America will be majority minority in 2040s (sooner than you think)

[retaxis]

When America becomes Black/Hispanic majority it will undoubtedly become a super liberal progressive state which puts the needs of minorities over the richer white class. No doubt many whites will be unhappy with this new arrangement and it will likely lead to decades long civil war between the left and the right. We can see even today that BLM/Anti-fa/LGBT vs Qanon, neo-nazi, red necks etc. This will only get worse and worse as the 2040s roll into the 2050s and 2060s. America will withdraw from global world stage and decline into a third rate power like Brazil/Mexico. Minorities in America have long held anger and distrust with their white counterparts and we see it every day. America has a very dark and bleek future...The same will happen to UK and France etc in the near future as well. Demographics will be the end of the western imperialist powers completely.

The US will become 'minority white' in 2045, Census projects

Demographer William Frey discusses why youthful minorities are the engine of future growth.

www.brookings.edu

New census population projections confirm the importance of racial minorities as the primary demographic engine of the nation’s future growth, countering an aging, slow-growing and soon to be declining white population. The new statistics project that the nation will become “minority white” in 2045. During that year, whites will comprise 49.7 percent of the population in contrast to 24.6 percent for Hispanics, 13.1 percent for blacks, 7.9 percent for Asians, and 3.8 percent for multiracial populations (see Figure 1).

William H. Frey​

Senior Fellow - Brookings Metro​

The shift is the result of two trends. First, between 2018 and 2060, gains will continue in the combined racial minority populations, growing by 74 percent. Second, during this time frame, the aging white population will see a modest immediate gain through 2024, and then experience a long-term decline through 2060, a consequence of more deaths than births (see Figure 2).

Among the minority populations, the greatest growth is projected for multiracial populations, Asians and Hispanics with 2018–2060 growth rates of 176, 93, and 86 percent, respectively. The projected growth rate for blacks is 34 percent.* The demographic source of growth varies across groups. For example, immigration contributes to one-third of Hispanic growth over this time span, with the rest attributable to natural increase (the excess of births over deaths). Among Asians, immigration contributes to three quarters of the projected growth.

These new projections differ from those that the census previously released in 2014. Those projected a minority white tipping point in the year 2044 due to larger projected immigration and somewhat greater growth for several minority groups. The national growth was also somewhat larger in the 2014 projections. The U.S. was predicted to reach a population of 400 million in the year 2051 compared with 2058 in the new projections.

“Minority white” tipping points differ by age​

Because minorities as a group are younger than whites, the minority white tipping point comes earlier for younger age groups. As shown in Figure 3, the new census projections indicate that, for youth under 18–the post-millennial population–minorities will outnumber whites in 2020. For those age 18-29–members of the younger labor force and voting age populations–the tipping point will occur in 2027.

The new census projections indicate that, for youth under 18–the post-millennial population–minorities will outnumber whites in 2020

These tipping point years occur later for older age groups, meaning that seniors, age 60 and above, will continue to be majority white after the year 2060. The latter can be attributable in the near term to the staying power of the largely white baby boom. In fact, over the 2018–2060 time span, the only white age group that does not lose population is the 65 and older age group, an age group that, overall, grows far more rapidly than any other.

Youthful diversity as a counterweight to aging whites​

Clearly it is the growth of the nation’s youthful minority population–attributable to a combination of past and present immigration and births among younger minority groups–that is keeping the nation from aging even faster than would otherwise be the case.

Figure 4 makes clear how important minority populations will become for the nation’s youth even through 2060. At that point in time, the census projects whites will comprise only 36 percent of the under age 18 population, with Hispanics accounting for 32 percent. This contrasts sharply with the minority contribution to the nation’s seniors, which will still be over half white.

Because racial minorities are projected to account for all of the nation’s youthful population growth over the next 42 years, they will sharply decelerate national aging. Already in 2018, there will be more white seniors than children and more white deaths than births according to census projections. Yet, neither will be the case for the combined minority population for the projected 2018–2060 time frame.

Minorities will be the source of all of the growth in the nation’s youth and working age population, most of the growth in its voters, and much of the growth in its consumers and tax base as far into the future as we can see. Hence, the more rapidly growing, largely white senior population will be increasingly dependent on their contributions to the economy and to government programs such as Medicare and Social Security. This suggests the necessity for continued investments in the nation’s diverse youth and young adults as the population continues to age.

