All those toys will be concentrated on a small island less than half the size of areas currently occupied by Russia in Ukraine. Once Taiwan's C3I, air force and air defenses are sufficiently degraded , drones can slowly wear down the rest like how Azerbaijan wore down Armenia with drones. Remember, it's China that gets to dictate when and where the ground campaign begins. The blockade, missile/drone strikes could last for weeks before first landing starts. See the Iraqi army after Desert Shield for reference. All those weapons will make a nice collection to be sold to America's opponents in its next wars.
As far as Western sanction goes, China isn't Russia. China is the world's largest manufacturer and largest consumer market. It's a whole different ball game trying to impose the same level of sanctions without massively degrading standard of living in the West.
You are in no position to use Desert Shield/Storm.
First, China do not get to dictate the time for war against Taiwan. The weather does. And Taiwan know that window.
Second, precisely because the weather dictate the time of the invasion fleet launch, the secondary effect is that any pre-invasion actions will be time limited, meaning unlike Desert Storm, the PLA will not have time on its side to 'soften' up Taiwanese defense. How much munition will China stockpile? Four weeks like Desert Storm? Six? Eight? Ten? In Desert Storm, the air campaign lasted approximately four weeks but that was not because we make that time span a milestone. We did not say that after four weeks, the Army will move. We did the usual required battle damage assessments (BDA) and decided that the Iraqi Army was sufficiently weakened for the Army, and it happened to be in that four weeks mark.
The PLA will not have that benefit to invade Taiwan.
Taiwan Strait too treacherous over next 5 months for amphibious assault by China | 2020-10-21 16:55:00
www.taiwannews.com.tw
...armada of People's Liberation Army Navy (PLAN) invasion ships would have to contend with the strip of water and its gales, high winds, powerful waves, heavy fog, pounding rain, strong currents, and typhoons between late October and April.
That mean China have between May thru Sept or roughly 5 months or roughly 150 days. But what about the tides on the prospective Taiwan landing sites? You want your fleet to land on
HIGH TIDES, not low tides, because the more beach real estate your forces have to travel at low tides, the more vulnerable they will be. That means both China and Taiwan will know the approximate invasion date inside that 150 days, which mean the window is less than 150 days. Let us be generous to China and say 120 days to find the best day to launch the invasion fleet based on weather and high tides. How much of that 120 days will be allotted for blockade and bombardment?
No, Desert Storm is much less of a reference for China than you think.
