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China’s Xi Jinping is forecasting he will invade Taiwan and Biden Vows to respond to any Chinese attempts on Taiwan

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China’s Xi Jinping is forecasting he will invade Taiwan, the US better listen: Robert O’Brien

Former national security advisor tells 'Kudlow' China 'badly' wants Taiwan

Former National Security Advisor Robert O'Brien warned the Biden administration Thursday to not underestimate Xi Jinping’s desire to reunite Taiwan with China after the world witnessed the Taliban takeover of Afghanistan telling "Kudlow" the US needs to be "very careful."


ROBERT O’BRIEN: General Secretary Xi [Jinping] says he will reunite Taiwan with China and he’s going to do it one way or the other. I think oftentimes we’re conceited in the West and in America. We don’t listen to dictators and authoritarians. We don’t believe what they say. I think we need to be very careful and listen to what he says. They’re running major military operations all the time. They’re spending a fortune to build up their military. One of the reasons President Trump wanted to get out of Afghanistan, not in this way by any means, but we wanted to pivot back to the Pacific. We need to take some of these troops in Afghanistan and move them to Guam, to Okinawa, Robertson Barracks in Australia, to the state of Hawaii, to the state of Alaska, and to American territories in the Pacific. Actually show we mean what we say. It is not a talking point. But we’re moving combat-hardened veterans who have gained experience in Afghanistan. We’ll put them in the Pacific and try to deter the Chinese from miscalculating, taking a step to invade Taiwan. They could create a world war none of us want. Peace through strength works.

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President Joe Biden vowed that the United States would “respond” to any possible Chinese invasion of Taiwan, pushing back on criticism from Chinese state-run media that the U.S. debacle and Taliban takeover in Afghanistan should make the island of Taiwan question whether the U.S. would protect it or abandon it.

Biden made the remarks during an interview with George Stephanopoulos of ABC News, with Biden comparing the U.S. commitment to Taiwan to the commitment the U.S. has made to its NATO allies. The U.S. Embassy in Kabul had to be abandoned over the weekend, and Hamid Karzai International Airport erupted into chaos as crowds of Afghans attempted to flee when the Taliban marched into Kabul on Sunday, with thousands of Americans and Afghan allies stuck in the country.

Stephanopoulos said China was already telling Taiwan, “See? You can't count on the Americans.” Biden pushed back.

“Why wouldn't China say that?” Biden responded. “Look, George, the idea that we — there's a fundamental difference between Taiwan, South Korea, NATO. We are in a situation where they are in — entities we've made agreements with based on not a civil war they're having on that island or in South Korea, but on an agreement where they have a unity government that, in fact, is trying to keep bad guys from doin' bad things to them.”

Biden argued: “We have made — kept every commitment. We made a sacred commitment to Article V that if, in fact, anyone were to invade or take action against our NATO allies, we would respond. Same with Japan, same with South Korea, same with Taiwan. It's not even comparable to talk about that. … It's not comparable.”


Taiwan, known as the Republic of China, is an independent democratic island nation off the coast of mainland China. The Chinese Communist Party has long sought to bring the territory under its control, while Taiwan is self-governed and receives U.S. defense support, despite not being formally recognized.

Chinese state media quickly began exploiting the debacle in Afghanistan to push propaganda aimed at Taiwan, questioning America's commitment there. The state-run Global Times said Monday that the “U.S. will abandon Taiwan in a crisis given its tarnished credibility” and that “Washington just left despite the worsening situation in Kabul. Is this some kind of omen of Taiwan's future fate?” The outlet said Wednesday that “Chinese analysts” had “said that once the price for keeping its strategic interests with Taiwan becomes unbearable, the U.S. will abandon Taiwan island without hesitation.” And the Chinese propaganda arm on Thursday pointed to the alleged "huge blow to U.S.’s reputation as an ally" and speculated that "Taiwan will be tomorrow's Afghanistan being abandoned by the U.S.”

China also carried out large assault drills off the coast of Taiwan on Tuesday, sending ships and jets off the island’s coast.

