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Inaction on Circular Debt Worsening Pakistan's Electricity Crisis

RiazHaq

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It is becoming increasingly clear that it is the total absence of management, not just insufficient installed generating capacity, that is the crux of the worsening energy problems in Pakistan.

Riots have broken out as the Punjab, Pakistan's largest province, finds itself in the midst of the worst ever electricity crisis in the nation's history as the power shortfall has reached almost 9000 megawatts across the country, over half of the total demand of about 17000 MW.

Many public and private power producers have shut down their power plants due to the suspension of fuel supply by Pakistan State Oil, the state-owned oil company, according to a report in the Express Tribune. The oil company is demanding payment of Rs. 155 billion in outstanding dues from the power producers before resuming fuel supply.



The key players in this "circular debt" trap are the federal and provincial governments as the biggest deadbeats, the power distributors like LESCO and KESC, the power producers like Pepco and Hubco, and the fuel suppliers like government-owned Pakistan State Oil (PSO) and partially state-owned Pak-Arab Refinery Ltd (PARCO). This debt circle begins with the government as the biggest debtor and ends with a government-owned entity as the biggest creditor. So the obvious question is: If the government is both the biggest debtor and the biggest creditor, then why is it that the government leaders can not solve the problem? Is it the lack of will? or the lack of competence?

Increased load shedding in Pakistan has cost 400,000 jobs in recent years, according to the World Bank. Although the World Bank report does not address it directly, the anecdotal evidence suggests that almost all of Pakistan's 13 million jobs in the decade of 2000-2010 were created from 2000-2007 when the economy showed robust gdp growth.

Clearly, the circular debt problem has assumed alarming proportions, threatening Pakistan's future. The IMF and the US officials in their recent meetings with Pakistan government have described the circular debt as a significant threat to the country’s economy.

Unless the government urgently takes serious steps to manage and resolve this worsening electricity crisis by putting a fully empowered competent team in charge, it will only get worse and make life impossible for both businesses and consumers, and cause a total collapse of an already struggling national country.

Haq's Musings: Mismanagement Worsening Pak's Power Crisis
 
ISLAMABAD:

Faced with an energy crisis requiring long-term structural change, Prime Minister Yousaf Raza Gilani has opted for the quick-fix solution of closing businesses and shops. The PM has asked the ministry of water and power to persuade the provinces that two-day weekly holidays and shop closures at 8pm will overcome the load-shedding crisis which has led to countrywide protest.

On the PM’s orders, the finance ministry also released Rs9 billion to Pakistan Electric Power Company (Pepco) on Monday, which in turn will be paid to Pakistan State Oil (PSO), whose receivables have crossed an alarming Rs155 billion. PSO reportedly received Rs3.8 billion from Hubco and Kapco on Thursday and Friday.

(Read: Outstanding dues – PSO halts supply to power companies)

For now, the money paid to PSO will result in the resumption of fuel to thermal power plants, which, in turn, will help address the crippling electricity shortage in the country.

During a high-level meeting on the energy crisis chaired by the PM, the complete privatisation of power generation companies (Gencos) was discussed as a measure to tackle the circular debt that has plagued the country’s energy chain.

(Read: Private sector regime – Businessmen welcome transfer of Gencos)

The government is already working on a plan to hire private sector companies for the operation and maintenance of Gencos. The privatisation of Gencos would theoretically enable the government to provide electricity on a cash rather than credit basis, thus reducing the severe circular debt which currently amounts to Rs450 billion. Sources said that, under this plan, Gencos would directly provide power to their consumers.

The special emergency meeting was attended by Minster for Finance Dr Abdul Hafeez Sheikh, Minister for Water and Power Syed Naveed Qamar, Minster for Petroleum Dr Asim Hussain among others.

On the other hand, power tariffs are set to increase by over Rs3 per unit due to fuel adjustments for August, after a decision taken by the National Electric Power Regulatory Authority (Nepra), who are scheduled to hold a public hearing on Tuesday (today).

Pepco is owed over Rs300 billion from clients and Rs 155 billion from government departments, including Rs74 billion from the provinces. The meeting emphasised that money should be deducted directly from provinces’ accounts where there is a reluctance to pay bills.

Sources told The Express Tribune that it was also agreed that an energy conference would soon be held to develop a consensus on the two-day weekly holiday proposal. The Prime Minister also directed the committee members to submit their recommendations in a special cabinet meeting, to be convened shortly, aimed at resolving the load-shedding crisis.

Published in The Express Tribune, October 4th, 2011.
 
ISLAMABAD:

Faced with an energy crisis requiring long-term structural change, Prime Minister Yousaf Raza Gilani has opted for the quick-fix solution of closing businesses and shops. The PM has asked the ministry of water and power to persuade the provinces that two-day weekly holidays and shop closures at 8pm will overcome the load-shedding crisis which has led to countrywide protest.

On the PM’s orders, the finance ministry also released Rs9 billion to Pakistan Electric Power Company (Pepco) on Monday, which in turn will be paid to Pakistan State Oil (PSO), whose receivables have crossed an alarming Rs155 billion. PSO reportedly received Rs3.8 billion from Hubco and Kapco on Thursday and Friday.

(Read: Outstanding dues – PSO halts supply to power companies)

For now, the money paid to PSO will result in the resumption of fuel to thermal power plants, which, in turn, will help address the crippling electricity shortage in the country.

During a high-level meeting on the energy crisis chaired by the PM, the complete privatisation of power generation companies (Gencos) was discussed as a measure to tackle the circular debt that has plagued the country’s energy chain.

(Read: Private sector regime – Businessmen welcome transfer of Gencos)

The government is already working on a plan to hire private sector companies for the operation and maintenance of Gencos. The privatisation of Gencos would theoretically enable the government to provide electricity on a cash rather than credit basis, thus reducing the severe circular debt which currently amounts to Rs450 billion. Sources said that, under this plan, Gencos would directly provide power to their consumers.

The special emergency meeting was attended by Minster for Finance Dr Abdul Hafeez Sheikh, Minister for Water and Power Syed Naveed Qamar, Minster for Petroleum Dr Asim Hussain among others.

On the other hand, power tariffs are set to increase by over Rs3 per unit due to fuel adjustments for August, after a decision taken by the National Electric Power Regulatory Authority (Nepra), who are scheduled to hold a public hearing on Tuesday (today).

Pepco is owed over Rs300 billion from clients and Rs 155 billion from government departments, including Rs74 billion from the provinces. The meeting emphasised that money should be deducted directly from provinces’ accounts where there is a reluctance to pay bills.

Sources told The Express Tribune that it was also agreed that an energy conference would soon be held to develop a consensus on the two-day weekly holiday proposal. The Prime Minister also directed the committee members to submit their recommendations in a special cabinet meeting, to be convened shortly, aimed at resolving the load-shedding crisis.

Published in The Express Tribune, October 4th, 2011.

will that not lead to economic distress ? office working crowd starts shopping at 8 o clock ? increasing tarrifs and decreasing supply...whatever is happening to the promised pipeline ?
 

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