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Rupee's Falling Value Hurts India's Defense Budget

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Indian defense spending has taken a hit as the rupee has fallen in value by more than 20 percent against the US dollar since February, when the defense budget was announced.

Nearly $7.5 billion has been shaved from the current financial year’s allocation of $37.7 billion for defense spending. In February, $1 equaled 54 rupees, and that number has risen to 68 rupees.

Since overseas weapon and equipment purchases are made in US dollars, more Indian rupees are needed to make those buys.

No official from the Indian Defence Ministry would say how much money from the current year’s allocation has been spent, nor quantify the shortfall. However, MoD sources said that since the money allocated for the year has eroded due to the depreciating rupee, the MoD will need to approach the Indian Finance Ministry for additional funds to buy fresh weapons and equipment.

Several defense projects are likely to be rolled over to the next financial year as commitments of contracted programs in the past five to seven years must be serviced first, an MoD source said.

A source in India’s Planning Commission said several projects in the “Plan Head” category could be put on hold to keep the fiscal deficit below the 4.8 percent limit.

In the current financial year, $16.06 billion was allocated under “Plan Head” for weapons and equipment purchases. The rupee’s decline means the money available for new weapons has been reduced by $3.2 billion, even lower than the money allocated in 2012-13 at $14.74 billion.

The MoD buys fresh weapons and equipment from domestic and overseas sources through the Plan Head allocated by the Finance Ministry. The Planning Commission source explained that if planned expenditure is kept under check to keep the country’s fiscal deficit under control, the MoD will be left with less money to buy fresh weapons and equipment. Therefore, several defense projects will have to be rolled over to later financial years.

MoD sources said that could affect programs such as the procurement of Lockheed Martin C-130J aircraft, Airbus Military A330 aerial refuelers, assault rifles, howitzer guns and torpedoes, and the re-engining of Jaguar aircraft with Honeywell engines.

No official would say how much additional money would be required, nor would anyone confirm whether the Finance Ministry would be approached.

“Allocations are not made in dollar terms. However, payments related to contracts with the foreign vendors are required to be made in dollars and other foreign currencies,” said defense analyst Amit Cowshish, a retired Indian MoD bureaucrat. “Because of the value of the rupee going down by about 20 percent in the last few months, more Indian rupees would be required to buy the dollars (and other currencies) for making payments, which become due this year under those contracts.”

Analysts said if the rupee does not recover against the US dollar, the government could delay clearances for other big-ticket projects.

“We would have to resort to the following options: Delay the Cabinet Committee on Security clearances of mega projects, delay planned payments if contractually feasible, defer the Contract Negotiations Committee in progress and transfer some not-so urgent deals into the next yearly or five-year plan, and wait and watch for the next three to four months to see how our economy is progressing,” said defense analyst Sharad Deshpande, a retired Indian Air Force air marshal. “The [Defence Research and Development Organisation’s] plans, too, will be hit.”

The $12 billion Medium Multi-role Combat Aircraft program is in the Contract Negotiations Committee stage, and MoD sources say there is a good chance that the contract’s signing would be delayed until the next financial year.

Rupee's Falling Value Hurts India's Defense Budget | Defense News | defensenews.com
 
Indian defense spending has taken a hit as the rupee has fallen in value by more than 20 percent against the US dollar since February, when the defense budget was announced.

Nearly $7.5 billion has been shaved from the current financial year’s allocation of $37.7 billion for defense spending. In February, $1 equaled 54 rupees, and that number has risen to 68 rupees.

Since overseas weapon and equipment purchases are made in US dollars, more Indian rupees are needed to make those buys.

No official from the Indian Defence Ministry would say how much money from the current year’s allocation has been spent, nor quantify the shortfall. However, MoD sources said that since the money allocated for the year has eroded due to the depreciating rupee, the MoD will need to approach the Indian Finance Ministry for additional funds to buy fresh weapons and equipment.

Several defense projects are likely to be rolled over to the next financial year as commitments of contracted programs in the past five to seven years must be serviced first, an MoD source said.

A source in India’s Planning Commission said several projects in the “Plan Head” category could be put on hold to keep the fiscal deficit below the 4.8 percent limit.

In the current financial year, $16.06 billion was allocated under “Plan Head” for weapons and equipment purchases. The rupee’s decline means the money available for new weapons has been reduced by $3.2 billion, even lower than the money allocated in 2012-13 at $14.74 billion.

