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‘India may spin out of US influence’

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April 19, 2007
‘India may spin out of US influence’

By Anwar Iqbal

WASHINGTON, April 18: A recent study for the US Army warns that nuclear cooperation with India could make the Asian nation so powerful that it may spin out of US sphere of influence and may team up with China to create its own bloc.

A recent study by a US Army think tank — the Strategic Studies Institute — says that India could change its attitude towards the United States once the nuclear deal, signed last year, is implemented and the necessary clearances from the Nuclear Suppliers Group and the International Atomic Energy Agency had been obtained.

The study highlights India’s relations with Iran and its efforts to improve relations with China as key points of concern. The book notes that India’s close ties to Iran is moored into its desire to “outflank Pakistan,” and that New Delhi may not want to give up such strong strategic interests to please the US.

The publication — “Gauging US-Indian Strategic Cooperation” — lists several concerns it claims are held about India by the member nations of the Nuclear Suppliers Group, the IAEA and the US itself.

One of the major concerns is that the deal could also open the door for Pakistan to obtain nuclear reactors from other sources. “China (an NSG member) has offered nuclear cooperation to India, but has argued that any exception for India should be framed in such a way also to allow nuclear transfers to Pakistan as well,” says nuclear expert Henry Sokolski who edited the study, which includes articles by half a dozen international scholars, including some from Pakistan.

Author Charles D. Ferguson, while assessing the vulnerability of the Indian civilian nuclear programme to military and terrorist attacks, notes: “Closer Indo-American relations could also breed resentment in Pakistan and result in a more vulnerable India, especially in armed conflict involving India and Pakistan.”

The author sees the possibility that to counter India’s enhanced strength, Pakistan may encourage “separatist” elements in Kashmir and other parts of India to increase their activities. He urges India to “work with China and Pakistan towards a fissile material cap to limit the amount of plutonium potentially available to terrorists.”

On India’s relations with Iran, Mr Sokolski says: “Unless (India) clearly severs its military and strategic cooperative ties with the Revolutionary Iranian government, the United States should oppose the sharing even of ‘safeguarded’ space launch vehicle technology with New Delhi.”

Some of the questions raised by the authors include: Will nuclear cooperation expand or as some Indian and American critics have predicted, become effectively dead due to a lack of mutual nuclear interest? To what extent will Indian nuclear supporters.

http://www.dawn.com/2007/04/19/top10.htm
 
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Isn't it a bit late to come with such studies. :lol:
US-Indo nuclear cooperation is almost a done deal, aftermath remains to be seen.
 
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Its not a done deal.

123 agreement is yet to be signed, and is a major roadblock.
The deal may just fall through at the 123 agreement. India appears not too keen to sign the deal now.
 
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I think one problem is that US is asking for to much inspection's and Indian scientists don't want that and neither does the army. From a report last year, can someone post a new article (of new blocks in the nuclear deal).
 
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China is still a developing country and have a long way ahead to become a developed state, what to say a superpower, also I have never heard from any Chinese that they are a superpower or want to be super power, what they say is they want to give batter life to their people.

India is already a superpower, just put these words "India a Super Power" in google search and you would find 1.8 million atricles on it........... May be you are talking about super super power for future about India.
 
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US says nuclear deal with India at risk HONG KONG, April 19 (AFP) A landmark nuclear energy deal between the United States and India is in jeopardy because New Delhi wants key clauses rewritten, a senior US official told the Financial Times daily Thursday. US State Department officials say India's tough stance is threatening to unravel the agreement, which gives the South Asian state unprecedented access to nuclear fuel without having to sign a non-proliferation treaty. “We are disappointed with the pace and seriousness of the civil nuclear negotiations with India,” Nicholas Burns, the US under secretary of state, told the daily. According to people close to the talks, Indian negotiators are contesting a clause which states that the United States would withdraw civil nuclear fuel supplies and equipment if India breached its unilateral moratorium on nuclear testing, the FT said.(Posted @ 09:45 PST)
 
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Its not a done deal.

123 agreement is yet to be signed, and is a major roadblock.
The deal may just fall through at the 123 agreement. India appears not too keen to sign the deal now.

And Americans are not that keen to give in to Indian demands either...lets not try to make it sound like the ball is entirely in India's court please (something which you tend to do quite often).
 
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Not at all. India has her demands, and US has her own.
The thing is for them to meet.

This particular clause, of nuclear fuel in perpetuity i think is justified. If they want the reactors under IAEA safeguards in perpetuity, then nuclear fuel also has to be supplied in perpetuity not withstanding nuclear testing. The fuel supplies can be halted for military reactors, but not civilian.
 
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Not at all. India has her demands, and US has her own.
The thing is for them to meet.

This particular clause, of nuclear fuel in perpetuity i think is justified. If they want the reactors under IAEA safeguards in perpetuity, then nuclear fuel also has to be supplied in perpetuity not withstanding nuclear testing. The fuel supplies can be halted for military reactors, but not civilian.

Right but how do you safeguard the fuel for civilian nuclear reactors from being used in the military reactors? This is a sticking point because it has reginal implications.
 
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I believe that the IAEA safeguards and inspectors would be able to make sure of that. But US isnt objecting to this point in the first place. Like the article said, its about continued nuclear fuel even when India detonates a bomb.
 
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Why are we assuming that India is "in" the U.S. sphere of influence?

Only interests are permanent; not alliances.
 
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What would US get in return then for such a sweetened deal, if they can not slaughter the animal they are rearing?
 
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They get a counterweight to China, if things go according to their plan.

And its not as though they brought us where we are. India is not dependent on the US and will not be in the future. US has limited influence here.
 
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