What's new

Can Pakistan Afford To Let Its Air Power Guard Down After Achieving Nuclear Weapon St

Muradk

ELITE MEMBER
Joined
Apr 25, 2006
Messages
2,403
Reaction score
2
One of the greatest leaders in contemporary human history created a nation and a nation state, Pakistan. Quaid-e-Azam said and did many profound things. Pakistan would have been a highly advanced modern nation-state had the successive leaders and rulers followed in spirit and action even a fraction of what the great Quaid left as his heritage. But alas, his name is used in vain by all and sundry who never cease to ask the people of this troubled state to eulogise the Quaid's example while they have, since his death continued to set the most degrading example of governance themselves. Ostensibly, there has been some silver lining towards the fulfilment of Quaid's hopes and aspirations. On 13th April, 1948 while addressing a fledgling bunch comprising the RPAF at Risalpur, the Quaid's very profound vision resounded the desolate air, as he said 'A country without a strong Air Force is at the mercy of any aggressor. Pakistan must build up her air force as quickly as possible. It must be an efficient air force second to none.' Half a century later, a very cautious and candid review of Pakistan's history would read unambiguously that the Pakistan Air Force is one establishment which came close to meeting the task assigned by the Quaid on that auspicious day. What the Pakistan Air Force could not achieve has been only because of resource and equipment deficiency. The moral fabric and professional integrity moulded by leaders like Air Marshals Asghar Khan, Nur Khan, and Rahim Khan has more than made up for the equipment deficiency in numbers and advanced technology. But in more recent years the intangibles like morale, leadership and professionalism have been found inadequate to meet the increasingly formidable challenges facing the Pakistan Air Force. More serious and reprehensible is the false propaganda started by a strong lobby consisting of pseudo strategists and other vested elements, who claim to be warfare specialists. They propound a theory of nuclear strategic balance with our adversary India and are misguiding the leadership as well as the public by expounding the invincibility of nuclear deterrence as a panacea for Pakistan's post-nuclear defence strategy, suggesting that the Armed Forces have a very diminished and marginalized role in Pakistan's defence. The generally ill-informed political elite has little knowledge or quest for learning where the modern trends of battle are heading to. The famous Marshal of the Royal Air Force, Lord Teddler said about half a century ago:

...Air power is the dominant factor in the modern warfare, and though the methods of exercising it will change; it will remain the dominant factor as long as power determines the fate of nations.

Until the eighties the air power seemed to assume a secondary role in the military sphere. However, in the last couple of decades its potentials in what is progressively a global scenario, combined with astonishing developments in weapons and technology of other nature, air power today is considered the 'Key to National Survival' by sane elements.

The breath-takingly-rapid developments in the field of air power have indeed completely revolutionized the art of warfare. Vital objectives can be reached by going over the heads of armies and navies. Air power, because of its high mobility, flexibility and adaptability and ubiquity makes it possible to bring concentrated force to bear quickly wherever it is needed. The distinguishing feature of air power is that as platform or vehicle it actually exploits the dimension it operates in. Air power has come to be recognized as the final arbiter of success in a military campaign. Sir Winston Churchill minced no words in acknowledging candidly the role of air power during his famous address at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (1949):

For good or ill, air mastery is today the supreme expression of military power.

And fleets and armies, however necessary and important, must accept subordinate rank. This is a memorable milestone in the march of man.

From World War II onwards in Korea, colonial conflicts, Southeast Asia sub-continent, Middle East, Falkland, the Gulf, and now Kosovo, one can see air power actively involved in creating air superiority over the battle zones and conduct aerospace surveillance and strategic air bombardment. In each one of these theatres, air power has played a convincingly decisive role.

Pakistan Air Force, has historically been numerically at a disadvantage as compared to its adversary, the Indian Air Force. But in each confrontation from skirmishes in Kashmir and Kutch to the 1965 and '71 Indo-Pak Wars, the Pakistan Air Force has lived upto the Quaid's expectations and at times even beyond. May 1998 saw India going overtly nuclear. This shattered the strategic balance. After weighing its options, Pakistan gained the nuclear equilibrium. The euphoria of the newly acquired nuclear status, however, appears to cloud the vision of some of our opinion makers. They appear to be under the misconception that our recently attained nuclear status precludes the need for conventional weapons. They have perhaps forgotten that all conflicts invariably begin as conventional. Nuclear weapons, though ultimate in their destructive power, have never been employed in any theatre since World War II, even in the long drawn wars of Korea, Vietnam and Afghanistan. If this were not true, both USA and erstwhile USSR would have relied totally on their nuclear capability rather than spend billions of dollars and rubles in the development and maintenance of huge arsenals of conventional weapons. Nuclear weapons are not merely decisive but final as they mean the total annihilation of enemy population and cannot be used except as a final desperate measure. Thus we continue to live in an era of limited conventional wars, and of restraint in the use of force. This attitude towards conflicts shall consolidate further as the world is beginning to fully grasp the colossal horror of nuclear weapons.