Biden national security adviser Jake Sullivan said Tuesday: “We believe that our commitments to our allies and partners are sacrosanct and always have been. We believe our commitment to Taiwan and to Israel remains as strong as it’s ever been.”

White House press secretary Jen Psaki said Tuesday, “We stand by, as is outlined in the Taiwan Relations Agreement, by our — by individuals in Taiwan. We stand by partners around the world who are subject to this kind of propaganda that Russia and China are projecting.”

Taiwanese President Tsai Ing-wen said Wednesday that Taiwan needed to increase its strength in response to the Taliban takeover in Afghanistan.

Admiral Philip Davidson, the commander of the U.S. Indo-Pacific Command, said on March 9 in front of the Senate that “the PRC has adopted an increasingly assertive military posture to exert pressure and expand its influence across the region. This is particularly stark concerning Taiwan.” He warned that China might move to take control of the island nation by 2029.

CLICK HERE TO READ MORE FROM THE WASHINGTON EXAMINER

“I worry that they’re accelerating their ambitions to supplant the United States and our leadership role in the rules-based international order, which they’ve long said that they want to do that by 2050,” Davidson said. “I’m worried about them moving that target closer. Taiwan is clearly one of their ambitions before then. And I think the threat is manifest during this decade, in fact in the next six years.”

 
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In that video he mentioned that the Chinese could have access to America specifically California which is something I shared here previously but viciously shout down by laymen who don't understand military matters because if they were to win the navy battle they could enter California un-interrupted hence the first pririorty is China. Xi beefing up his Navy is probably the biggest concern amongst the higher ups in the US military and leadership
 
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They wanna move these troops from Afghanistan to the pacific to contain China there?
 
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Taiwan will fight ‘to the very last day’ if China attacks

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Taiwanese Foreign Minister Joseph Wu, right, speaks during a briefing on April 7, 2021, in Taipei. (AP Photo/Wu Taijing)


  • China’s attempts at conciliation while engaging in military intimidation are sending “mixed signals” to the island’s residents, says Taiwan FM
TAIPEI, Taiwan: Taiwan’s foreign minister on Wednesday said the island will defend itself “to the very last day” if attacked by China.
Joseph Wu said China’s attempts at conciliation while engaging in military intimidation are sending “mixed signals” to the island’s residents.
China claims Taiwan as its own territory to be won over peacefully or by force.
Wu noted China flew 10 warplanes into Taiwan’s air defense identification zone on Monday and deployed an aircraft carrier group for exercises near Taiwan.
“We are willing to defend ourselves, that’s without any question,” Wu told reporters. “We will fight a war if we need to fight a war, and if we need to defend ourselves to the very last day, then we will defend ourselves to the very last day.”
China does not recognize Taiwan’s democratically elected government, and leader Xi Jinping has said “unification” between the sides cannot be put off indefinitely.
“On the one hand they want to charm the Taiwanese people by sending their condolences, but at the same time they are also sending their military aircraft and military vessels closer to Taiwan aimed at intimidating Taiwan’s people,” Wu said at a ministry briefing.
“The Chinese are sending very mixed signals to the Taiwanese people and I would characterize that as self-defeating,” Wu said.
The vast improvements in China’s military capabilities and its increasing activity around Taiwan have raised concerns in the US, which is legally bound to ensure Taiwan is capable of defending itself and to regard all threats to the island’s security as matters of “grave concern.”
Speaking in Washington, State Department spokesman Ned Price reaffirmed the US commitment to Taiwan. “The United States maintains the capacity to resist any resort to force or any other forms of coercion that would jeopardize the security or the social or economic system of the people on Taiwan,” Price said Wednesday.
The naval drills being conducted in waters off Taiwan were meant to help China “safeguard national sovereignty, security and development interests,” the army said Monday, using language often interpreted as being directed at Taiwan’s leadership that has refused to give in to Beijing’s demands that it recognize the island as part of Chinese territory.
Taiwan and China split amid civil war in 1949, and most Taiwanese favor maintaining the current state of de facto independence while engaging in robust economic exchanges with the mainland.
China has created conditions for greater economic integration, while also targeting some communities such as pineapple farmers in hopes of weakening their support for the island’s government.
Chinese diplomatic pressure has been growing also, reducing the number of Taiwan’s formal diplomatic allies to just 15 and shutting its representatives out of the World Health Assembly and other major international forums.
Taiwan has responded by boosting its high-tech industries and unofficial foreign relations, particularly with its key partners the US, Japan and others, and by building up its own defense industries, including a submarine development program, while buying upgraded warplanes, missiles and other military hardware from the US
Meanwhile, the US Navy says the carrier Theodore Roosevelt and its strike group reentered the South China Sea on Saturday to “conduct routine operations.” It is the second time the strike group has entered the waterway this year as part of its 2021 deployment to the US 7th Fleet area of operations.
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I doubt this claim as the numbers and everything is on China's advantage the only good thing Taiwan has is that it doesn't have land-connection to China. I think the UN charter is being broken between Taiwan and US because I believe they are providing tech to the taiwanese side even long range BMs over the allowed limit and other naval tools without claiming it is selling but passing down the know how. I believe the UN rules are being broken here big time behind the scenes
 
