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India's Textile Industry Unravels

BanglaBhoot

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By NIRAJ SHETH

COIMBATORE, India -- Half of the yarn-making machines in V. Kalyanaraman's spinning mill sit idle, and a third of his staff of more than 400 workers has been let go. The domino effect of recession in the West has arrived here in southeastern India, crimping textile exports and eliminating hundreds of thousands of jobs.

Textile factories -- including India's notorious garment-making sweatshops -- are among the country's first manufacturing businesses to suffer as American and European clothing retailers slash orders amid slumping consumer spending.

India's second-largest employers after agriculture, textile concerns employed 35 million workers last year. But the companies have already shed 700,000 jobs this year and at least 1.2 million textile employees are expected to be out of work by March, according to the government's Ministry of Textiles.

The sector is crucial to the country's economy. The textile industry contributed 4% of India's gross domestic product in the year that ended March 31, and accounted for 13.5% of Indian exports, bringing in $17.6 billion.

The industry is particularly important in the southern Indian state of Tamil Nadu, which is bearing the brunt of the slowdown. At Mr. Kalyanaraman's Chandra Textiles Ltd., the work force -- mostly migrant female workers from rural areas -- has been trimmed 30% to 300 workers, and more cuts are expected as U.S. demand shrivels. Mr. Kalyanaraman has also halted construction on a new spinning mill, leaving it half-built.

So far, most of the textile industry's job losses are among its least-skilled and lowest-paid workers at spinning mills, dyeing houses, and stitching and embroidery factories. Employees in such operations, mainly women, earn about $2 a day. It isn't unusual to spot child workers in such factories, although it's illegal to employ them.

As India's once-booming economy slows, some financial and technology companies have started handing out pink slips, too. Last month, American Express Co. cut 100 staffers in India, while Goldman Sachs Group Inc. is also expected to lay off an unspecified number of staff in India as part of an announced 10% reduction in its global workforce, according to people familiar with the matter. Cellular phone maker Motorola Inc. said Indian workers will be among those affected by a global reduction of 3,000 employees announced in October.

No sector has been hit as hard as textile manufacturing. The drop in demand for all textile products, including raw cotton, started late last year, company executives say. That's when the housing bubble burst in the U.S. and many Americans stopped buying household items such as carpets and blankets. The trend has since accelerated and spread into apparel and other products.

Meanwhile, the industry's woes have been compounded by India's chronic infrastructure problems. Tamil Nadu state, home to a quarter of the country's textile production, last month capped power usage at 50% of normal levels to deal with a severe energy shortage. Textile businesses such as spinning mills need to operate around the clock to remain profitable, factory owners say.

"The textile industry is really being hit on all sides," says K.A. Srinivasan, chairman of the South India Mills Association. He warns that "the full effect is still to be seen."

That is evident in the small city of Tirupur, 37 miles from Coimbatore. Tirupur used to be a thriving center for the Indian garment trade, with almost 3,500 apparel makers. Locals call the city "little Japan" for its dependence on exports. Half of the garments made there are shipped to the U.S.

Now, trucks delivering raw cotton to Tirupur factories are half-empty, reflecting slumping orders. Workers who have had their shifts eliminated or shortened sit idly on the stoops of their garment plants.

Tirupur's exports, which were growing at 15% a year and peaked at $2.2 billion in the year ended March 31, are set to decline 20% this year, says A. Sakthivel, president of the Tirupur Exporters' Association. "From the tea shop to the big store or theaters, Tirupur lives on exports," Mr. Sakthivel says, adding that the slowdown "will affect us from top to bottom."

Raja Shanmugam, who owns a garment factory that makes T-shirts for German clothing brand Tom Tailor, says he has seen a 20% drop in orders since September. Last year, his 800-person company, Warsaw International Ltd., had sales of $8 million. This year, he doesn't expect to bring in more than $5.5 million.

"Even now, I cannot plan for tomorrow," Mr. Shanmugam says. He cites unpredictable foreign demand and volatile exchange rates -- which undermine his efforts to hedge currencies -- as key concerns.

The industry has been lobbying the government for help. Last month, a delegation from the Tirupur Exporters' Association traveled to New Delhi to ask the central government to reinstate a tax break for exports, reduce lending rates from state-owned banks, and extend a two-year moratorium on loan payments for garment exporters. The government has indicated it will try to help, but hasn't disclosed any specific measures.

