerful nuclear asymmetries and jihadist proxies aimed at permanently destabilizing Jammu and Kashmir in the hope of pinning down superior Indian infantry. “Cold Start” is India’s response to operating in a contested nuclear environment.

Witnessing Pakistani insurgent terrorists hit the Indian Parliament in 2001, New Delhi ordered Operation Parakram – full-scale mobilization aimed at coercive diplomacy. It ended in failure. The mobilization effort was hampered by the inordinate operational time it took for India to mobilize and deploy from garrisons deep in the interior.

Army chief General Sundararajan Padmanabhan acknowledged an inability for strike-and-hold corps to move from positions of cold start to mobilization. Dr Walter Ladwig’s analysis post-Parakram meant thinking in ways to “establish the capacity to launch a retaliatory conventional strike against Pakistan that would inflict significant harm on the Pakistan Army before the international community could intercede, and at the same time, pursue narrow enough aims to deny Islamabad a justification to escalate the clash to the nuclear level.”

Rapid mobilization and the fielding of mass firepower meant rethinking existing force structures.

“Cold Start” doctrine is meant to address two distinct challenges from Pakistan. It seeks to deny Islamabad a superior tactical achievement of mobilization while launching long, shallow thrusts into Punjab and throughout the Line of Control. India’s strategic thought is to capture and hold territory it can gainfully use in post-conflict negotiations.

The deployed gamesmanship is really between two irreconcilable characterizations of nuclear conflict. Pakistan’s full spectrum deterrence doctrine calls for flexible response to India’s prolonged conventional war aims of IBG that seek to march through Pakistan in open defiance of Islamabad’s jihadist proxies.

Both are deadly configurations, but only one is credible.

Full spectrum nuclear deterrence is hampered by political, economic and strategic components that currently are not favorable to Pakistan. India’s forbearance and welcomed regional soft power are positive political variables that would favor New Delhi in a prolonged conflict.

From an operational perspective, India would need to field fixed-wing close air support for Cold Start to be credible. It also needs to address its historically low operational readiness rate that hampered previous entanglements with Pakistan.

India’s ability to sustain thrusts into Pakistan would mean it must address its extremely limited availability of self-propelled artillery while acquiring currently non-existent dedicated satellite bandwidth for net-centric operations. All of these operational achievements remain dependent on India’s weak logistical support system.

Getting India’s political class up to par on providing its armed-forces leadership with credible threat deterrence may prove more difficult than actually fighting Pakistan.
 
SOURCE: ASIA TIMES

Atomic-Bomb-1600x960.jpg


Every other year India’s Army Commanders Conference gathers to address the impact technology has on doctrine and organizational operations. This year marks significant achievement in the elimination of old distinctions of corps, division and brigades favoring an Integrated Battle Group (IBG) that seeks to harmonize a previously archaic posture into dynamic fighting redundancies that render Pakistan’s nuclear achievements in asymmetry vulnerable.

India seeks quickly to mobilize six battalions with new elements of close air support, artillery and close-combat armor. It seeks to dominate Pakistan with conventional unified arms. With IBG, Indian political strategy, doctrine and conventional means underwrite a new level of credible threat deterrence.

Termed “Cold Start,” operationalizing IBG is India’s way of parlaying Pakistan’s nuclear gamesmanship through proactive war.

Examining the doctrinal development of India’s army throughout its post-independence period reveals British-led concepts of defense-in-depth that neatly fit within India’s operational purview beginning with its first prime minister Jawaharlal Nehru through Congress party dominance. Both the Indo-Pakistani war of 1971 and the liberation of Bangladesh proved the necessity of fast-moving mechanized arms. By envisaging deep mechanized thrusts into Pakistan, Indian Army leadership sought to punish Pakistan with strike-and-hold corps.

Islamabad answered with powerful nuclear asymmetries and jihadist proxies aimed at permanently destabilizing Jammu and Kashmir in the hope of pinning down superior Indian infantry. “Cold Start” is India’s response to operating in a contested nuclear environment.

Witnessing Pakistani insurgent terrorists hit the Indian Parliament in 2001, New Delhi ordered Operation Parakram – full-scale mobilization aimed at coercive diplomacy. It ended in failure. The mobilization effort was hampered by the inordinate operational time it took for India to mobilize and deploy from garrisons deep in the interior.

Army chief General Sundararajan Padmanabhan acknowledged an inability for strike-and-hold corps to move from positions of cold start to mobilization. Dr Walter Ladwig’s analysis post-Parakram meant thinking in ways to “establish the capacity to launch a retaliatory conventional strike against Pakistan that would inflict significant harm on the Pakistan Army before the international community could intercede, and at the same time, pursue narrow enough aims to deny Islamabad a justification to escalate the clash to the nuclear level.”

Rapid mobilization and the fielding of mass firepower meant rethinking existing force structures.

“Cold Start” doctrine is meant to address two distinct challenges from Pakistan. It seeks to deny Islamabad a superior tactical achievement of mobilization while launching long, shallow thrusts into Punjab and throughout the Line of Control. India’s strategic thought is to capture and hold territory it can gainfully use in post-conflict negotiations.