The MoD buys fresh weapons and equipment from domestic and overseas sources through the Plan Head allocated by the Finance Ministry. The Planning Commission source explained that if planned expenditure is kept under check to keep the country’s fiscal deficit under control, the MoD will be left with less money to buy fresh weapons and equipment. Therefore, several defense projects will have to be rolled over to later financial years.

MoD sources said that could affect programs such as the procurement of Lockheed Martin C-130J aircraft, Airbus Military A330 aerial refuelers, assault rifles, howitzer guns and torpedoes, and the re-engining of Jaguar aircraft with Honeywell engines.

No official would say how much additional money would be required, nor would anyone confirm whether the Finance Ministry would be approached.

“Allocations are not made in dollar terms. However, payments related to contracts with the foreign vendors are required to be made in dollars and other foreign currencies,” said defense analyst Amit Cowshish, a retired Indian MoD bureaucrat. “Because of the value of the rupee going down by about 20 percent in the last few months, more Indian rupees would be required to buy the dollars (and other currencies) for making payments, which become due this year under those contracts.”

Analysts said if the rupee does not recover against the US dollar, the government could delay clearances for other big-ticket projects.

“We would have to resort to the following options: Delay the Cabinet Committee on Security clearances of mega projects, delay planned payments if contractually feasible, defer the Contract Negotiations Committee in progress and transfer some not-so urgent deals into the next yearly or five-year plan, and wait and watch for the next three to four months to see how our economy is progressing,” said defense analyst Sharad Deshpande, a retired Indian Air Force air marshal. “The [Defence Research and Development Organisation’s] plans, too, will be hit.”

The $12 billion Medium Multi-role Combat Aircraft program is in the Contract Negotiations Committee stage, and MoD sources say there is a good chance that the contract’s signing would be delayed until the next financial year.

Rupee's Falling Value Hurts India's Defense Budget | Defense News | defensenews.com

Meanwhile we get a FGFA next year!
 
And the defence budget to GDP ratio remains the same, roughly 2% .. which is a wise decision.

90% of this is spent locally (excluding oil). That's where the PPP benefit accrues, in terms of salaries, domestic ordnance and equipments and consumables.
 
not confirmed yet:astagh:

India to customise Russia's FGFA planes - The Hindu

The Indian version of an Indo-Russian fifth-generation fighter plane is going to be lighter weight, more powerful and less visible to enemy radars that the original Russian version, according to a senior executive at Hindustan Aeronautics Limited.

Under a joint project with Russia to build a fifth-generation fighter aircraft (FGFA) India will modify and customise the prototype Russia has developed independently.

“While the Russian version of the FGFA is all-metal, ours will have wings and empennage (vertical and horizontal stabilisers) made of composite materials,” said S. Subrahmanyan, Managing Director of MiG Complex at HAL.

“The use of composites will reduce the plane’s weight and give it lower signature. Our version will also have more advanced Indian-made avionics,” Mr. Subrahmanyan told The Hindu at the Moscow Air Show-2013. He is leading a HAL delegation to the biannual air show being held this year from August 27 to September 1.

“Thanks to these improvements we will get a better and more powerful platform,” Mr. Subrahmanyan said.

The FGFA is going to be India’s biggest and most ambitious defence project and the largest joint venture with Russia. Earlier this year the two sides completed the preliminary design of the FGFA and are now negotiating a detailed design contract. Mr. Subrahmanyan said he hopes the contract could be signed before the end of the current year.

Four Russian prototypes of the fifth-generation fighter, codenamed T-50 or PAK-FA, have performed more than 200 test flights since January 2010. The Russian Air Force plans to begin inducting the plane in 2015.

HAL is to get three Russian prototypes for re-design and testing in 2015, 2016 and 2017, and will hand over the first series produced aircraft to the IAF in 2019, Mr. Subrahmanyan said.

The FGFA project will take the Indian expertise in aviation technologies to a much higher level.

“We’ve moved from license production and technology transfer to co-design and co-development,” Mr. Subrahmanyan said. He pointed out that India supplies avionics for Su-30 Russia is building for Malaysia and Indonesia.

“Co-design offers far greater scope for knowledge sharing compared with license production. In co-design projects all Intellectual Property Rights (IPR) are jointly held by parties involved,” Mr. Subrahmanyan added.

India is currently working on two co-design defence projects with Russia – the FGFA and the Multi-role Transport Aircraft, which is already in detailed design stage.

With the West, India has so far had only one co-design project – the Advanced Light Helicopter Dhruv, developed with assistance from Germany’s MBB.
 
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