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Analysis: Here’s Why Pakistan Finally Arrested Hafiz Saeed

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Analysis: Here’s Why Pakistan Finally Arrested Hafiz Saeed
by WAJAHAT S. KHAN


Alleged Terror Mastermind Blames Trump for his Detention1:13

"Recent indicators from our friends, the U.S. and China, are that he has to go," said a senior officer on the sidelines of a rare briefing held at the military's General Headquarters in Rawalpindi.

This pronouncement came less than 24 hours after Monday's arrest of Saeed, an extremist who espouses "jihad," or holy war, with India.

The U.S. has a $10 million bounty on his head, and India accuses him of being the mastermind of the Mumbai attacks that left 166 dead, including several Americans.

"The U.N., the Americans, et cetera, have been asking questions about how the state has not been able to control this man," said the officer, who spoke on condition of anonymity because he is not authorized to speak to the media.


Photographers run past the burning Taj Mahal Hotel during a gun battle in Mumbai on Nov. 29, 2008. A commando-style assault killed 166 people. Arko Datta / Reuters, file
These include elements of the deadly Haqqani network in Afghanistan, the leadership of the Afghan Taliban leadership, as well as Lashkar-e-Tayyaba, which has targeted India's military positions in disputed Kashmir and is suspected to be linked to Saeed's Jamaat-Ud-Dawa (Party of the Faith) as well as his Falah-i-Insaniyat Foundation (The Foundation for the Welfare of Humanity) charity.

This time looks to be different because Saeed's arrest, along with four of his deputies, fell under Pakistan's stricter enforcement of anti-terror laws.

According to Maj. Gen. Asif Ghafoor, the spokesman for Pakistan's army, the decision was based on a new "national policy and for the national interest."

Shehzad Chaudhry, a former Pakistan air force officer and a popular television analyst told NBC News, said that the government was reacting to "a changing environment."

He added: "This arrest is a win-win decision. The Chinese, our best friends, are going to be happy, for we don't have to embarrass them anymore. The Americans will be happy that we've finally heard them out. The Indians will lose a major excuse to complain about us to the rest of the world."


Hafiz Saeed, the Pakistani leader of Jamaat-ud-Dawa, leaves in a car after being detained by police in Lahore, early on Jan. 31, 2017. Arif Ali / AFP - Getty Images
Another big factor leading to the arrest a change of the guard inside Pakistan's influential army.

Gen. Qamar Javed Bajwa, Pakistan's powerful new chief of army staff, who a senior State Department official called "well-intentioned" at a recent background briefing in Islamabad, has a reputation of being religiously progressive and also pro-democracy.

Ghafoor, the military spokesman, added that the new army chief's resolve to improve Pakistan's security is clear: "If Pakistan improves, and the army chief goes to his grave, he would still think it's all worth it."

He added: "Individuals are less important than the state. The national interest must prevail."

x_lon_pakistansaeed_160610.nbcnews-ux-1080-600.jpg

FROM JUNE 10: U.S. Drones Over Pakistan Should be Shot Down, Hafiz Saeed Says 0:39
Ghafoor's analogy is not just rhetorical. Past military leaders, like Gen. Pervez Musharraf, survived assassination attempts after going after Islamist militants previously fostered by the state. They were also publicly slammed for being too close to the Americans.

Soon after his arrest, Saeed released a video statement where he blamed international pressure and Trump's close ties to Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi for his arrest.

Local analysts agreed.

"He [Saeed] is not wanted here, is he? He is wanted in the U.S. and India. So obviously we are reacting to their policies," political analyst Mazhar Abbas said on his local talk show.

Hassan Nisar, another influential analyst, was quoted as saying that if American pressure had helped lead to the arrest "it's nothing to be embarrassed about. It's a bitter pill, and we have to swallow it. We have to face the fact that this man was a liability."

But Michael Kugelman, who watches Pakistan from the Wilson Center in Washington, connected Islamabad's decision to Trump's recent immigration ban in a column he wrote for Dawn, a local daily newspaper.

"It's doubtful Trump actively pressured Pakistan to rein in Hafiz Saeed, but it's likely Pakistan's detention of Saeed was done with Trump in mind," Kugelman wrote. "We can read the house arrest, at least in part, as an effort by Pakistan to showcase its counterterrorism bonafides to the new U.S. administration, and to dissuade Trump from adding Pakistan to the list of countries that can't send their citizens to the United States for 90 days. Trump's chief of staff has suggested Pakistan could be added to the list."


Supporters of Hafiz Saeed burn effigies of President Donald Trump and Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi during a rally in Lahore, Pakistan, on Feb. 2. K.M. Chaudary / AP
The detention and overall crackdown comes as Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif tries to normalize relations with arch-rival India and neighbor Afghanistan.

He has been side-tracked by terror attacks linked to Pakistan as well as growing anti-India protests in Indian-administered Kashmir.

As for Pakistan's changing policy, there are connections to the switch in the leadership of the Army, which Sharif has struggled in dealing with in the past.

