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Featured Pakistan Navy prevented Indian Submarine from entering into Pakistani waters on 16th October

I dont want to speak for the original member, but what he/she might be stating is that Subs that dont want to be detected stay submerged and don't snorkel. The purpose of this act might be more political. I also agree that snorkeling in this manner is not prudent. PN ASW systems likely dropped hydrophones and picked up as much as they could. So unless sub was forced to snorkel to avoid getting blown out, that act of snorkeling is a bit strange, unless it was deliberate.

If the vessel is in our EEZ normal action (in non-war scenario) is to engage and guide asset out or give permission for navigation through. This requires the vessel to show itself and state its purpose. However under International Maritime Navigation Law a vessel is allowed to traverse EEZ if its intention is purely navigation (from one point to another) and no one can stop that, nor is permission required. I have no way of confirming this, but my sense is that the sub snorkeled to allow it to navigate the EEZ, or conversely it was given a forceful knock to surface "or else" upon detection.

It likely did not get permission to navigate the EEZ so prob made a small ingress and then moved out, or was detected well into its act of ingress or act of traversing the EEZ (and probably surfaced to make a point, we did what we needed to and you should know it). So detection was not something big here (if sub had already surfaced), outside of the fact that ASW assets were there to begin with. Or if the sub was detected outside of EEZ and given a knock as soon as it came into or close to EEZ - that would be a solid win. Given the limited nature of information we cannot be certain how this played out and I for one will not have happy ears or extend false platitudes. Something is not right here and more information is needed to make a good assessment which we all our unlikely to get. I am certain many such ingresses do go completely undetected as the expanse of open sea in our EEZ is too large to effectively monitor. I doubt PN has hydrophone based sensor network deployed across the EEZ. That is a possibility and if so that would be awesome! Though again complete conjecture on this capability.

I think India is also sending a message. It is putting out there for the world and shipping channels the real threat it poses to Pakistani water navigation. It will leverage these very images to make shipping insurance impossible and difficult in a state of hot war or some pre-war tension. Which also speaks to the importance of PNSC, because few will venture these waters in the case of war outside of our owned flagged operations. This aggressive submarine patrolling speaks to the aggression of India. I for one would be comfortable if Pakistani subs were detected off Indias' coast every week. It is a psychological jolt to any nation of subs operating so close to its waters.

My other concern is Indian sub being used to make coastal drops of weapons and people especially in Baluchistan. That is my biggest concern here, which is why Pakistan needs to elucidate a policy of greater aggression and make our Coastal areas hot fire zones for non-detected / sub-surface vessels.
Thank you, this is the most balanced view in the 20 pages so far.


This should put the identity discussion to rest. From someone who does submarines scope for a living:

 
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It likely did not get permission to navigate the EEZ so prob made a small ingress and then moved out, or was detected well into its act of ingress or act of traversing the EEZ (and probably surfaced to make a point, we did what we needed to and you should know it). So detection was not something big here (if sub had already surfaced), outside of the fact that ASW assets were there to begin with. Or if the sub was detected outside of EEZ and given a knock as soon as it came into or close to EEZ - that would be a solid win. Given the limited nature of information we cannot be certain how this played out and I for one will not have happy ears or extend false platitudes. Something is not right here and more information is needed to make a good assessment which we all our unlikely to get. I am certain many such ingresses do go completely undetected as the expanse of open sea in our EEZ is too large to effectively monitor. I doubt PN has hydrophone based sensor network deployed across the EEZ. That is a possibility and if so that would be awesome! Though again complete conjecture on this capability.

I think India is also sending a message. It is putting out there for the world and shipping channels the real threat it poses to Pakistani water navigation.
Dude, if you are aware of this, be assured the PN absolutely is.
Submarine OPS are crazy secret. So are ASW capabilities. Rest assured the process by which the PN detected the vessel is always going to remain secret,its very unlikely the P3 found the boat first, more likely it was vectored there after they discovered it through other means. I can also assure you that the PN intel types looked at the picture and the entire intercept to ensure that the official release of this video does not reveal sensitive stuff to enemies. After all even a picture can reveal a lot to learned people versus laypersons and our enemies are indeed learned.

As for worrying about shipping, again its the opposite, its PN signaling to people that they can detect and destroy enemy subs. Since if they had even the smallest inkling that what you say might be the message foreign parties would take, they would not release this photo.
 
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The brand new sub with the latest tech is unable to hide in the water. our relatively old tech sub routinely trips to Mumbai but is never detected.
Why? Brainstorming should be done by the Indian Navy.
 
We detected it and left it unharmed.obviously not a good example set by Pak navy. Let's discuss the objectives that this sub achieved during the process. Is there any probability that another indian sub is hiding inside pakistani waters? I say there is 70%chance. This detection of sub basically to divert our attention.

There are many questions. Has india deployed another sub near Karachi? Have we failed to detect it? Is india preparing for a war quietly? Chinese bringing heavy weapons near indian border means more pressure on india but even a kid knows indian strategies and how they fool others. To isolate china, first they have to take out pakistan. The path that connects china from pakistan is a vulnerable location. Winter might help enemy as well.

Do they want to destroy Karachi port again so that they can move indian troops from the sea rather than ground? Enemy is so clever that we can only guess.
 
Going by the pics, scorpeane appears to be more lethal, fast but less armored.... While the kilo appears to be heavy, well armored but slow...
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Going by the pics, scorpeane appears to be more lethal, fast but less armored.... While the kilo appears to be heavy, well armored but slow...
images (7).jpeg
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That's how a layman like me looks at things here.....
 
Where are the rules of engagement when drone strikes occured? There are always excuses and abnormalities.

or if you are USA you can always say "Weapons Of Mass Destruction were there"
 
Either way, I think they have been able to get their Akula in and out once but nothing as deep or close. The United States has from 1992 onwards parked their subs right within Pakistani EEZs with abandon especially the Ohio SSGN during OEF and later reports of subs loitering around during May 2011- Salala
Post 9/11 our waters started being packed with 688I and Trafalagers, plus assorted NATO allies Boats. If anyone wonders why we concentrated on making Towed sonar arrays and sonarbouys, well.
Still badly outclassed.
We did have the odd success. Heard a rumour we even tracked an Ohio once.
 

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