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$15 billion investment package likely from UAE including mega oil refinery in Pakistan

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Gentleman [ladies] great news. UAE has finalised a package of $6.2 billion which matches the earlier offer by Saudia and with $1.5bn trade finance from the International Islamic Trade Finance Corporation (ITFC) which takes the total amount to nearly $14 billion. This means the huge deficit left by the outgoing Nawaz government has been plugged.

This now gives space for the PTI government to fix the structural problems in Pakistan's economy. Let's hope that FM Asad Umar now uses this opportunity to sort out the economy. He has 5 years. God help if he fails because they are is no way Pakistan will be able to get another gigantic bailout. This really is a historic opportunity for Pakistan. And if PTI fail on this then I am afraid they will have failed Pakistan. But I think FM Asad Umar is aware of that. That is why the focus now is shifting to investments in the economy as we saw the visit in Turkey.

This means now nearly half of oil imports will be subsidised and there is even talk of LNG being given by Qatar on deferred payments. The flurry of activity with Qatar was probably over this so we should expect this anytime soon.

honestly these figures are huge [in Pakistani context]. We might end up with $16 billion in less than 4 months of PTI government. We must also keep in mind that in diplomatic parlance used by the oil kingdoms "deferred" actually means "grant" because down the road Pakistan never pays back the amounts given. The 'deferred' amounts are simply waived. This is the great thing about kingdoms. The rulers have the power to just nod and you don't have to pay it back.

So significant are these amounts that my views on UAE and KSA have changed. I think Pakistan now needs to work with both countries to build up a strategic relationship including even military support.

For me the biggest take away from all this is not only that the huge amount garnered by PM IK and his team in the shuttle tours they did of KSA, UAE, China etc but that they did so in situation when the Pakistan economy was in dire straits. This establishes the confidence shown by those countries in PM IK and his government.

This is great news. This means as the drive now changes gear to attracting foreign investment the same team that pulled this miracle will also be able to attract huge investment into Pakistan. So expect this year big new of huge investments in the country. Good news at the start of new year for Pakistan. Congratulations to all Pakistani's and thanks to KSA, UAE, Qatar, China and Turkey. A grea year appears in the making for Pakistan. I hop the IMF deal is sorted out, not so much for the money but because it gives a international validation that is now needed by Pakistan.


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ISLAMABAD: Pakistan and the United Arab Emirates (UAE) have finalised the terms and conditions of a support package of about $6.2 billion expected to be announced by Crown Prince Sheikh Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan during his visit to the country starting on Sunday (Jan 6) to help Islamabad address its balance of payments challenge.

The package involves $3.2bn worth of oil supplies on deferred payment, besides a $3bn cash deposit, a cabinet member told Dawn.

He said the UAE’s package was exactly of the same size and terms and conditions as given by Saudi Arabia. The UAE package was finalised on Thursday evening, he said.

With this, Pakistan would get a total saving of about $7.9bn on oil and gas imports from the two friendly countries — accounting for more than 60 per cent of annual oil import bill of about $12-13bn, he said. This includes about $3.2bn each of oil supplies on deferred payments from the UAE and Saudi Arabia and about $1.5bn trade finance from the International Islamic Trade Finance Corporation (ITFC).

The total financing support from the UAE and Saudi Arabia, including the ITFC’s trade finance, would be around $13.9-14bn when cash deposits of $3bn each from the two countries were also included, he said.

This is in addition to a deep-conversion oil refinery to be set up by Parco — a joint venture of Pakistan and Abdu Dhabi — worth $5-6bn at Khalifa Point and an expected petro-chemical complex by Saudi Arabia at Gwadar Oil City.

On top of that, the government has also started backchannel discussions with Qatar for some relief in terms of reduction in LNG prices or a relaxed payment schedule, but that is now at an early stage.

In reply to a question, the cabinet member said Pakistan was deepening relationships with all three friendly Islamic nations without compromising bilateral ties for geo-political reasons.

He said the UAE crown prince would be paying a two-day visit, adding that all arrangements had been finalised in this regard.

He said Saudi Crown Prince Mohammad bin Salman was expected to arrive in the country in the first week of February and an MoU for establishing a petro-chemical complex was still being worked out on the request of Riyadh.

Pakistan has already received $2bn in cash deposit from Saudi Arabia at an interest rate of 3.18pc while the third tranche of $1bn is due in the first week of February. The Saudi oil facility would also start rolling out this month with an average $274 million per month.

Pakistan is currently importing about eight cargoes of LNG every month, costing $4.2 to $4.5bn a year and more than one-third of this could be financed through ITCF support. With support from Qatar, Pakistan is expecting about $9bn cushion in total oil and gas import bill.

Published in Dawn, January 5th, 2019
 
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Good News for Pakistan...:-)
It is. I stress here. The problem has not been fixed. But a historic opportunity has been given by the fiscal space afforded by the grants to fix the economy ~ which will take years. The government now can get down to the real work to fix the underlying problems in the economy -

  • a weak export industry
  • a anemic tax collection system
  • a uncompetitive business environment
  • etc
If Asad Umar succeeds in the coming years then his name will go down in Pakistan's economic history and PTI will be reassured of a another term. If he fails it is bad news for Pakistan. This is last chance saloon.
 