Despite the fact that we have carried out nuclear tests, most of us are ignorant of the connotations of 'What is it to be a Nuclear Power?' Liddellhart, that master strategist has explained in very simple and precise terms the difference between being 'Nuclear Weapons Capable' and possessing 'Nuclear Deterrence'. Being 'Nuclear Weapons Capable' implies that a state has the capability to deliver a nuclear weapon to a designated target. On the other hand, to achieve the status of possessing 'Nuclear Deterrence', one must have the ability to absorb a pre-emptive nuclear first strike by the enemy and be able to retaliate effectively and destroy enemy's nuclear arsenals. This entails ensuring the survival of part of its population and nuclear weapons to continue the war. It has taken a world power like USA, nearly fifty years to achieve this capability by spending billions of dollars in constructing underground silos, Nuclear shelters and the wherewithal that goes with them.

We must be very clear in our minds that all we have achieved so far is a 'Nuclear Weapons Capability' and flaunting that so brazenly is not in the best interest of Deterrence. Islam teaches us to be modest about our strengths. The government must take extremely serious cognizance of irresponsible and vulgarity aggressive statements by self-preserving persons for personal aggrandizement. Only, the Prime Minister, the Foreign Minister and the Armed Forces Chiefs should make carefully weighted expressions, as they are working towards a d'tente with our adversary.

India will continue to play a cat and mouse game with us. It is congenitally used to that. We must outmanoeuvre them through diplomacy, high morale and national unity. A point to ponder here is that why the Indian Armed Forces have a lot of Tanks, SU-30s and numerous surface and sub-surface naval vessels. These weapons certainly fall in the category of 'Conventional Weapons' and are surely directed against Pakistan. Tanks, warships, aircraft carriers and submarines can hardly cross the mighty Himalayas or go around the Pacific to create a bulwark against China.

The Armed Forces of Pakistan have so far displayed a high standard of discipline and character by accepting the dictates of the national constitution. It is imperative for the Government to take cognizance of the genuine needs of the Armed Forces and continue to build our conventional capabilities. PAF, which will be the arbiter of success in any military conflict must be made as formidable as possible to deliver a decisive punch to its implacable adversary. It deserves special attention because its inventories are dwindling and unlike its sister services, . We must be clear in our minds that the enemy has long been deterred from putting its heinous plans against us into practice because of our highly trained and motivated Air Force, regardless of the age of its equipment. Let us not chance our luck for too long as the disparity in numbers and more dangerously a clear technological edge over the PAF is rapidly increasing. Let us bridge the gap before it becomes insurmountable. Although the PAF is well aware of its shortcomings in terms of numerical strength, it has always given a creditable account of itself; be it the 1965 and 1971 wars or the Afghan War. The psyche of the PAF is that it goes down fighting it would have taken such a heavy toll on the IAF that it will have sapped its entire moral and physical strength down to the bones and if it can hold its own against the IAF it will have come out equally triumphant. The morale of PAF is very essential and high morale comes from operating sophisticated weaponry. Technology today has come to represent the power base of nations. In air combat it is symbolized by the quality of aircraft, weapons and other support assets like AWACS and Air Defence Ground Environment (ADGE). Excellent training and motivation of combatants without the vital component of technology will only increase the pain and prolong their agony as the better armed side with lesser motivation will continue to inflict losses on them in 'a war of attrition'. No matter how much we detest the reality, there is no match between a swordwielding warrior and a gun-toting bandit. Thus the nation has no option but to improve upon its technological base or else to buy the finished products like advance weapon systems by making sacrifices. We should not wait for miracles to occur every time and expect David to slay Goliath in every encounter without even loading his sling shots.
 