Days before Sharif, the PM, appointed Bajwa in November, he told NBC News that "the contradictory policy of duality — support for some militants and going against others — will soon be finished."

http://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/analysis-here-s-why-pakistan-finally-arrested-hafiz-saeed-n715891
 
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Ghafoor, the military spokesman, added that the new army chief's resolve to improve Pakistan's security is clear: "If Pakistan improves, and the army chief goes to his grave, he would still think it's all worth it."
:o::o::o: what is the source of this statement and we have been following all ispr major and I don't remember hearing this from him.
 
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it is quite shameful that Pakistan refuses and even seems to collaborate with such terrorists. Even now this crook is under house-arrest, not in custody. All it means is that China wants to reduce the custodial debt, it has enough to worry and figure out re Trump's actions.
 
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If this man is a terrorist, than it's great that Pakistan arrested him. So is India asking for extradition of this man? Since India accused this man of killing many of its people. Why haven't supa Powa India tried an Osama Bin Laden type of raid to kill this guy?
 
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Great lets get all the terrorists and execute them. Hafiz Saaed, Narendra Modi, LK Advani, Parkash Singh Badal. Why should one side be singled out?
 
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Hafiz Saeed has been arrested, without putting any allegations or giving reasons why. Unlike previous incidents, there is not even a complainant, taking India's previous complains were acted upon and absence of evidence lead the court release him every time.


So like many, I too wonder what is going on this time?

Present house arrest of Hafiz Saeed is not just un-lawful but also un-maintainable. Under law, you can house arrest a person for 3 months for fearing “disturbing law and order” but Hafiz Saeed is neither a threat to any “law and order” nor is there a complainant. Law minister of Punjab has already stated that they do not have reason or evidence against him, yet they acted on behest of Central Government – aka Mian Nawaz Sharif. As per law, this arrest in itself is illegal.

If he is kept maximum time under “house arrest”, he would be out in 90 days’ time. Any appeal in the court against his arrest would make government release him earlier.


So what has government gain out of it anyway?

There are zero gains for the State of Pakistan, but possible losses (& pressures) for its establishment.

This action could be seen another “Dawn Gate” like attempt where Nawaz Sharif would invite pressure through international media against “perpetrators and supporters of Hafiz Saeed”. Such a synthesised pressure may be used before international establishment to earn points in the favour of Government who is “trying to act” against terrorists. A prime minister who is struggling to save his political face and possible prosecution under corruption charges would go to any lengths and miles, or try at least.


Behind this play, there will be a cost.

After yet another release of Hafiz Saeed, Pakistan India relationship would see another wave of heat. Under a Prime Minister who has entangled himself in the “traps of commitment” loud words like “surgical strikes”, wave of heat means borders going hot for no good reason.

And even if borders do not go hot, you can thank your elected PM Nawaz; your Prime Minister, Foreign Minister and Information Minister. He just earned you an upcoming confrontation with India, for free.

By Graphican
3rd Fab, 2017
 
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:D

Are there any threads on the Punjab election in this forum, by the way?

https://defence.pk/threads/indian-political-corner-all-updates-discussions.281816/page-3777

I'm not aware of any, if there is it will be full of Hindus whining about Khalistanis and how Sikhs don't let them advance their idea of Hindutva and One India :lol:

Funny that the party with pro-Khalistan tendencies in some of its background is a) ruling in alliance with nationalist "hindutva" BJP b) going to get kicked out now
 
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What i don't understand is why is Pakistan protecting this guy, if he is guilty and India can prove it then Pakistan should hand him over to them. Or Pakistan can trade him and Masood Azhar for brahamdagh bugti and other Anti Pakistan scums residing in India.
 
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What i don't understand is why is Pakistan protecting this guy, if he is guilty and India can prove it then Pakistan should hand him over to them. Or Pakistan can trade him and Masood Azhar for brahamdagh bugti and other Anti Pakistan scums residing in India.

Thank god childish nerds like you aren't running Pakistani diplomacy
 
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@Nilgiri that is precisely why bhakts are upset. I'm not even Khalistani but the minute you mention you are not supporting BJP and hindutva they brand you as such and start spewing hate at you. I'm like I have nothing against Hindus or Muslims, I just want to practice my religion and want my motherland to be drugs free. Sorry for the rant.
 
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Thank god childish nerds like you aren't running Pakistani diplomacy

what is so childish and nerdy in my comment? everything i said is logical, if India can prove he is guilty then hand him over or better yet swap for the terrorists that we want.
 
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What i don't understand is why is Pakistan protecting this guy, if he is guilty and India can prove it then Pakistan should hand him over to them. Or Pakistan can trade him and Masood Azhar for brahamdagh bugti and other Anti Pakistan scums residing in India.

Brahmdagh bugti lives in Europe. Openly.

Please stop parroting popular canards. We do not shelter any anti Pakistani terrorists. It will go against our desire to promote ourselves as a responsible business friendly state. It truly is not necessary that just because YOU do it we must be doing it.
 
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