(In 2060) the census projects whites will comprise only 36 percent of the under age 18 population, with Hispanics accounting for 32 percent

 

[retaxis]

The nonwhite population is growing more rapidly than the white population. Minorities accounted for 92% of the U.S. population growth between 2010 and 2018, with Latinos comprising just under half of the nation’s overall growth.

The US white majority will soon disappear forever

By 2050, the US will be a ‘majority-minority’ country, with white non-Hispanics making up less than half of the total population.

theconversation.com

 

[hydrabadi_arab]

This isn't a big deal. Eventually non-whites too will die out as population decline will hit everyone. Maybe 50-100 years later but thats like second later if we consider overall human history.

If anything these developed nations shouldn't suffer from population decline if liberal migration policy is followed. While non-developed will have it more difficult because no one would want to migrate there anyway.

So what ever the racial composition of future USA, they will not see rest of global south as equal. Global south isn't liberal progressive by any stretch of imagination, what makes their blood relatives in USA different?

 

[retaxis]

This isn't a big deal. Eventually non-whites too will die out as population decline will hit everyone. Maybe 50-100 years later but thats like second later if we consider overall human history.

If anything these developed nations shouldn't suffer from population decline if liberal migration policy is followed. While non-developed will have it more difficult because no one would want to migrate there anyway.

So what ever the racial composition of future USA, they will not see rest of global south as equal. Global south isn't liberal progressive by any stretch of imagination, what makes their blood relatives in USA different?

US demographic timebomb in 20yrs time will set up a massive civil war between the left and the right. They already hate each others guts to the core at the moment but at least the whites right now are majority and still hold all the power. When whites have their power taken from them they will fight to remain top dogs and will set up a major decades long war. It will also happen in Britain, France etc. All this will happen within next 20-25yrs no longer. Predicting something 100yrs from now is ridiculous but China/Russia will be sitting back in the lounge chairs drinking vodka and eating yumcha watching this sh1tstorm unfold.

 

[INS_Vikrant]

I always wonder why aren't Hispanics considered Whites even though they are?

 

[Indian Libertarian]

Hispanics is an all-encompassing term. Many of them are whites like the Cubans in Florida.

 

[waz]

I always wonder why aren't Hispanics considered Whites even though they are?

The vast majority are not white, they're mixed.


Through their analysis of the entire genome, the researchers found evidence of a significant sex bias consistent with the disproportionate contribution of European male and Native American female ancestry to present day populations. The scientists also found that the patterns of genes in the Hispanic/Latino populations were impacted by proximity to the African slave trade. In fact, Puerto Ricans, Dominicans and Columbians from the Caribbean coast had higher proportions of African ancestry, while Mexicans and Ecuadorians showed the lowest level of African ancestry and the highest Native American ancestry.

European migrant contributors were mostly from the Iberian Peninsula and Southern Europe. Evidence was also found for Middle Eastern and North African ancestry, reflecting the Moorish and Jewish (as well as European) origins of the Iberian populations at the time of colonization of the New World. The Native Americans that most influenced the Hispanic/Latino populations were primarily from local indigenous populations.

Genetic makeup of Hispanic/Latino Americans influenced by Native American, European and African-American ancestries

A new study finds that the imprint of European colonialism and imperialism is evident in the genetic makeup of today's Hispanic/Latino American populations. Scientists discovered that Europeans, Native Americans, as well as West Africans brought to the US and Latin America by the trans-Atlantic...

www.sciencedaily.com

Most hispanics have a very distinct look and are not white looking at all.

 

[PAKISTANFOREVER]

When America becomes Black/Hispanic majority it will undoubtedly become a super liberal progressive state which puts the needs of minorities over the richer white class. No doubt many whites will be unhappy with this new arrangement and it will likely lead to decades long civil war between the left and the right. We can see even today that BLM/Anti-fa/LGBT vs Qanon, neo-nazi, red necks etc. This will only get worse and worse as the 2040s roll into the 2050s and 2060s. America will withdraw from global world stage and decline into a third rate power like Brazil/Mexico. Minorities in America have long held anger and distrust with their white counterparts and we see it every day. America has a very dark and bleek future...The same will happen to UK and France etc in the near future as well. Demographics will be the end of the western imperialist powers completely.