Last edited:
.
A point to ponder here is that why the Indian Armed Forces have a lot of Tanks, SU-30s and numerous surface and sub-surface naval vessels. These weapons certainly fall in the category of 'Conventional Weapons' and are surely directed against Pakistan. Tanks, warships, aircraft carriers and submarines can hardly cross the mighty Himalayas or go around the Pacific to create a bulwark against China

Pakistan should calibrate it's conventional capability with the threat capabilities it's adversaries build and position against Pakistan - here the obstacle is not the national treasury but the understanding of geo-strategic environment and the threats to Pakistan, by the Pakistani political elite - this elite continues to position itself in opposition to the imperatives developed by the armed forces. In this regard the armed forces have to be sensitized to developing a public awareness or media strategy aimed towards securing for the armed forces, a receptive and approving public which can act as a sobering effect on the political elite.

It should also be noted that defense cannot be limited to armaments, it is unconscionable that a "nuclear capable" nation such as Pakistan, has not acted to ensure that it's urban population can be made more secure by building a infrastructure that in peace time serve primarily as underground transport system network.
 
.
In this regard the armed forces have to be sensitized to developing a public awareness or media strategy aimed towards securing for the armed forces, a receptive and approving public which can act as a sobering effect on the political elite.

Sort of how you just don't badmouth soldiers in the US, lest you be branded 'unpatriotic'.

Other politicians, especially the Republicans, have also mastered the art of acting as mouthpieces, ably supported by talking heads in the media, of branding attempts at cutting force size or equipment acquisitions as being tantamount to 'leaving troops vulnerable and compromising America's security.

Other arguments revolve around how the US Military Industrial complex, by virtue of outsourcing contracts to different parts of the country, where the manufacturing facilities then employ thousands of workers each and pump so much into the local economy, has 'bought off' the local politicians who then oppose even necessary and relevant cuts, as can be seen in the F-22 program cut fight.

We often talk about the ISI/PA having a State - I think the American Military has outdone the PA by yards in terms of a 'Military having a state, vs a state having a military'.

That could also be the result of the American State having an unusually militaristic, interventionist and hegemonic world view historically (Seizing land from Mexico, Manifest Destiny and then the Cold War jockeying for influence)... but then the question arises of who sold the State on that policy?

None of the historical American interventionism, often militaristic, would have been possible without support from the Military establishment.

But how that relates to the point Muse made - I think the US Military-Industrial complex offers a good model to follow in terms of building 'loyalty' to the Military, and avenues for much greater influence, without overtly appearing to control the strings of government.
 
Last edited:
.
Other arguments revolve around how the US Military Industrial complex, by virtue of outsourcing contracts to different parts of the country, where the manufacturing facilities then employ thousands of workers each and pump so much into the local economy, has 'bought off' the local politicians who then oppose even necessary and relevant cuts, as can be seen in the F-22 program cut fight.

To some extent I feel this is a mild over simplification of the matter.

We often talk about the ISI/PA having a State - I think the American Military has outdone the PA by yards in terms of a 'Military having a state, vs a state having a military'.
There is a difference between the implied US military having a state vs the PA having a State.
There is a strong perceived belief that the US military is powerful in regard to the state but this is but perceived. The US military does not have a full self controlled industry base as per the PA. You are comparing oranges and apples.
 
. .
Other arguments revolve around how the US Military Industrial complex, by virtue of outsourcing contracts to different parts of the country, where the manufacturing facilities then employ thousands of workers each and pump so much into the local economy, has 'bought off' the local politicians who then oppose even necessary and relevant cuts, as can be seen in the F-22 program cut fight.

To some extent I feel this is a mild over simplification of the matter.
I agree - but it was meant to be a summary of the issue, as I understood it.

We often talk about the ISI/PA having a State - I think the American Military has outdone the PA by yards in terms of a 'Military having a state, vs a state having a military'.
There is a difference between the implied US military having a state vs the PA having a State.
There is a strong perceived belief that the US military is powerful in regard to the state but this is but perceived. The US military does not have a full self controlled industry base as per the PA. You are comparing oranges and apples.
My comparison and comments of 'Military having a State' was not in terms of the actual ownership of assets, but more in terms of influence on the State and on policy, especially foreign policy.

The Pak Military may have significant industrial assets it controls (mostly for subsidizing its retirement and wellfare programs), but they are on their own not significant enough to coerce the state economically to do the military's bidding, though some authors have, incorrectly IMO, claimed so.
 