India's Textile Industry Unravels - WSJ.com
 
Textile industry and other export based industries are affected because of the current economic crisis as the demand for these products has dropped.
 
Recently India is losing basmati market to Pakistan because of price advantage
 
Recently India is losing basmati market to Pakistan because of price advantage

Just look at the dollar to rupee conversion rate of India and Pakistan, that will tell you the reason why this happens.

Indian - 1 dollar - 46 rupees
Pakistan - 1 dollar - 80 rupees

If pakistan exports at 46 Pakistan rupees/kg and India exports 46 Indian rupees/kg, which will be the cheap one. Do the math.
 
Indian cotton finds favour with Bangladesh milllers
Bangladesh has emerged as a favourite buyer of cotton this year, particularly the Sankar-6 variety, even as demand from the largest importer China took a knock amid sharp rise in prices in the India.

“A major chunk of raw cotton contracts of the popular Sankar-6 variety of cotton registered with us are being shipped to Bangladesh this year,” an official with the Textile Commissioner office in Mumbai said.

Corroborating the official’s statement, Saurasthra Ginners Association General Secretary Anand Popat said, “Raw cotton exports to Bangladesh have risen this year, as the demand for the popular Sankar-6 variety from the developing textile industry there has been good so far.”

However, both refrained from commenting on the rising exports in volume terms.

Bangladesh usually imports around 1-1.5 lakh bales (One bale is equal to 170 kg) of cotton from Gujarat a year, he said, adding that the import is likely to rise this year in a major way.

Of the projected production of 1.10 crore bales cotton in Gujarat this year, the Sankar-6 variety is likely to account for about 1 crore bales and the V797 coarse variety for only 0.10 crore bales, Gujarat State Co-operative Cotton Federation Chairman NM Sharma said.

Though the export basket with Bangladesh is swelling, ginners have not received any fresh orders from China after a steep fall in international prices of raw cotton this season, Popat said.

The industry had pointed out that overseas buyers are shying away from Indian cotton due to sharp hike in the minimum support prices of the commodity in the country as prices in global markets are plunging.

The Centre has sharply increased the MSP of standard cotton (long staple) to Rs 3,000 a quintal for 2008-09 from Rs 2,030 in the previous year. The MSP of medium staple cotton has been raised to Rs 2,500 from Rs 1,800 a quintal.

According to official data, over 1.18 lakh bales have been shipped from India by November-end, out of 5.30 lakh cotton bales that have been registered for exports in Mumbai between August and November.
Source
 
This is called Economics,
Currency value decrease helps to boost exports.
So Pakistani's are selling rice 0.576 $/kg
Where Indian are selling 1 $/kg

But other disadvantage for Pakistan is expensive imports as compare to India

Where as discount rate or interest rate increase/decrease also helped to accelerate/decelerate the economy.
But here again accelerate/decelerate have advantage and disadvantages in terms of inflation.
Our current interest rate is 13.27 %,it is helping to control inflation.
Actually its attracts the people to bring there money into banks for good profits.I think these days banks are offering 18%.But this is bad for the industry,so they can not get loans from banks on this high interest rate.Whereas people also do not want to invest in public sectors like for industries,real state business or stocks.

In Musharraf's time it was about 7 to 8%,so people brought out their money from the banks due to low profits and overseas Pakistani also sent money for investment in public sectors.Banks were offering lot of loans, even for consumer financing.So lot of money turns into high inflation.Means a thing with the real price of 10 was selling in 12.Property prices rise is clear example in that time.
Here points comes that how governments run smooth economy ,they just put there accelerator on interest rate and currency value with moderation.We have lacked this capability that why we are into crisis.But there are others reason also like terrorism,political instability and oil prices.


By the way what is current interest rate in India?
 
Bangladesh is witnessing a textile boom. In the first quarter there were a 45% increase in textile export. With the economic recession looms.. bangladesh still remained immuned to that and buyers are shifting orders from China and india.

Good for BD :cheers:.
 
Bangladesh is witnessing a textile boom. In the first quarter there were a 45% increase in textile export. With the economic recession looms.. bangladesh still remained immuned to that and buyers are shifting orders from China and india.

Couldn't be more happier. Thanks for the news brother....
 
