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India needs 18 submarines to deal with Pakistan, China

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India needs 18 submarines to deal with Pakistan, China


2011-11-12 (China Military News cited from News Desk) -- India's submarine fleet is dying of old age, and new boats are not going to arrive in time as it believes it needs at least 18 non-nuclear subs in service to deal with Pakistan and China.

It's not like this was a surprise, but the Indian defence procurement bureaucracy has long been noted as slow, sloppy and stubborn, especially in the face of demands that it speed up.

The twisted tale of the tardy submarines is particularly painful. The plan was to have a dozen new subs in service by the end of the decade. At present, there will be (with a bit of luck) six of them in service by then. The other six might arrive five years later. It's hard to say, because the manufacturer of the second six has not been selected yet. The defence procurement nabobs speak of 'fast track' for this project, but long-time observers of these officials are not expecting speed.

India's effort to build the first six subs (French Scorpenes), under license, has been delayed several times, and the price has gone up to $5 billion ($834 million each). While this effort will leave India with thousands of workers and specialists experienced in building modern submarines, all that will be wasted because the defence procurement bureaucrats seem to have learned nothing. These officials already caused numerous delays, and cost overruns, during negotiations to build the Scorpene diesel-electric submarines. The bureaucrats mismanaged this deal to the extent that it is nearly three years behind schedule. But it is even more behind schedule if you count the several years the Indian bureaucrats delayed it even getting started. The delays and mismanagement have so far increased the cost of $4 billion project by 25 percent. The first Scorpene is supposed to enter service in 2015, with one a year after that until all six are delivered.

There's some urgency to all this, because by next year, five of India's 16 subs (10 Kilo and two Foxtrot class Russian built boats and four German Type 209s) will be retired (some are already semi-retired because of age and infirmity). Two years after that, India will only have five working subs.

But the bureaucrats and politicians dithered for nearly a decade, and it wasn't until 2005 that India signed a deal to buy six French Scorpene class boats. The delays led to the French increasing prices on some key components, and India has had some problems in getting production going on their end. The first Scorpene was to be built in France, with the other five built in India. While some problems were expected (India has been doing licence manufacturing of complex weapons for decades), the Defence Ministry procurement bureaucrats never ceased to amaze when it came to delaying work, or just getting in the way.
 
I think India needs more SSBNs to contain Pakistan. :azn:

- The Qing class subs are just as big as the Arihant, both are around 6000 tons in the dived displacement.

- The Qing class subs can take the role of SSBN by launching the SLBMs.

- The Qing class subs with the AIP system can have the endurance for few months.
 
Here's the full article with source from rawalpindi, no author.

India needs 18 submarines to deal with Pakistan, China

RAWALPINDI: India’s submarine fleet is dying of old age, and new boats are not going to arrive in time as it believes it needs at least 18 non-nuclear subs in service to deal with Pakistan and China.

It’s not like this was a surprise, but the Indian defence procurement bureaucracy has long been noted as slow, sloppy and stubborn, especially in the face of demands that it speed up.

The twisted tale of the tardy submarines is particularly painful. The plan was to have a dozen new subs in service by the end of the decade. At present, there will be (with a bit of luck) six of them in service by then. The other six might arrive five years later. It’s hard to say, because the manufacturer of the second six has not been selected yet. The defence procurement nabobs speak of ‘fast track’ for this project, but long-time observers of these officials are not expecting speed.

India’s effort to build the first six subs (French Scorpenes), under license, has been delayed several times, and the price has gone up to $5 billion ($834 million each). While this effort will leave India with thousands of workers and specialists experienced in building modern submarines, all that will be wasted because the defence procurement bureaucrats seem to have learned nothing. These officials already caused numerous delays, and cost overruns, during negotiations to build the Scorpene diesel-electric submarines. The bureaucrats mismanaged this deal to the extent that it is nearly three years behind schedule. But it is even more behind schedule if you count the several years the Indian bureaucrats delayed it even getting started. The delays and mismanagement have so far increased the cost of $4 billion project by 25 percent. The first Scorpene is supposed to enter service in 2015, with one a year after that until all six are delivered.

There’s some urgency to all this, because by next year, five of India’s 16 subs (10 Kilo and two Foxtrot class Russian built boats and four German Type 209s) will be retired (some are already semi-retired because of age and infirmity). Two years after that, India will only have five working subs.

But the bureaucrats and politicians dithered for nearly a decade, and it wasn’t until 2005 that India signed a deal to buy six French Scorpene class boats. The delays led to the French increasing prices on some key components, and India has had some problems in getting production going on their end. The first Scorpene was to be built in France, with the other five built in India. While some problems were expected (India has been doing licence manufacturing of complex weapons for decades), the Defence Ministry procurement bureaucrats never ceased to amaze when it came to delaying work, or just getting in the way.

