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Asia Pacific trade pact can go on without India 'for the time being': Malaysian PM Mahathir

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Asia Pacific trade pact can go on without India 'for the time being': Malaysian PM Mahathir
Yen Nee Lee | @YenNee_Lee
Published 6:00 PM ET Sun, 23 June 2019Updated 3:16 AM ET Mon, 24 June 2019CNBC.com
  • Mahathir Mohamad, prime minister of Malaysia, said he's willing to conclude the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) without India "for the time being."
  • A recent report by Nikkei Asian Review said China has grown impatient with the slow progress on the RCEP talks, and proposed going ahead with just 13 countries — without India, Australia and New Zealand.
  • Mahathir said Malaysia has gained from the U.S.-China trade war, but cautioned that those benefits may only be temporary.

Malaysian Prime Minister Mahathir Mohamad said on Saturday that he's willing to conclude a mega Asia-Pacific trade agreement without India "for the time being."

Mahathir was referring to the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership, or RCEP, which involves 16 countries in Asia Pacific. Negotiations have been going on since 2013, with one of the major sticking points being India's reluctance to open up its markets.

A recent report by Nikkei Asian Review said China, growing impatient with the slow progress on RCEP talks, proposed going ahead with just 13 countries — removing India, Australiaand New Zealand from the deal.

The 16 countries involved in RCEP are the 10 Southeast Asian nations and six of their large trading partners: China, Japan, South Korea, India, Australia and New Zealand. If the agreement is finalized, the 16 countries will form a major trading bloc that covers around one-third of the world's gross domestic product.
In an interview with CNBC's Tanvir Gill, Mahathir acknowledged the hurdles in reaching a deal among the 16 countries.

"I think we will work towards it. It's quite difficult because we are competing economies ... we're competing with each other and from there, to go on to work together requires some radical change in our mindset. That will take time," he said in Bangkok, Thailand, where he's attending a summit for the Association of Southeast Asian Nations.

"In the end, we have to stop this trade war and certainly not to escalate (it)."-Mahathir Mohamad, Malaysian Prime Minister
The Malaysian leader added that RCEP participants will have to consider which framework works best: China's proposed 13-nation deal or the original one involving all 16 countries.

"But I think I would prefer 13 ... for the time being," he said, suggesting he's open to having India, Australia and New Zealand joining the pact in the future.

Trade war escalation
Several participating countries of RCEP have expressed hopes of coming to an agreement by the end of this year, as they say the U.S.-China tariff fight has brought fresh urgency to wrap up talksin Asia Pacific.

U.S. President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping are expected to meet later this month at the G-20 summit in Japan. But Mahathir — like many who follow the developments closely — said he doesn't expect much to come out of that meeting.

Malaysia has often been cited as one of the beneficiaries of the trade war as companies move production out of China to circumvent elevated U.S. tariffs. Muhammed Abdul Khalid, an economic advisor to Mahathir, told CNBC in May that the Southeast Asian nation's growth is set to gain an additional 0.1 percentage points due to the trade diversions to his country.

While that's good for Malaysia, Mahathir on Saturday cautioned that such benefits may only be temporary. He explained that if there's a change in government in the U.S., the new administration may have a new set of policies that could once again prompt companies to rethink where they want to locate their production and supply chains.

"In the short term, I think it is good news. But in the end, we have to stop this trade war and certainly not to escalate (it)," he said.
 
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Yeah if Malaysia is the sole Asia Pacific Country, he can decide. :)
 
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lol.. Mahathir the boss... He should sign this with china and see what happens to his dilly pidly economy, without other large trading partners .. would be fun
 
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People watch your language I won't repeat it ...will hand out warnings next


He is a leader not a pdf member ..words of leaders have more weight
haha what did I say? Or is it directed at someone else. Anyway....

These are brazen comments or suggestions, India have already clarified we don't want to be dumping ground for secondary Chinese exports or being taken advantage of by ASEAN, that'd kill our local agriculture and industries The fear is mutual, i.e they giving access to our exports such as IT and Pharma which is feared would kill their local IT industries.

And without India, New Zealand and Australia it'll be another China dominated forum and not many in RCEP want that which again is the fear of being dumping ground of Chinese products. So, I wouldn't give much importance to one leader or nation in RCEP.
 
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He is a leader not a pdf member ..words of leaders have more weight
He can't afford it Dubious.. Malaysia needs more trade partners, as they won't be able to sell to China.. Main importer of this world is India.. So, our incompetence in manufacturing ends up bringing buying power (Ironical but true).. Plus, it will be the same for Australia as well.. Fight here is between India and China and we both will never open our markets to each other.. Never have, never will.. the same is going on between China-Australia as well (but am not up to date on that part of trade discussions)... That is what is at play, imho
 
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like you are..stop dreaming that nothing can be done without you indiots and your country interfaring your *** in it..
That's quite funny when you lot comment. This is beyond you dear, stay in your place and continue trolling. I'm not here to boost my nationalistic ego and stronk India. Such comments don't fly with me.
 
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Main importer of this world is India.. So, our incompetence in manufacturing ends up bringing buying power (Ironical but true)

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haha what did I say? Or is it directed at someone else. Anyway....

These are brazen comments or suggestions, India have already clarified we don't want to be dumping ground for secondary Chinese exports or being taken advantage of by ASEAN, that'd kill our local agriculture and industries The fear is mutual, i.e they giving access to our exports such as IT and Pharma which is feared would kill their local IT industries.

And without India, New Zealand and Australia it'll be another China dominated forum and not many in RCEP want that which again is the fear of being dumping ground of Chinese products. So, I wouldn't give much importance to one leader or nation in RCEP.
Tariffs is a double edge sword. It cuts both ways.
Tariff will protect your industries but will make them uncompetitive.
You must use this time to consolidate your industries and slowly lower the tariff to create some competition.

But India is India. A do nothing country. ASEAN have been waiting for years for India to open up it's large market.
 
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Tariffs is a double edge sword. It cuts both ways.
Tariff will protect your industries but will make them uncompetitive.
You must use this time to consolidate your industries and slowly lower the tariff to create some competition.

But India is India. A do nothing country. ASEAN have been waiting for years for India to open up it's large market.
Our largest source of export being US and EU. Why should we let other players into our market and have competitive edge in our country against our own companies? Besides you don't let us

Why not ask Australia or New Zealand. Why single out India?
 
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A recent report by Nikkei Asian Review said China has grown impatient with the slow progress on the RCEP talks, and proposed going ahead with just 13 countries — without India, Australia and New Zealand.

Don't forget that talks are deliberately slow even when there is an economic gain. Better to go ahead and add rest of the parties later, if interested.
 
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Only $9 billion or 3.6% of Malaysia's total trade in 2018 is with India. Therefore it is irrelevant to us if India is in or not.

ASEAN China trade in 2018 was $587.87 billion. ASEAN India trade for 2017-2018 was $81 billion.
 
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Only $9 billion or 3.6% of Malaysia's total trade in 2018 is with India. Therefore it is irrelevant to us if India is in or not.

ASEAN China trade in 2018 was $587.87 billion. ASEAN India trade for 2017-2018 was $81 billion.
That's because of the highest tariff in the world. India market is huge and has potential. But it is still run mostly by mom and pop stores. Is there even a Walmart in India?
 
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