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Afghan-US security deal: Pakistan’s endorsement seen as ‘paradigm shift’ in policy

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Afghan-US security deal: Pakistan’s endorsement seen as ‘paradigm shift’ in policy
By Kamran Yousaf
Published: October 2, 2014

ISLAMABAD:
Pakistan has ‘tacitly’ endorsed the long delayed bilateral security agreement (BSA) signed between Afghanistan and the United States in what appears to be a clear departure from its earlier stance that long-term presence of foreign forces in its backyard could have far-reaching implications for the region.


In background discussions, security and Foreign Office officials said that the BSA, which would allow 12,000 foreign military personnel to stay back in Afghanistan beyond 2014, would help prevent Afghanistan from slipping into civil war.

Pakistan’s apparent support for the security pact is seen as a ‘paradigm shift’ in its Afghan policy. In the past, Islamabad was believed to have been lobbying against a long-term US presence in Afghanistan.

Asked to comment on the deal, Foreign Office spokesperson Tasnim Aslam said that Pakistan would continue to facilitate and support any move which helped stabilise Afghanistan. “Afghanistan is a sovereign country and an elected government there is well within its right to sign such agreements,” she added.

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On Tuesday, Prime Minister’s Adviser on National Security and Foreign Affairs Sartaj Aziz also welcomed the US-Afghan deal, saying that “it would provide a protective shield to Afghan security forces”. Additionally, the Afghan forces would get the badly needed defence and economic resources, he added.

The BSA and a separate pact signed with Nato allow the continued training and advising of Afghan security forces, as well as counterterrorism operations against remnants of al Qaeda.

A senior Obama administration official explained that the BSA had two critical missions post-214: targeting the remnants of al Qaida, and tanning, advising and assisting the Afghan National Security Forces. The reference to remnants of al Qaeda appears to indicate that the US may continue its drone campaign in Pakistan’s tribal areas beyond 2014.

Although, US officials insisted that the provisions related to counterterrorism operations were only related to operations within Afghanistan, some security experts in Pakistan suggested otherwise.

“It’s [BSA] continuation of status quo,” commented Rustam Shah Mohmand, Pakistan’s former ambassador to Afghanistan. He argued that Pakistan would continue to face the ‘blowback’ of US military’s presence in Afghanistan beyond 2014 in the form of drone strikes.

He also claimed that contrary to US claims nearly 25,000 American troops would remain stationed in Afghanistan even after the final withdrawal of foreign forces by the end of this year.

“Apart from 10,000 troops, 6,000 would stay there for the security of the US Embassy in Kabul. Also at least half of 30,000 contractors would comprise American troops,” insisted the former diplomat, who is closely watching developments unfolding in the war-ravaged country.

A security official said the United States had been in contact with Pakistan over its plans to maintain its military presence in Afghanistan for the long term. “Primary objective of the US long-term presence is to make sure that gains of over a decade-long war must not be reversed,” the official said requesting anonymity.

The official said Pakistan was also of the view that the US must not leave Afghanistan ‘high and dry’ as it did in 1989.

However, another official pointed out that log-term presence of US troops in Afghanistan could have negative fallout for Pakistan in view of the increased cooperation between Washington and New Delhi.

US Ambassador Richard Olson on Wednesday met Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif and reportedly assured him that the BSA would not hurt Pakistan’s interests.

But an official statement issued here by the Prime Minister Office did not make any reference to the subject. “Matters of common interest came under discussion during the meeting,” it said.

Published in The Express Tribune, October 2nd, 2014.
 
Endorsement of the deal means, better neighborhood, half security hassles alleviated by the US troops, investments and maybe some F-16s along with other needed military and civilian technologies and systems for Pakistan, versus Zero advantage in opposing the deal.
Wise and logical decision by Pakistan.
 
Afghan-US security deal: Pakistan’s endorsement seen as ‘paradigm shift’ in policy
By Kamran Yousaf
Published: October 2, 2014

ISLAMABAD:
Pakistan has ‘tacitly’ endorsed the long delayed bilateral security agreement (BSA) signed between Afghanistan and the United States in what appears to be a clear departure from its earlier stance that long-term presence of foreign forces in its backyard could have far-reaching implications for the region.


In background discussions, security and Foreign Office officials said that the BSA, which would allow 12,000 foreign military personnel to stay back in Afghanistan beyond 2014, would help prevent Afghanistan from slipping into civil war.

Pakistan’s apparent support for the security pact is seen as a ‘paradigm shift’ in its Afghan policy. In the past, Islamabad was believed to have been lobbying against a long-term US presence in Afghanistan.

Asked to comment on the deal, Foreign Office spokesperson Tasnim Aslam said that Pakistan would continue to facilitate and support any move which helped stabilise Afghanistan. “Afghanistan is a sovereign country and an elected government there is well within its right to sign such agreements,” she added.

View attachment 104450

On Tuesday, Prime Minister’s Adviser on National Security and Foreign Affairs Sartaj Aziz also welcomed the US-Afghan deal, saying that “it would provide a protective shield to Afghan security forces”. Additionally, the Afghan forces would get the badly needed defence and economic resources, he added.

The BSA and a separate pact signed with Nato allow the continued training and advising of Afghan security forces, as well as counterterrorism operations against remnants of al Qaeda.

A senior Obama administration official explained that the BSA had two critical missions post-214: targeting the remnants of al Qaida, and tanning, advising and assisting the Afghan National Security Forces. The reference to remnants of al Qaeda appears to indicate that the US may continue its drone campaign in Pakistan’s tribal areas beyond 2014.

Although, US officials insisted that the provisions related to counterterrorism operations were only related to operations within Afghanistan, some security experts in Pakistan suggested otherwise.

