AgNoStiC MuSliM
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There were two thoughts that I was prepared to entertain before Anwar2's departure into his "la-la land of the sovereign" thingy. Both are written with the certainty of fact. Both MIGHT prove correct. Neither points have been supported-
1. "Pakistani transport sector is at the bottom of the food chain, the marginal income is peanuts."
Is Anwar2 a transportation manager with purview to bills of lading and existing net margins. If so, it's a supply and demand equation where security becomes a factored cost- again, but doable under adjusted and agreed terms.
2. "The US just cannot find an alternate route"
The proof of which will help drive the aforementioned point of purchase up or down among Pakistani trucking companies.
Can't speak to the first, but my answer to the second, barring unforeseen events, is no.
The US can find an alternate route, and for a country spending billions a month in Iraq, the extra expense in return for security of supplies will not be a major trade off. I don't think supplies through Pakistan will dry up, but if it ever gets to the point where the attacks might affect operations, the US will have a backup to ensure that it does not come to that.
From what I heard recently, the FC commandant has declined to provide forces in the numbers asked for by the Provincial LEA's for security of the terminals and convoys. The commandant has sited increased pressures on the troops he already has due to the combat in Swat, Bajaur, and increasingly Mohmand.
Mumbai couldn't have happened at a worse time.