Bangladesh is witnessing a textile boom. In the first quarter there were a 45% increase in textile export....... and buyers are shifting orders from China and india.
:enjoy::tup:
Follow Bangladeshi example in charting new markets
Earnings Management: An Analysis on Textile Sector of Bangladesh
The Textile and Garment Industry in Bangladesh Increased by 18.2% to Reach US$9.6bn
Bangladesh Export Promotion Bureau Streamlines Textile Trading
[pdf file]
India is really blessed by the fact that Bangladesh's textile industry is enjoying such a good performance in the world market. Your textile industry is immensely benifitting and generating revenue for our cotton farmers in Gujrat
With the economic recession looms.. bangladesh still remained immuned to that

Bangladesh’s Current Export Debacle in the Context of the Ongoing Global Recession (Word document)
Recession results in less aid flow to Bangladesh
How Will the Global Economic Slowdown Effect Bangladesh?
Global recession to to affect inflow of Bangladesh's remmitences

It is immature and incorrect to claim that Bangladesh is immune from the ill-effects of economic recession.
No country in the world can escape its problems - costs have to be cut, incentives have to be provided and the govts have to pump in liquididty in to its affected market to keep up Industrial production
The effects of the recession would be visible in two ways

1.) A country that had achieved a good Economic and Industrial phase during the economic boom will see the effects of the recession more clearly.
Whereas if a country was economically and industrially less-developed even during the boom, then the decline in their economy would not be as clearly visible or would be significantly lesser

2.) Similarly a country enjoying a relatively good Industrial output and economic vibrancy during the boom would be able to weather the recession by pumping in its own money into its domestic market to provide its Industries with the stimulus needed own its own terms and condition

While an economically weak nation not having enough of its own capital would have to seek loan to provide this stimulus. any stimulus this nation intnds to provide will have to be done in accordance with the terms and condition of the lender
 
Both Banga and Pakistan has an edge over India in textiles. I could see big booing market for texttiles in pak.

Bangladesh is already seeing and enjoying the boom in its Textile sector...ingenious startegy adopted by Bangladesh to boost their textile industry:tup::tup:
 
Recession results in less aid flow to Bangladesh

Aid is not a big thing in Bangladesh economy even though it seemed from outside. Bangladesh can always secure loan in short notice even offered bigger packages after recession. Bangladesh has a high credit rating, never defaulted or even late on any of its debt payment in the history of its existence. It has relatively low debt/gdp ratio among the developing countries in the world. Bangladesh has a reputation of being an example of IMF and WB as they advocates, if Bangladesh could pay off its debt why cant other countries????

How Will the Global Economic Slowdown Effect Bangladesh?
It will if the recession is deep. Bangladesh may not achieve its growth target of 8% or above within couple of years. But the current growth rate will remain as it is. BD produces goods which are elastic in nature. Like essential items, clothing, pharmaceuticals, footwear etc.. Our ship building may not see as strong growth as it was anticipated.

Another resilient factor about BD economy, is driven by domestic capital and enterprenour. BD has very insignificant FDI outside its Free Trade Zone. You may argue its implication but I alwasy say if you could do it without thats the best.

Global recession to to affect inflow of Bangladesh's remmitences
May be.. we have to see in the coming years.. Still we supply mainly low tech labours in ME which is also elastic in nature. According to BB, they are yet to see any after affects.


At last.. I should say, as Bangladesh already withstood the first wave of recession afteraffects, and already got some time to prepare itself.. It should be OK.
 
Bangladesh has a reputation of being an example of IMF and WB as they advocates, if Bangladesh could pay off its debt why cant other countries????
Bangladesh indeed performs well when it comes to paying off its loans taken from International bodies.
Your Government policies have ensured effective repayment. Banks in India too have adopted Microfinancing as part of their operation. It was a briiliant idea:tup:
It will if the recession is deep. Bangladesh may not achieve its growth target of 8% or above within couple of years. But the current growth rate will remain as it is.
Recession is a bad time for the economic growth of any country. Bangladesh too would suffer a decline in growth rate. But your economy is now even more more stronger than Pakistan's whos growth rate is in an even more precarious situation.
Looks like the little brothers have now become the big brothers :D
May be.. we have to see in the coming years.. Still we supply mainly low tech labours in ME which is also elastic in nature. According to BB, they are yet to see any after affects.
I hope everything is alright and fine in that matter. This News is quite omnious
At last.. I should say, as Bangladesh already withstood the first wave of recession afteraffects, and already got some time to prepare itself.. It should be OK.
:tup:
This fighting spirit will see you through this tough time. Keep it up :tup:
 

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