The US will become 'minority white' in 2045, Census projects

Demographer William Frey discusses why youthful minorities are the engine of future growth.

www.brookings.edu

New census population projections confirm the importance of racial minorities as the primary demographic engine of the nation’s future growth, countering an aging, slow-growing and soon to be declining white population. The new statistics project that the nation will become “minority white” in 2045. During that year, whites will comprise 49.7 percent of the population in contrast to 24.6 percent for Hispanics, 13.1 percent for blacks, 7.9 percent for Asians, and 3.8 percent for multiracial populations (see Figure 1).

William H. Frey​

Senior Fellow - Brookings Metro​

The shift is the result of two trends. First, between 2018 and 2060, gains will continue in the combined racial minority populations, growing by 74 percent. Second, during this time frame, the aging white population will see a modest immediate gain through 2024, and then experience a long-term decline through 2060, a consequence of more deaths than births (see Figure 2).

Among the minority populations, the greatest growth is projected for multiracial populations, Asians and Hispanics with 2018–2060 growth rates of 176, 93, and 86 percent, respectively. The projected growth rate for blacks is 34 percent.* The demographic source of growth varies across groups. For example, immigration contributes to one-third of Hispanic growth over this time span, with the rest attributable to natural increase (the excess of births over deaths). Among Asians, immigration contributes to three quarters of the projected growth.

These new projections differ from those that the census previously released in 2014. Those projected a minority white tipping point in the year 2044 due to larger projected immigration and somewhat greater growth for several minority groups. The national growth was also somewhat larger in the 2014 projections. The U.S. was predicted to reach a population of 400 million in the year 2051 compared with 2058 in the new projections.

“Minority white” tipping points differ by age​

Because minorities as a group are younger than whites, the minority white tipping point comes earlier for younger age groups. As shown in Figure 3, the new census projections indicate that, for youth under 18–the post-millennial population–minorities will outnumber whites in 2020. For those age 18-29–members of the younger labor force and voting age populations–the tipping point will occur in 2027.

These tipping point years occur later for older age groups, meaning that seniors, age 60 and above, will continue to be majority white after the year 2060. The latter can be attributable in the near term to the staying power of the largely white baby boom. In fact, over the 2018–2060 time span, the only white age group that does not lose population is the 65 and older age group, an age group that, overall, grows far more rapidly than any other.

Youthful diversity as a counterweight to aging whites​

Clearly it is the growth of the nation’s youthful minority population–attributable to a combination of past and present immigration and births among younger minority groups–that is keeping the nation from aging even faster than would otherwise be the case.

Figure 4 makes clear how important minority populations will become for the nation’s youth even through 2060. At that point in time, the census projects whites will comprise only 36 percent of the under age 18 population, with Hispanics accounting for 32 percent. This contrasts sharply with the minority contribution to the nation’s seniors, which will still be over half white.

Because racial minorities are projected to account for all of the nation’s youthful population growth over the next 42 years, they will sharply decelerate national aging. Already in 2018, there will be more white seniors than children and more white deaths than births according to census projections. Yet, neither will be the case for the combined minority population for the projected 2018–2060 time frame.

Minorities will be the source of all of the growth in the nation’s youth and working age population, most of the growth in its voters, and much of the growth in its consumers and tax base as far into the future as we can see. Hence, the more rapidly growing, largely white senior population will be increasingly dependent on their contributions to the economy and to government programs such as Medicare and Social Security. This suggests the necessity for continued investments in the nation’s diverse youth and young adults as the population continues to age.

If whites lose control of america, minority or not, america will cease to be a superpower.

 

[313ghazi]

Whether a society is more socialist or Conservative has nothing to do with race, in the western world its about attitude to wealth.

Some people think that wealth should be shared with others, others think wealth should be accumulated and spent by its owner.

You can be poor and sign up to these values too.

 

[BigMelatonin]

While I agree that attacks on minorities will increase even further as the furthest right-wing groups becomes more openly fascist, "decades long civil war" is overselling it. There is no left in the US for them to fight anyways. Both parties are right wing, it would be international capital/neoliberalism vs fascism.