. . .
Now, about the larger context of the article. There is a growing belief amongst some Pakistanis that competing with India's conventional military capabilities is futile. This is wrong and dangerous for a host of reasons. Firstly, Pakistan needs to maintain a significant deterrence in front of the Indians to discourage the saner elements in the Indian administration from any adventurism. India is militarizing at a phenomenal rate and it is a recognized fact that the more confident you are in your military prowess the more tempted you would be to use it. The Americans didn't try to attack the USSR but they did Iraq. Over-confidence in India is dangerous for us and for them. Second, in a short war (which is what is being predicted) Pakistan can hold its own fairly well according to analysts. The capabilities of the PAF would be critical in this as our armies have rough technological parity. Air warfare by its nature signifies starker technological competition. Furthermore, while it would take weeks for all Indian Army offensive elements to arrive in the battlefield, the IAF can commit its strike elements to the battlefront faster, and with lesser administrative and logistical hurdles. Therefore, my point being that a lot rests on the broad shoulders of our air force. It is imperative that they be given the high-tech equipment necessarily to keep the skies safe so that Pakistani ground forces can mount an effective defense.

BTW great and insightful piece sir Muradk.:tup:
 
.
I am not sure if it is appropriate to still assume India will take weeks to get up and running.
some where along the road India will get their Permafrost Start into something that looks like a Cold Start. Though it is probable it will get to a Frozen Start at best. They do have a few (lots) of little things to get into place.

Not withstand above drivel don't assume a long build up. the fact the air war gets off quickly is enough to say it has started.

With respect to the air war there will be two distinct issue that ned to be covered.
One as already pointed out is the Air to Air. the other will be the necessary Air to Ground, the CAS aspect.
If you discuss PAf there is a need hence to have sufficient platforms to fulfill these roles. Yes you may have multi role platforms but I refer to the allocation at conflict. A squadron dealing with Air to Air can not at the same time act in a CAS role.


-----
Black is better!!
 
.
.
How's the black suit you?

We could also do Bold yellow, if this is a tad too dreary ...:P

You are trying to derail this thread..
Look at it this way:
Many say I don't have a heart, so that must therefore be a black hole.
Many say I am not nice, I must have a black/dark outlook.
I enjoy working in the shadows of rules.

BLACK is nice...

You can go keep your bold yellow..
 
.
Hi,

There is a reason why pak millitary owns so much in business and indusstry----.

One of them is a lack of a quality engineering base in the civilian sector---pakistan had never had a high quality civilian engineering sector to fulfill the needs of the nation. Neither did the pakistani business community was so interested in the engineering style projects to move the nation ahead---.

The private entrepreneaur had neither the ability to start up a high end engr project, nor had the know how---minimal education, no research, hardly any PHD's---so it was left to the millitary to do what it needed.

In the u s, retd millitary officers join private companies---becomes a sort of a millitary consortium and move the industry ahead----

In pakistan the retd millitary officers join their own business consortium to keep ahead of the game.
 
.
Hi,

Now coming down to the air force part of PAF---I don't think that the PAF had read that article----.

I will have many unhappy members if I further harp on the issue---.

The paf has had oppurtunities since the 80's to get out of their past glory of the 60's and 70's and come to the real world---but all in all---it has failed to deliver for the last 30 years---.

Paf talks about taking out the russian plane during afghan war---in the 80's---the comparison with the F 16 and the russian planes was of the same level as that of the USAF and the iraqi airforce during the 1st or the 2nd GW---

Shooting down those Pices of sh--t out dated russian planes was no glory----now combat with the mig 29 at that time would have been something.

The paf missed out on its procurement in the late 80 and all through the 90's----and even now they have decided to go their own way----going with the JF 17----a plane that is to fill in the hole----but other than that it will do nothing much---

There is a reason that the millitaries of other nations do not design their own planes----they let other compete and beat for the sloth that is required by the air force.

The failure to get the right platform in time has put pakistan on the backfoot---a time has come that paf may be able to close the gap in the next 10 years years.

The threat of COLD START by IAF is no idle warning----india has a massive air strike force available right at the border of pakistan----and pakistan has many many choke points and minimal assets to counter---.
 
Last edited:
.
small point Cold Start is a doctrine developed by the Indian Army and hoped that the Indian Air Force and Navy would nicely join in. They have not quite come to terms with it yet.

As for choke points. You have a one long border with little more than static posts. Its got holes.

It might also be worth while looking at the American doctrine of AirLand conflict.

On the air combat side the various COPE India exercises do lend a insight to what India has and is able to do. Ignore the US aspect as it was not operating as per US doctrine. (If US pilots had used US doctrine, the Indians would be sulking in a corner and not hopping about saying they beat the US pilots).
 
.

Pakistan Affairs Latest Posts

Back
Top Bottom