These number tell the difference
That's a disaster for India's future, how could they find jobs and feed those people while the country's manufacturing sector is this small ,how would a poor country like India provide proper education for them and what will become when those many young people get old..
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India: War, Peace, And The Education Crisis - Forbes
To give a shameful example: in the 2009 Program for International Student Assessment (PISA) test for fifteen year olds in reading, math and science from seventy-four countries, India ranked seventy-third, just ahead of Kyrgyzstan.
(China was first.) What was Delhi’s reaction? You would assume of course that it took the results very seriously, called for an in-depth and thorough investigation, and immediately set about instituting radical reforms to ensure a dramatic improvement in India’s future rankings. In fact, your assumption would be completely wrong! In the words of
Hemali Chhapia, India “chickened out”: it withdrew from the test and has since refused to participate. Whether the choice to buy the Rafales was the right or wrong choice can be debated; in this case the withdrawal from PISA was emphatically and unequivocally the wrong choice.
Arguably even more devastating than the PISA results are the findings of the NGO
Prathan on the deplorable state of affairs in the country’s rural primary schools. Though percentages of enrollment have increased to a respectable 96%, Prathan reports that in the last decade
over 100 million children have completed primary school without achieving the most basic skills of reading, writing and arithmetic. The 2014 education report found that 20% of children having completed primary school are incapable of recognizing single digit numbers up to 9! The figure for 2009 was 11%. Thus while numbers of students enrolled are going up, quality is obviously deteriorating fast. This is in part due to very high levels of teacher absenteeism. One of the consequences is that even the very poor are seeking to put their children in fee-paying private schools. This, among other nefarious things, aggravates inequality.
As the
FT’s Amy Kazmin commented, “Indian primary schools’ failure to deliver has big implications for Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s plan to create millions of new jobs for rural youth aspiring to move out of their villages to non-farming employment”. In an era where skills are going to be increasingly critical – partly because of the competition of robots – India looks like it is going to miss out and be destined to have huge proportions of its working population, as it does now, doing very low added service jobs, such as cleaning and guarding the houses and garages of the rich, while washing their cars.
Projecting forward, India is going to “enjoy” a demographic (youth) dividend; while much of the rest of the global population, including neighbor and rival China, will age, India will be young. By 2040 the average Indian (aged 35) will be ten years younger than the average Chinese. The population figures are mind-boggling. Between 1990 and 2025 the Indian population will have increased by over half-a-billion! (For Pakistan the figure is an equally awesome 107 million – in fact the population will have virtually doubled.)
But even the Indian rich only need so many chauffeurs, house guards and maids. On the basis of current choices and trends, the Indian working population looks to be absolutely huge, semi-literate, unqualified and hence unproductive – and possibly unhealthy as a result of child malnutrition.
As millions upon millions of uneducated, unemployed and unmotivated youth find little hope in society, the demographic dividend might turn into a social and political demographic disaster.