“It’s [BSA] continuation of status quo,” commented Rustam Shah Mohmand, Pakistan’s former ambassador to Afghanistan. He argued that Pakistan would continue to face the ‘blowback’ of US military’s presence in Afghanistan beyond 2014 in the form of drone strikes.

He also claimed that contrary to US claims nearly 25,000 American troops would remain stationed in Afghanistan even after the final withdrawal of foreign forces by the end of this year.

“Apart from 10,000 troops, 6,000 would stay there for the security of the US Embassy in Kabul. Also at least half of 30,000 contractors would comprise American troops,” insisted the former diplomat, who is closely watching developments unfolding in the war-ravaged country.

A security official said the United States had been in contact with Pakistan over its plans to maintain its military presence in Afghanistan for the long term. “Primary objective of the US long-term presence is to make sure that gains of over a decade-long war must not be reversed,” the official said requesting anonymity.

The official said Pakistan was also of the view that the US must not leave Afghanistan ‘high and dry’ as it did in 1989.

However, another official pointed out that log-term presence of US troops in Afghanistan could have negative fallout for Pakistan in view of the increased cooperation between Washington and New Delhi.

US Ambassador Richard Olson on Wednesday met Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif and reportedly assured him that the BSA would not hurt Pakistan’s interests.

But an official statement issued here by the Prime Minister Office did not make any reference to the subject. “Matters of common interest came under discussion during the meeting,” it said.

Published in The Express Tribune, October 2nd, 2014.


Well played :D

@Irfan Baloch @Icarus @Xeric @Hyperion @balixd
 
With Ahmadzai now as President of Afghanistan,Pakistan has to give up any sort of fear from indian presence in Afghanistan.

Ahmadzai can be considered as a Pakistani in power of Afghanistan
 
With Ahmadzai now as President of Afghanistan,Pakistan has to give up any sort of fear from indian presence in Afghanistan.

Ahmadzai can be considered as a Pakistani in power of Afghanistan
steady now my dear sir
although آپ کے منہ میں گھی شکر but dont discount the presence of Tajik drug / warlord thugs that will hold the real power
 
Pakistan has been lately advised rethink about complete withdrawal of the Americans from Afghanistan. their presence will keep the "Alliance" of Northern drug/warlords in check and stop them from cannibalizing each other like back in late 80s. although in the background but they can help Afghans take the responsibility fo security themselves.

what is important is some sort of peace deal and inclusion of moderate Taliban in the national / political fold (I know putting both words moderate and taliban together in one sentence is pushing it but we got all saint Northern Alliance leaders as well who remained the darlings of the west). this can have much better results.

And Pakistan should continue to support in terms of logistics, political support and negotiations and would be in a better position to request both the new Afghan regime and the American visitors to address the TTP and BLA issue.
the appointment of the key positions in the Afghan administration will be a give away about Afghanistan's approach towards Pakistan. if it continues to keep the morbidly hostile intelligence chief then such action alone can sabotage all the peace and stability effort that Pakistan and America have in mind re Afghanistan future. for the benefit of those who have short memory, the Afghan intelligence chief has never kept his hostility towards Pakistan hidden, he proudly and openly meets and hosts TTP leadership and his personnel have been busted by Americans as well and since his rise to position, the notorious "toy bombs" of Soviet/ Communist Afghan era have resurfaced in KPK. the other actions include assassinating people in Balochistan and on purpose dumping the bodies on the roadsides for FC to take the blame and fan the insurgency. the Afghan intelligence targets there include common Pakistanis, Afghan refugees or alleged Afghan Taliban.

drones arel welcome to fly in Pakistani tribal areas but they must not miss out Kunar and Nooristan as well to be effective and meaningful to fight the global war on terror.
Raheel Sharif has had meetings with ISAAF commanders and Afghan Ambassador .. hopefully new Afghan military chief ( if and when appointed) will be helpful too
 
With Ahmadzai now as President of Afghanistan,Pakistan has to give up any sort of fear from indian presence in Afghanistan.

Ahmadzai can be considered as a Pakistani in power of Afghanistan

It is not about Indian presence in Afghanistan. That was just a slogan from the likes hameed Ghul (ghul ghupara)

What Pakistani establishment really wanted was continuous and sustained presences of Americans.

Hope you see the diff.
 
If the US forces pulled out from the Afghanistan after 2014 entire powerplay would have been at the hand of Pakistan.US need Pakistan for their interest in Afghanistan.
But now US would get more leverage because of BSA and less depend the Pakistan.
For India it is absolutely good.Because we dont have to worry about a possible flow of fighters from Afghanistan to Kashmir area.
BSA is good.But Iran dont like any of this development they dont like a permanent US base nearer to their nation.
Let see the post 2014.
 
steady now my dear sir
although آپ کے منہ میں گھی شکر but dont discount the presence of Tajik drug / warlord thugs that will hold the real power

I am ready to bet,

He will pull out of the agreement earlier than expected
 
With Ahmadzai now as President of Afghanistan,Pakistan has to give up any sort of fear from indian presence in Afghanistan.

Ahmadzai can be considered as a Pakistani in power of Afghanistan

Wrrora kiya keh rahaa haiii ? :o:

Why would Ahmadzai be Pro-Pakistan ? :unsure:
 
Wrrora kiya keh rahaa haiii ? :o:

Why would Ahmadzai be Pro-Pakistan ? :unsure:

This was his agenda,to have better relations with Pakistan.Beside this,World largest concentration of ahmadzai is in Bannu :D.He's more like a pakistani pashtun :D
 
Good for India and Pakistan that taliban should be eternally finished


Weird isn't it? Modi just told Obama not to pull out all troops in haste. Pakistan too changing its stance and endorsing the BSA.

Weirdest of all was the new Afghan leaders signed the deal the very next day of inauguration and that too completely on America's terms.
 

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