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Growth fall jolts Indian economy

Imran Khan

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Growth fall jolts Indian economy



Vehicle sales have seen some of the biggest falls
India's industrial growth has shrunk for the first time in more than a decade as the country witnesses the fallout of the global credit crunch.

Factory output contracted by 0.4% in October compared with a rise of 12.2% in the same month last year and a 5.45% increase in September.

Some experts say the immediate future for the industrial sector is bleak.

India plans a second economic stimulus, after announcing $4bn in extra spending and interest rate cuts recently.

Experts said the fall in factory output in October was worrisome.

Car sales, for example, posted their biggest yearly fall in eight years, dropping by nearly 20%. Sales of commercial vehicles were down by nearly 50%.

Many car companies have cut production and slashed prices in view of the declining demand.

'Wake up call'

"It is a shocking figure and only underlines the fact that the Indian economy is in a very bad situation," TK Bhaumik, economist at JK Industries Group, told Reuters news agency.

"This is a wake up call for the government."

He said the government should consider an additional economic stimulus and that banks should ease interest rates to lift consumer demand.

Economist Robert Prior-Wandesforde told the AFP news agency that the outlook for the Indian economy was bleak.

"The industrial sector and indeed the economy as a whole has been softening for some time and the situation is deteriorating more rapidly now," he said.

Mr Prior-Wandesforde said the negative growth reflected a "a combination of factors including the developed world recession, the lagged effects of previous rate rises in India and the emergence of a credit crunch in the country".

Separately, the federal commerce minister said that the government was planning to announce a second round of economic stimulus policies next week to boost growth.

"We have to ensure our domestic demand continues and the government will be taking all steps to push the country back on to a 9-10% growth track," Kamal Nath told reporters.

"We're again looking at something [a package] for next week," he said.

He said the "package" would aim to create jobs in some sectors and provide easier access to credit.

Companies welcomed the first economic stimulus last weekend but said it did not compare to China's $586bn stimulus package announced in November.
 
Slump hits India's car industry
Demand for trucks has slumped in India
Carmakers Nissan and Renault have scaled down plans for joint projects in India after a sharp fall in car sales in the region.

Nissan, which is reviewing its current expansion strategy, said it would cut investments to improve cash flow.

The two partners plan to open several local factories in partnership with Indian manufacturers.

But Nissan has warned that it will reduce or delay production in some plants to meet falling demand.

Japan's third-largest carmaker said it still wanted to start car production together with Renault in the first half of 2010, as scheduled, at a plant in the southern city of Chennai.

But the factory, which is expected to reach full capacity of 400,000 cars per year by 2015, will start with just one daily shift, instead of two.

Sales fall

Other projects in India, including a joint venture between Nissan, Renault and India's Bajaj Auto to sell a $2,500 (£1,700) car from 2011, would go ahead as planned, Nissan said.

The company added that it would delay truck production by six months at its joint venture with India's Ashok Leyland.

Falling truck sales made the delay sensible, said the company's spokesman.

Demand for trucks in India has dropped by more than 60% over the past year because of the credit crunch and a sharp drop in construction activity.

Most of the local auto companies have temporarily closed plants in order to avoid building up unsold stock.
 
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