The Scorpenes are similar to the Agosta 90B subs (also French) that Pakistan recently bought. The first of the Agostas was built in France, but the other two were built in Pakistan. The Scorpene purchase was seen as a response to the Pakistani Agostas. The Scorpene are a more recent design, the result of cooperation between French and Spanish sub builders. The Agosta is a 1,500 ton (surface displacement) diesel-electric sub with a 36 man crew and four 533mm (21 inch) torpedo tubes (with 20 torpedoes and/or anti-ship missiles carried). The Scorpene is a little heavier (1,700 tons), has a smaller crew (32) and is a little faster. It has six 533mm torpedo tubes, and carries 18 torpedoes and/or missiles. Both models can be equipped with an AIP (air independent propulsion) system. This enables the sub to stay under longer, thus making the sub harder to find. AIP allows the sub to travel under water for more than a week, at low speed (5-10 kilometres an hour). The Pakistanis have an option to retrofit AIP in their current two Agostas.

While India was largely concerned with the Pakistani Navy when the Scorpene contract was negotiated and signed, China is now seen as the primary adversary. The Chinese subs are not as effective as the Pakistani boats, both because of less advanced technology, and less well trained crews. India could use their Scorpenes to confront any Chinese attempt to expand their naval presence into the Indian Ocean. Thus the delays and cost overruns with the Scorpenes are causing quite a lot of commotion in India. But at the rate India is going, it will be nearly a decade before all six of the Scorpenes are in service. At that point, India would have about a dozen subs (including nuclear powered models’ under construction). China will have over 60 boats, about 20 percent of them nuclear
 
Pakistan procurement of submarine schedule is stil not confirmed from officil sources.We are just assuming that by 2014,qing class start their delivery PN.With up gradatin of lf Agosta 70, it looks PN wants t keep them in service for anther 8-10 years.So hopefully by 2018 we will be running 3 agosta 90, 2 agosta 70 and 6 Qing making total 11.
While India is possessing atleast 14 in service and procuring 6 french by 2018-2010 and anther plan for 6 more diesel submarine is to be finalise yet.While First Arihant is in under trial and two more are planned to come up each after 3 years.One nuclear submarine is also coming from Russia t join IN soon.

So IN is also prgressing ahead and same as PN moving ahead to counter threats.:cool:
 
Pakistan prcurement f submarine schedule is stil nt cnfirmed from fficil surces.We are ust assuming that by 2014,qing class start their delivery PN.With up gradatin f lf Auguta 70, it lks PN want t keep them n service fr anther 8-10 years.S hopefully by 2018 we will be running 3 agosta 90, 2 agosta 90 and 6 Qing making total 11.
While India is pssessing atleast 14 in service and procuring 6 french by 2018-2010 and anther plan of 6 more to be diesel submarine is to finalise yet.While First Arihant is in under trial and two more are planned t come up each after 3 years.One nuclear submarine is also coming frm Russia t join IN soon.

So IN is also prgressing ahead and same as PN moving ahead to counter threats.:cool:

Buddy second Arihand class sub is about to launch, before 2016-17 all three will be in service with 1 Akula
 
yes, but rapid retiring pattern of old submarines may affect IN effeciency to hold both oceans.While this is not the case with PN and Chinese navy.:smokin:
 
Fully equiped JF-17 with c-802A antiship missile and SD-10 BVR missile wont allow to perform such operation by P-8I.
They will be in before 2016.:smokin:
 
The article is nevertheless true about the slow, sluggish nature of defence bereaucracy!!!
the 1999 submarine policy envisioned the construction of 24 subs in 30 year periods with 12 foreign subs built in india, and with the experience gained it was planned to build 12 locally a new indigenous sub!!!
But politics is playing a part in delay in construction of subs!!!!
 
The lists will never end, it will repeat same. Pakistan will order more next day and India will order more all the times, lol.
 
so p8 will go alone??:what:

India is prcuring abut 34 Mig 29k for naval role and harrier are going to retire soon.If 8 P8i are guarded by 2-4 mig then nearly all naval air arm is busy to protect them from JF-17 and leaving the rest of IN air craft carriers and ships all alone which is a serious gap unless IN make significant increase in naval arms which is not pssible in near future.:):cool:
 
P8I is surely a game changer along with aircraft carrier and mig 29

---------- Post added at 01:17 PM ---------- Previous post was at 01:16 PM ----------

India is prcuring abut 34 Mig 29k for naval role and harrier are going to retire soon.If 8 P8i are guarded by 2-4 mig then nearly all naval air arm is busy to protect them from JF-17 and leaving the rest of IN air craft carriers and ships all alone which is a serious gap unless IN make significant increase in naval arms which is not pssible in near future.:):cool:

You don't have naval version of jf17
 
yes, but rapid retiring pattern of old submarines may affect IN effeciency to hold both oceans.While this is not the case with PN and Chinese navy.:smokin:

what is the importance of this thread, International Maritime Union and UN resolution says that only 18 km from the cost of a nation can be decalred as a nations land. the rest of the ocean and sea is open to every one to go and explore.
So if the IN is good to save that 18 kms though or SUBs are not working then its ok.
And after all all three nations are not at war to geopardize the growth that the east is ataining by wagging a war.
 
P8I is surely a game changer along with aircraft carrier and mig 29

---------- Post added at 01:17 PM ---------- Previous post was at 01:16 PM ----------



You don't have naval version of jf17

Read first above post, I said naval version will be in before p8i comes in IN service.
Dedicated JF-17 are being tested with C-802A antiship missile.You will soon see them in formal fleet.:smokin:
 
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