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I heard China is trying to buy Taiwan out. That is the Soft Power I am talking about.
 
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I heard China is trying to buy Taiwan out. That is the Soft Power I am talking about.

Very unlikely outcome. These who fleed Hong Kong gathered in Taiwan and they believe in democracy to the bitter end and propaganda values that are not even real but they are drinking from that cop and that is who they are liberals and progressives they can never accept China in the political ideological sphere they see them as brute
 
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Can China wait 10 more years?

Invasion rn will force US into a tricky situation and they might respond

Fight between big nations with big influence isn't good for the world

One must think rationally from every angle...
 
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Fall of merger of Taiwan with China will be swifter than Taliban taking over Afghanistan.
Can China wait 10 more years?

Invasion rn will force US into a tricky situation and they might respond

Fight between big nations with big influence isn't good for the world

One must think rationally from every angle...

US dumped Taiwan 50 years ago and US has been following one-China policy since then.

There would not be any war when Taiwan merges with China.

At worst you will hear some noises for few days before everyone goes back to regular Business.
 
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Can China wait 10 more years?

Invasion rn will force US into a tricky situation and they might respond

Fight between big nations with big influence isn't good for the world

One must think rationally from every angle...
Do not believe the PDF Chinese that somehow China can simply invade Taiwan at any time. This topic have been debated before and when real world factors are laid out in front of everyone, including the silent readers out there, the topic was dropped toot-sweet.

For starter, to date, the largest amphibious operation is D-Day. So US war planners, as an intellectual exercise, turned their skills to Taiwan and they concluded that an amphibious landing on Taiwan would have to be at least twice the size of D-Day because China do not have the element of surprise. Why does China NOT have the element of surprise?

Next, China and Taiwan have an active trade relationship and that mean there are plenty of Taiwanese on mainland China. It also mean any military buildup for an amphibious operation against Taiwan WILL be known.

Next, the weather pattern in the South China Sea is known to both sides and the weather allows China a narrow 2 or 3 months window in the yr for an invasion.

Next, both sides knows there are at best seven optimal landing sites on Taiwan and all of them are already defended. China cannot afford to bombard those sites with ballistic missiles lest errors renders any of them unsuitable for an amphibious landing. That leave manned aircraft by China and Taiwanese defense is readied for that.

Next, there is something called the 'Douglas Sea State'...


How capable are the PLAN vessels in transiting the SCS in what sea state? Amphibious vessels are not the same as regular warships. Their designs are for carrying troops and land crafts so their speed over the water will be much slower than regular warships, increasing their vulnerable time in transit that 100 miles distance. Because of this limiting factor, both sides know what is the window for the amphibious fleet based upon sea state history.