 

[S.Y.A]

If whites lose control of america, minority or not, america will cease to be a superpower.

lghdtv people will get into power and destroy its population anyways.

 

[Hamartia Antidote]

If whites lose control of america, minority or not, america will cease to be a superpower.

The author in the OP (written in 2018 BTW but google scraped by retaxis) is invoking the old "one drop" rule. meaning if you aren't fully white you fall into the "other category" and thus somehow would have viewpoints that are typically non-white.

https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2021/06/myth-majority-minority-america/619190/

The Myth of a Majority-Minority America​

The narrative that nonwhite people will soon outnumber white people is not only divisive, but also false.

In recent years, demographers and pundits have latched on to the idea that, within a generation, the United States will inevitably become a majority-minority nation, with nonwhite people outnumbering white people. In the minds of many Americans, this ethno-racial transition betokens political, cultural, and social upheaval, because a white majority has dominated the nation since its founding. But our research on immigration, public opinion, and racial demography reveals something quite different: By softening and blurring racial and ethnic lines, diversity is bringing Americans together more than it is tearing the country apart.

The majority-minority narrative contributes to our national polarization. Its depiction of a society fractured in two, with one side rising while the other subsides, is inherently divisive because it implies winners and losers. It has bolstered white anxiety and resentment of supposedly ascendant minority groups, and has turned people against democratic institutions that many conservative white Americans and politicians consider complicit in illegitimate minority empowerment. At the extreme, it nurtures conspiratorial beliefs in a racist “replacement” theory, which holds that elites are working to replace white people with minority immigrants in a “stolen America.”

The narrative is also false. By rigidly splitting Americans into two groups, white versus nonwhite, it reinvents the discredited 19th-century “one-drop rule” and applies it to a 21st-century society in which the color line is more fluid than it has ever been.

In reality, racial diversity is increasing not only at a nationwide level but also within American families—indeed within individual Americans. Nearly three in 10 Asian, one in four Latino, and one in five Black newlyweds are married to a member of a different ethnic or racial group. More than three-quarters of these unions are with a white partner. For more and more Americans, racial integration is embedded in their closest relationships.

Multiracial identities are gaining public recognition and approval. Numerous young Americans consider themselves both white and members of a minority racial or ethnic group. One in every nine babies born in the U.S. today will be raised in a mixed minority-and-white family, and this group is steadily growing. These children have kin networks—including grandparents, aunts and uncles, and cousins—that include both white people and minorities. Among Latinos, identifying as white or as simply “American” is common, and belies the notion that Latinos should be classified monolithically as nonwhite.

Furthermore, most Americans of both white and minority descent are not positioned as minorities in American society. For example, people who identify as Hispanic and white, or Asian and white, tend to start life in more economically favorable situations than most minority groups, are typically raised in largely white communities, have above-average educational outcomes and adulthood incomes, and frequently marry white people. They have fluid identities that are influenced by both minority and white ancestries.

Children with Black and white parents face greater social exclusion and more formidable obstacles to upward mobility. But their social experiences are more integrated than those of Black Americans who identify as monoracial.

These trends expose the flaw lurking behind the headline-grabbing claim that America will soon be a majority-minority society. That narrative depends on the misleading practice of classifying individuals of mixed backgrounds as exclusively nonwhite. The Census Bureau population projections that relied on this practice first predicted the majority-minority future in 2008. The idea quickly took on a life of its own. Some Americans now instinctively think of rising diversity as a catalyst of white decline and nonwhite numerical dominance. But as more recent news releases from the bureau have begun to acknowledge, what the data in fact show is that Americans with mixed racial backgrounds are the most rapidly growing racial group in the country.

 

[大汉奸柳传志]

WASPs has become such a dying breed that they rarely use the term anymore

 

[peagle]

When America becomes Black/Hispanic majority it will undoubtedly become a super liberal progressive state which puts the needs of minorities over the richer white class. No doubt many whites will be unhappy with this new arrangement and it will likely lead to decades long civil war between the left and the right. We can see even today that BLM/Anti-fa/LGBT vs Qanon, neo-nazi, red necks etc. This will only get worse and worse as the 2040s roll into the 2050s and 2060s. America will withdraw from global world stage and decline into a third rate power like Brazil/Mexico. Minorities in America have long held anger and distrust with their white counterparts and we see it every day. America has a very dark and bleek future...The same will happen to UK and France etc in the near future as well. Demographics will be the end of the western imperialist powers completely.

