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OSINT Analysis suggest Terrorist attach by BLA / BRAS is iminent

Amaa'n

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While many eyes are set on eastern border and LoC, there are individuals who are still focused on the western front. It is believed that situation on LoC on the eastern front is just a distraction to disrupt Afghan Peace process and set the stage for major setback for Pakistan, that could harm us not only Militarily but Economically too.

We all know that ever since PM IK's visit to US, things have taken a turn for worse and State of Pakistan is being attacked from all fronts. TTP, HuA, BLF, LeJ, and not to forget the Indian Army, all the dogs are out to attack and pushing us to a corner. In last two weeks, TTP, BLF, BRA, HuA have carried out major attacks on Pakistan Military that have left many injured and few embraced Shahdat. But in this fog of war something is being planned to hit us even harder.
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Above post was shared by Hakkal on their official Telegram channel in the month of June, ever since this post there has been very minor activity by the group. We have had attacks in Balochistan on security forces by the smaller groups like UBA & BLT, that used to be non existent in last 1 year but somehow became active again recently.

BLA conducted two attacks since this post was made public and both of these attacks were on the "Death Squad" members that were supported by the State.

Similar message was shared in the month March in the aftermath of this we had Ormara Massacre in April & PC Gwadar attack in May. between this time the activity of BLA itelself was reduced allot, they were conducting very few hits. One being a hit on BGP - an Oil and Gas survey company operating in Balochistan.

Going further back to 2018, Hakkal started sharing similar messages on it's social media handle in September only to have launched a major attack on Chinese Consulate in November.
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Based on the above pattern and the current situation, it is believed that a terrorist attack is imminent on 14th August and target will be in Balochistan / Karachi.

Going by the history of Baloch terrorist groups and their mo, they would target a place that could harm the state of Pakistan economically, something that would impact the investment in Pakistan, it may not even be Chinese project, it can be a project by Saudi Arabia or even Doha.

BLA and it's handlers are smart enough to ensure that the target is hand picked something that could not be classified as terrorist attack in the Media outlets at the International platform instead would show Baloch struggle for freedom. But they are forgetting one important thing and that is BLA is now a designated Terrorist group.
 
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I have always maintained that our actions cannot be just reactionary, we need to be proactive in the region. If we have credible intel about presence of terrorists inside Afghanistan, send the airforce for a precision strike. Let the enemy know they are not safe even beyond our borders. Till the time we dont do that, these kind of rats will continue to exploit the situation and kill our boys.
 
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I have always maintained that our actions cannot be just reactionary, we need to be proactive in the region. If we have credible intel about presence of terrorists inside Afghanistan, send the airforce for a precision strike. Let the enemy know they are not safe even beyond our borders. Till the time we dont do that, these kind of rats will continue to exploit the situation and kill our boys.
That's the only way now
 
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Recently I was reading about the potential use of high altitude surveillance balloons with wireless cameras and radar by the US border patrol at US-Mexico border to counter the infiltration of drug cartels. Israel has been using the same equipment to monitor the Gaza strip.

It could be a cost-effective solution for Pak security forces to employ such a system to monitor the huge terrain in between Pak-Afg / Pak-Iran border because fencing will take time. In the meanwhile, we need eyes from the above to counter cross border activity effectively and efficiently.
 
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I have always maintained that our actions cannot be just reactionary, we need to be proactive in the region. If we have credible intel about presence of terrorists inside Afghanistan, send the airforce for a precision strike. Let the enemy know they are not safe even beyond our borders. Till the time we dont do that, these kind of rats will continue to exploit the situation and kill our boys.
they can sneak into our borders and run back only when their is a local support network available...KJ managed to stay off the radar and wreak havoc because he had sympathizers in our ranks, same goes for TTP, JuA and LeJ.
They managed to pull off successful major attacks in our cities because their were sleeper cells that facilitated them.

If we want to eliminate these groups, we will have to go back to 2013 strategy - conduct cross border strikes on the enemy hideouts along with some precision strikes / IBOs with in our cities. We need to pick up the pace and stop going for foot soliders - hit the bigger fishes like Mama Qadeer and few others who I don't want to name here on public forum but authorities know them very well
 
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That's the only way now
It has been for a long time when APC happened. We did a half hearted strike in Afghanistan. That should had been a declaration for war followed by precision strikes but we let that opportunity slide.
Few days back when our boys lost their lives due to Indian sponsored terrorism, i said we need to make sure double the number of piss drinkers meet their bhagwan. My post got deleted. This mindset of ours need to change. We are at war, why are we shy to name the enemy and call it out?
 