Next, for any amphibious operation, it is best to launch at high tide and land on high tide. Landing on low tide on a hostile beach means troops have to cross that beach opened to attacks. The tidal times on those seven favorable Taiwanese beaches are known.

So based upon these high level factors, not counting the many more details, still think China can invade Taiwan easily and at any time?
 
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Is this not to early within this decade?

I have observed the reactions of China and US over the past 3 years. US is panicking unlike in previous years as their intelligence is telling them the CPC and PLA are ready to take Taiwan. CPC don’t make rash decisions in regards to foreign policy unless they are very sure, especially one as important as the Taiwan operation. CPC top leadership is run by very clever people that are chosen based on merit after proving their competence over multiple years and decades.

US knows China is ready and capable. This is why there has been a lot of moves by the US in panic. Previously they didn’t need to do anything as the PLA didn’t have the capability and CPC knew it was not the right time.

CPC and PLA have a ruthless determination to wipe out the Taiwan separatists. This is unfinished business. It’s a fight to the death when it comes to national sovereignty. It’s one thing to have the capability but you also need the fighting spirit to fight. We saw that with Afghanistan army that had the capability to beat Taliban but didn’t have the fighting spirit. We saw this in Korean war and Vietnam war. CPC and PLA will finish the unfinished civil war one way or another. Taiwan separatists will be wiped out within hours. They will be fleeing or dead. Taiwan do not have the capability to withstand the overwhelming firepower of the PLA. That island will be a wasteland if the PLA hardliners decides to go scorched earth. You will see many defections from Taiwan military. Already former Taiwan military general urged Taiwan military to surrender to save the island. Every human cares about survival first, Taiwanese are not stupid. You will see mass surrender by top Taiwanese military leaders.

The psyche has shifted. US is now on the defense and China on the attack. China’s capabilities will increase rapidly in this decade as the technology gap is closed.

I personally would wait until 2030’s to do the Taiwan operation but from my observations it will be this decade.
 
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Afghan govt said same thing till day before Kabul fall.

More than 2 million Taiwanese residents (10% of total Taiwan population) living long term or indefinitely in the mainland, some of those younger people have even become communist party officials (I happened to see one of them appointed as a deputy mayor of a tier 3 city) or senior academic fellows. Taiwan as an island is already full of holes and the CPC has already prepared a future government for it, not like Hong Kong, with trusted communist party officials and members coming from authentic Taiwanese.
 
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If a miscalculation occurs than it occurs.
I have observed the reactions of China and US over the past 3 years. US is panicking unlike in previous years as their intelligence is telling them the CPC and PLA are ready to take Taiwan. CPC don’t make rash decisions in regards to foreign policy unless they are very sure, especially one as important as the Taiwan operation. CPC top leadership is run by very clever people that are chosen based on merit after proving their competence over multiple years and decades.

US knows China is ready and capable. This is why there has been a lot of moves by the US in panic. Previously they didn’t need to do anything as the PLA didn’t have the capability and CPC knew it was not the right time.

CPC and PLA have a ruthless determination to wipe out the Taiwan separatists. This is unfinished business. It’s a fight to the death when it comes to national sovereignty. It’s one thing to have the capability but you also need the fighting spirit to fight. We saw that with Afghanistan army that had the capability to beat Taliban but didn’t have the fighting spirit. We saw this in Korean war and Vietnam war. CPC and PLA will finish the unfinished civil war one way or another. Taiwan separatists will be wiped out within hours. They will be fleeing or dead. Taiwan do not have the capability to withstand the overwhelming firepower of the PLA. That island will be a wasteland if the PLA hardliners decides to go scorched earth. You will see many defections from Taiwan military. Already former Taiwan military general urged Taiwan military to surrender to save the island. Every human cares about survival first, Taiwanese are not stupid. You will see mass surrender by top Taiwanese military leaders.

The psyche has shifted. US is now on the defense and China on the attack. China’s capabilities will increase rapidly in this decade as the technology gap is closed.

I personally would wait until 2030’s to do the Taiwan operation but from my observations it will be this decade.

I still believe in 2030 but won't count out this decade either
 
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