The US will become 'minority white' in 2045, Census projects

Demographer William Frey discusses why youthful minorities are the engine of future growth.

www.brookings.edu

New census population projections confirm the importance of racial minorities as the primary demographic engine of the nation’s future growth, countering an aging, slow-growing and soon to be declining white population. The new statistics project that the nation will become “minority white” in 2045. During that year, whites will comprise 49.7 percent of the population in contrast to 24.6 percent for Hispanics, 13.1 percent for blacks, 7.9 percent for Asians, and 3.8 percent for multiracial populations (see Figure 1).

William H. Frey​

Senior Fellow - Brookings Metro​

The shift is the result of two trends. First, between 2018 and 2060, gains will continue in the combined racial minority populations, growing by 74 percent. Second, during this time frame, the aging white population will see a modest immediate gain through 2024, and then experience a long-term decline through 2060, a consequence of more deaths than births (see Figure 2).

Among the minority populations, the greatest growth is projected for multiracial populations, Asians and Hispanics with 2018–2060 growth rates of 176, 93, and 86 percent, respectively. The projected growth rate for blacks is 34 percent.* The demographic source of growth varies across groups. For example, immigration contributes to one-third of Hispanic growth over this time span, with the rest attributable to natural increase (the excess of births over deaths). Among Asians, immigration contributes to three quarters of the projected growth.

These new projections differ from those that the census previously released in 2014. Those projected a minority white tipping point in the year 2044 due to larger projected immigration and somewhat greater growth for several minority groups. The national growth was also somewhat larger in the 2014 projections. The U.S. was predicted to reach a population of 400 million in the year 2051 compared with 2058 in the new projections.

“Minority white” tipping points differ by age​

Because minorities as a group are younger than whites, the minority white tipping point comes earlier for younger age groups. As shown in Figure 3, the new census projections indicate that, for youth under 18–the post-millennial population–minorities will outnumber whites in 2020. For those age 18-29–members of the younger labor force and voting age populations–the tipping point will occur in 2027.

These tipping point years occur later for older age groups, meaning that seniors, age 60 and above, will continue to be majority white after the year 2060. The latter can be attributable in the near term to the staying power of the largely white baby boom. In fact, over the 2018–2060 time span, the only white age group that does not lose population is the 65 and older age group, an age group that, overall, grows far more rapidly than any other.

Youthful diversity as a counterweight to aging whites​

Clearly it is the growth of the nation’s youthful minority population–attributable to a combination of past and present immigration and births among younger minority groups–that is keeping the nation from aging even faster than would otherwise be the case.

Figure 4 makes clear how important minority populations will become for the nation’s youth even through 2060. At that point in time, the census projects whites will comprise only 36 percent of the under age 18 population, with Hispanics accounting for 32 percent. This contrasts sharply with the minority contribution to the nation’s seniors, which will still be over half white.

Because racial minorities are projected to account for all of the nation’s youthful population growth over the next 42 years, they will sharply decelerate national aging. Already in 2018, there will be more white seniors than children and more white deaths than births according to census projections. Yet, neither will be the case for the combined minority population for the projected 2018–2060 time frame.

Minorities will be the source of all of the growth in the nation’s youth and working age population, most of the growth in its voters, and much of the growth in its consumers and tax base as far into the future as we can see. Hence, the more rapidly growing, largely white senior population will be increasingly dependent on their contributions to the economy and to government programs such as Medicare and Social Security. This suggests the necessity for continued investments in the nation’s diverse youth and young adults as the population continues to age.

Mexico wants California and Texas back,
they are playing the long game.

 

[Zibago]

The nonwhite population is growing more rapidly than the white population. Minorities accounted for 92% of the U.S. population growth between 2010 and 2018, with Latinos comprising just under half of the nation’s overall growth.

The US white majority will soon disappear forever

By 2050, the US will be a ‘majority-minority’ country, with white non-Hispanics making up less than half of the total population.

theconversation.com

Minorities are more conservative than white liberals