Asad Umar must must deliver. There is a small window of opportunity here. Friendly nations will not be so willing if there is a next time.
Agreed. After this he cannot use the PML-N governments wrecking of the economy as a excuse. Of course he can't fix the economy overnight but the clock is ticking and all eyes are on him. By next January [2020] we will have a good idea of where Asad is taking Pakistan and a indication if he has succeeded in turning around the economy. Let us all hope and pray.

If the economy tanks again in future Pakistan will not be able to get such help again. But I suspect Asad Umar et al know this.
 
It is. I stress here. The problem has not been fixed. But a historic opportunity has been given by the fiscal space afforded by the grants to fix the economy ~ which will take years. The government now can get down to the real work to fix the underlying problems in the economy -

  • a weak export industry
  • a anemic tax collection system
  • a uncompetitive business environment
  • etc
If Asad Umar succeeds in the coming years then his name will go down in Pakistan's economic history and PTI will be reassured of a another term. If he fails it is bad news for Pakistan. This is last chance saloon.

I noticed a comment here...your opinion on this?

I have an honest question so please only respond if you have an appropriate and honest answer. Please don’t make it a political scoring point game from either side of the border. My question is - Pakistan is receiving cash deposits from friendly countries which is a good thing given the circumstances. But that is only money being deposited in Pakistani banks and cannot be used. From an economic perspective, how does this help Pakistan with its current balance of payment situation? International lending institutions are aware of these deposits and will not factor them in as Pakistani assets. So what is the real benefit in this situation? I would appreciate a genuine and educated answer. Thank you.
 
I noticed a comment here...your opinion on this?

I have an honest question so please only respond if you have an appropriate and honest answer. Please don’t make it a political scoring point game from either side of the border. My question is - Pakistan is receiving cash deposits from friendly countries which is a good thing given the circumstances. But that is only money being deposited in Pakistani banks and cannot be used. From an economic perspective, how does this help Pakistan with its current balance of payment situation? International lending institutions are aware of these deposits and will not factor them in as Pakistani assets. So what is the real benefit in this situation? I would appreciate a genuine and educated answer. Thank you.
I will let somebody more informed answer this but I think that the -

  • oil payments are genuine subsidy
  • the cash in bank helps Pakistan in negotiating with IMF
@Nilgiri Your input sought.
 
Which is down to -

  • ease of business
  • attracting foreign investment
  • cultivating a export driven business culture
  • looking at countries as markets and not ummah warriors
  • etc

People often confuse that trade deficit is because of Pakistan buying things that are not needed however the reality is exact opposite,

The following product groups represent the highest dollar value in Pakistan’s import purchases during 2017. Also shown is the percentage share each product category represents in terms of overall imports into Pakistan.

  1. Mineral fuels including oil: US$13.7 billion (23.9% of total imports)
  2. Machinery including computers: $6.9 billion (11.9%)
  3. Electrical machinery, equipment: $4.7 billion (8.3%)
  4. Iron, steel: $3.4 billion (6%)
  5. Vehicles: $2.7 billion (4.6%)
  6. Organic chemicals: $2.4 billion (4.1%)
  7. Animal/vegetable fats, oils, waxes: $2.4 billion (4.1%)
  8. Plastics, plastic articles: $2.3 billion (4%)
  9. Oil seeds: $1.4 billion (2.4%)
  10. Vegetables: $981.2 million (1.7%)

Pakistan's major import is Oil, other than that is the machinery that is being imported to set up industrial units in CPEC related projects and special economic zones. So we cant reduce any further imports, its the exports that are far less than our potential.
 
5 Jan, 2019

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SHARES


ISLAMABAD - Pakistan is likely to get $ 10 -15 billion investment package from UAE , likely to be announced during the visit of Crown Prince

READ MORE:PM Imran Khan held joint press conference with Turkish President Tayyip Erdogan
Pakistan is likely to get oil worth $3.2 billion on deferred payments from United Arab Emirates this month, sources informed Geo News Friday.

Abu Dhabi Crown Prince Sheikh Mohammed bin Zayed bin Sultan Al-Nahyan is expected to announce the facility for Pakistan during his visit to the country starting January 6.


READ MORE:Pakistan Army inducts indigenous built Multiple Launch Rocket system in Artillery Corps
They said Pakistan is also likely to get $1.5 billion loan from Islamic Development Bank's International Islamic Trade Finance Corporation (ITFC) for the import of liquefied natural gas (LNG) on deferred payment facility.

Currently, Pakistan is importing LNG worth $4.5 billion annually.

READ MORE:PM Imran Khan meets President Tayyip Erdogan
link link

The sources added that Pakistan, in collaboration with the UAE , is also starting construction of Parco Coastal Refinery in Balochistan worth over $5 billion.

It is pertinent to mention here that Prime Minister Imran Khan had twice visited the UAE last year, where he had held meetings with Emirati leadership.

In December 2018, the UAE announced that it would deposit $3 billion in the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) to support the country’s financial and monetary policy.
 

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