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Pakistan to miss 4.2pc growth target:IMF

UmarJustice

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ISLAMABAD : The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has projected that Pakistan could not achieve the economic growth's target of 4.2 per cent during current financial year 2012-2013 as it would remain at 3.5 per cent.

The IMF in its report "World Economic Outlook" has noted that Pakistan's real GDP growth would remain 3.5 per cent in the ongoing fiscal year 2012-2013 that would further decline to 3.3 per cent in the coming financial year 2013-2014. Pakistan has projected that GDP growth would be at 4.2 per cent in the year 2012-2013. However, IMF and Asian Development Bank (ADB) have estimated that country could not achieve the target, as ADB already projected that GDP growth would be at 3.6 per cent in the fiscal year to be ended on June 30 2013.
The IMF report forecasted that consumer price inflation would remain at 8.2 per cent during the current fiscal year 2012-2013 that would surge to 9.5 per cent in the financial year to come 2013-2014. Similarly, the current account deficit has been estimated at 0.7 per cent during the ongoing financial yea 2012-2013, which would be at 0.8 per cent in next fiscal year.
According to the report, unemployment rate has been projected to increase to 9.2 per cent during the current fiscal year 2012-2013 as compared to 7.7 per cent of the preceding year 2011-2012. The report predicted that unemployment rate would further enhance to 10.7 per cent in the year to come (2013-2014). "In Pakistan, high fiscal deficits and a difficult business climate are contributing to a sharp fall in private investment and growth", said the IMF report.
Apart from Pakistan, the world economic outlook has worsened over the past three months and growth will stay flat this year, as the International Monetary Fund said the world economy should grow by 3.3% in 2013, down from a January forecast of 3.5%, leaving the pace of growth little changed from 2012. Growth should then pick up to 4% in 2014, it added. In advanced economies, activity is expected to gradually accelerate, starting in the second half of 2013. Private demand appears increasingly robust in the United States but still very sluggish in the euro area. In emerging market and developing economies, activity has already picked up steam.
Pakistan to miss 4.2pc growth target:
 
Load Shedding is costing us $5-10 Billion annually and we have lost more than 1 million jobs in our industries. Get Energy surplus and our growth rate would be around 5-6%. If terrorism and corruption can be controlled, i can see the growth rate going even higher.
 
fear mongering by IMF, though we will miss the targets but nt by that much margin.
 
Load Shedding is costing us $5-10 Billion annually and we have lost more than 1 million jobs in our industries. Get Energy surplus and our growth rate would be around 5-6%. If terrorism and corruption can be controlled, i can see the growth rate going even higher.
And tax the rich too! :) Pakistan is rich in mineral resources especially in Balochistan. The government would do well if they exploit these riches to the max. You could then easily achieve a growth rate of close to 7%.
 
pakistan have great strengths from tourism to demography to mines to fertile lands..but unfortunately there are some great weaknesses too which are hindering the growth
 
IMF wants Pakistan to take another Loan! Which we should not take!
 
Only 3.5 per cent growth of pak. :woot:

If one sees the inflation 7-8% then its the negative growth in reality :woot:

Load Shedding is costing us $5-10 Billion annually and we have lost more than 1 million jobs in our industries. Get Energy surplus and our growth rate would be around 5-6%. If terrorism and corruption can be controlled, i can see the growth rate going even higher.

As building and operation power plants takes minimum 5-6 years and terrorism is not going to end so soon as there are millions of its supporters and radicals in pak.

In your words pak economy will never grow more then 3-4% till 2020?????????
 
Only 3.5 per cent growth of pak. :woot:

If one sees the inflation 7-8% then its the negative growth in reality :woot:



As building and operation power plants takes minimum 5-6 years and terrorism is not going to end so soon as there are millions of its supporters and radicals in pak.

In your words pak economy will never grow more then 3-4% till 2020?????????

well after US departure frm Afghanistan things would be difficult and terrorism would be controlled to certain extinct and problem of Afghan refugees would also be solved yeah there would be more problems to take care of i.e infiltration of terrorist frm pak to India and drug supply from Afghans……but we can hope atleast 7-8% growth in GDP coz of American departure……
as terrorism causes (Afghans,Indians or US) all would not be able to use Afghan land against Pakistan coz after US departure most people would be peaceful as now their land is free……
Afghan Government have to take care of their own country and struggle to get rid of land lords and drug dealers who would be challenging government rid
while if India is involved in terrorism in Pak then it would be too much as a risk to stay in Afghanistan after US departure……
soo tourism of Pak would increase and the investment too would and the funds used on war and settlement of refugees and development of destroyed areas would be used somewhere else……ツ
 
Only 3.5 per cent growth of pak. :woot:

If one sees the inflation 7-8% then its the negative growth in reality :woot:



As building and operation power plants takes minimum 5-6 years and terrorism is not going to end so soon as there are millions of its supporters and radicals in pak.

In your words pak economy will never grow more then 3-4% till 2020?????????

the growth rate already count inflation within it.

shortage stand at 4000mw.while capacity is 5000mw more than the demand.
Let the new govt come into power and see what happens within 3 months

beside this pak growth rate would be closer to 6% next year
 
IMF wants Pakistan to take another Loan! Which we should not take!

I don't think give you either,Since the last time you didn't met obligation of the bail out package.Then you will have a BoP crisis.Only reason they will offer you loan is because of US pressure.
 
the growth rate already count inflation within it.

shortage stand at 4000mw.while capacity is 5000mw more than the demand.
Let the new govt come into power and see what happens within 3 months

beside this pak growth rate would be closer to 6% next year

With out large scale investment in Power and other infrastructure you won't even reach 5% growth rate.Consumer spending alone can only provide so much economic growth.
 
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