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It has been for a long time when APC happened. We did a half hearted strike in Afghanistan. That should had been a declaration for war followed by precision strikes but we let that opportunity slide.
Few days back when our boys lost their lives due to Indian sponsored terrorism, i said we need to make sure double the number of piss drinkers meet their bhagwan. My post got deleted. This mindset of ours need to change. We are at war, why are we shy to name the enemy and call it out?
The states needs a 6 month course of testosterone booster. We are more into statements and words than actions and even our actions are, in fact, insufficient reactions for the majority of the times. It seems the state does not care or is afraid of something invisible.

Look at Turkey, it entered Syria with its regular army in broad daylight and captured the areas and that too against the wishes of its NATO boss. While we have suffered far more than Turkey but our state is doing bare minimum. What we should have done was to enter Afghanistan 20 KM and captured all the adjacent troubled areas and carried out declared precision strikes using PAF against the TTP, ISIS and RAW/NDS.
 
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The states a course of testosterone booster. We are more into statements and words than actions and even our actions in fact insufficient reactions for the majority of the times. It seems the state does not care or is afraid of something invisible.
Look at Turkey, it entered Syria with its regular army in broad daylight and captured the areas and that too against the wishes of its NATO boss. While we have suffered far more than Turkey but our state is doing bare minimum. What we should have done was to enter Afghanistan 20 KM and captured all the adjacent troubled areas and carried out declared precision strikes using PAF against the TTP, ISIS and RAW/NDS.
We should do it now
 
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It has been for a long time when APC happened
Well the highlight of our APS reaction is two full back to back ........ missile strikes NO, air strike..Hell NO,




SONGS...yeah ..we made these two lethal songs that annihilated the enemy...Enjoy the might of only Muslim nuclear power on earth. Erdogan should also make songs...

Our little boy equivalent
And this one was even more.. our Fatman equivalent

And for enemy's info, we have a lot of songs in our inventory.
So my nation... go to sleep, we have all the instruments & studios ready.

We should do it now
Kia kahon bhai...
 
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just to pick your brain - If terrorists were attack , what would be their potential target, any guess?
what are the projects that are on going or near completion in Balochistan or Karachi?
It has been for a long time when APC happened. We did a half hearted strike in Afghanistan. That should had been a declaration for war followed by precision strikes but we let that opportunity slide.
Few days back when our boys lost their lives due to Indian sponsored terrorism, i said we need to make sure double the number of piss drinkers meet their bhagwan. My post got deleted. This mindset of ours need to change. We are at war, why are we shy to name the enemy and call it out?

Well the highlight of our APS reaction is two full back to back ........ missile strikes NO, air strike..Hell NO,




SONGS...yeah ..we made these two lethal songs that annihilated the enemy...Enjoy the might of only Muslim nuclear power on earth. Erdogan should also make songs...

Our little boy equivalent
And this one was even more.. our Fatman equivalent

And for enemy's info, we have a lot of songs in our inventory.
So my nation... go to sleep, we have all the instruments & studios ready.


Kia kahon bhai...
 
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just to pick your brain - If terrorists were attack , what would be their potential target, any guess?
what are the projects that are on going or near completion in Balochistan or Karachi?
Terrorists follow a plan... they do not enter into a ceasefire if we don't hit them or go slow on them. In fact..100% contrary your assumptions, the terrorist activities were at the peak when the state's response was the weakest but as we launched the operations and started to eliminate them, the number of attacks started to go down and successful operations, we reduced it drastically but as we stopped the operations, we can see the activity has gone up suddenly both in Balochistan and FATA. So pick your facts

In fact, if the terrorists become reactionary, they loose their advantage and they give off their cover and become easy to neutralise
 
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just to pick your brain - If terrorists were attack , what would be their potential target, any guess?
what are the projects that are on going or near completion in Balochistan or Karachi?

Power plants?
 
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Terrorists follow a plan... they do not enter into a ceasefire if we don't hit them or go slow on them. In fact..100% contrary your assumptions, the terrorist activities were at the peak when the state's response was the weakest but as we launched the operations and started to eliminate them, the number of attacks started to go down and successful operations, we reduced it drastically but as we stopped the operations, we can see the activity has gone up suddenly both in Balochistan and FATA. So pick your facts

In fact, if the terrorists become reactionary, they loose their advantage and they give off their cover and become easy to neutralise
This is what i said, we made gains in post APS 2014 ops because it was multidimensional attack. We hit them hard that is why we were winning. As soon as things got better , the paced got powered so the sleeper cells got activated again
 
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