The deployed gamesmanship is really between two irreconcilable characterizations of nuclear conflict. Pakistan’s full spectrum deterrence doctrine calls for flexible response to India’s prolonged conventional war aims of IBG that seek to march through Pakistan in open defiance of Islamabad’s jihadist proxies.

Both are deadly configurations, but only one is credible.

Full spectrum nuclear deterrence is hampered by political, economic and strategic components that currently are not favorable to Pakistan. India’s forbearance and welcomed regional soft power are positive political variables that would favor New Delhi in a prolonged conflict.

From an operational perspective, India would need to field fixed-wing close air support for Cold Start to be credible. It also needs to address its historically low operational readiness rate that hampered previous entanglements with Pakistan.

India’s ability to sustain thrusts into Pakistan would mean it must address its extremely limited availability of self-propelled artillery while acquiring currently non-existent dedicated satellite bandwidth for net-centric operations. All of these operational achievements remain dependent on India’s weak logistical support system.

Getting India’s political class up to par on providing its armed-forces leadership with credible threat deterrence may prove more difficult than actually fighting Pakistan.
one naser is enough to kill thousands. only it is possible if indian army enter in pakistan and keep distance of miles between them. lol today’s doctrine is enough to make indian punjab a kaslistan.kashmir will be free automatically because there is no land routes to indian occupied kashmir. lol i hope writer will have enough brain to understand. what is real doctrine .

its the time of the year for the indians to do self felatio!
PM khan is playing master shots.
 
No matter how fast India bring its forces to border, Pakistan will bring all of its armed forces to border more faster than Indians can imagine.
 
"If you know neither the enemy nor yourself, you will succumb in every battle.” ― Sun Tzu
high-tech weapons don't win wars, people do.

We do our best , Our PM and Our Army on same page and started the peace process of talk and Opening of Corridor by both the countries are welcome step. Our Only doubt is about some mis-happenings (bad activities from across the border) during visit of Sikhs/hindu devotees to Kartarpur sahib becuase Doval's offensive Doctorine is very active in Modi Goverment.
https://www.dawn.com/news/1448172/pm-khan-lays-foundation-stone-for-long-awaited-kartarpur-corridor


We know that Modi government is preparing for the last stage identified in the so called Doval Doctrine: Offence. India’s renewed Cold Start strategy seeks to make a leap from offensive defence to offence, through a significant bolstering of its armoured capabilities near the border. This is intended to be achieved by strengthening the mechanised infantry and induction of more terrain friendly yet more lethal equipment. Here, India’s plans to commission both the ultra light M777 howitzer guns from the US and the 9 Vajra-T, the 155-mm/52-caliber self-propelled howitzer from South Korean assistance will add to the troops’ effectiveness, precision and manoeuvrability in mountainous regions near India's borders with both Pakistan and China. The offensive element in the latest avatar of Cold Start is also likely to be augmented by the Indian Army's decision to deploy over 460 new T-90SM main battle tanks (MBTs) along India’s border with Pakistan. The new T-90SM MBT is the latest and most modern version of the T-90. It is expected that close to 500 T-90SM MBT tanks, divided into 18 regiments, will replace its older version T-90 Bhishma tanks near the border with Pakistan, thereby making the future possibility of rapid armoured thrusts across the border into Pakistan more effectively possible in a war scenario. The 36 Rafale fighter jets bought in fly-away condition, besides the already operating Sukhois by India, are likely to provide teeth to the air-support dimension of the Cold Start.
Bilateral dialogue will not start till Modi is in power as he wants to please his hard-line Hindu base. Talking to Pakistan is political suicide for Modi so lets not hold our breath.
https://www.dawn.com/news/1448182/b...rt-because-of-kartarpur-opening-sushma-swaraj


Under the present government, the Cold Start strategy is being nurtured and strengthened through a gradual process that is subtly underway ever since the government formed its first cabinet. This is largely being done to bring the military’s capabilities at par with the vast promises that Cold Start wraps under its belt. One of the main reasons why Indian Army failed at quick mobilization of its forces near the LoC in 2001-02 was because of the extant gap between capabilities and intentions of the Cold Start doctrine. The Modi government has tried to fill that gap through a slow process involving defence acquisitions, mechanisation, technology and integration to bring more efficacy to both the infantry and the armoured units.
 
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We are probably at the precipice of certain key technological revolutions that will bring to an end the extant, absolute nature of deterrance shaped by MAD. This is probably the last generation to be credibly threatened by MAD.

What will bring MAD to an end are extraordinarily sensitive multiple sensor fused arrays with AI driven data collection, data streams merging/fusion, processing and data mining. We are already seeing some of those elements come together that can detect radioactive elements from hundreds of miles, and AI algorithms that can track millions of individual targets 24x7 through satellite imagery.

Will counters to this be developed, absolutely. But the fact remains, the impregnable redoubt that MAD has entailed for strategy planners is about to be breached like the once impenetrable fortresses of Medieval Europe. Even Public policy experts I talk to have begun theoretical discourse regarding a world far more unstable and prone to act on triggers than the past 70 years.
 
cold startfailed after mumbai , uri & pathankot .
.
.
there is a reason why modi did sirjikal strike drama rather then a real strike.
 

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