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Dar eyes economy expanding at 7pc by FY18

farhan_9909

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ISLAMABAD: An economic growth of seven per cent and a 250pc increase in foreign direct investment (FDI) could be achieved by 2017-18 through democratic governance, supremacy of the Constitution and avoidance of misuse of power, Finance Minister Ishaq Dar said on Friday.

Speaking to the participants of the 16th National Security Workshop at the National Defence University, he said fiscal consolidation, power sector reforms, gas sector reforms, privatisation programme, debt management strategy and monetary management were top priorities of the government.

He said the government was working on a macroeconomic stability plan aimed at taking the GDP growth rate to 7pc, industrial growth to 8pc, fixed investment-to-GDP ratio to 22pc and fiscal deficit to 4pc of GDP by 2017-18.

The minister seeks World Bank’s support on energy sector development and construction of Diamer-Bhasha dam
The government would also bring down public debt to below 57pc of GDP from over 60pc now, and keep inflation under 8pc besides increasing tax-to-GDP ratio to 15pc by FY18, he said.

On top of that, he said, exports would be increased to $32 billion, FDI to $5.5bn from $1.6bn, and foreign exchange reserves to $20bn by that year.

He said these targets could only be achieved through democratic governance which required supremacy of the Constitution and rule of law in order to reduce corruption, avoiding tax evasion, wasteful expenditure and misuse of power.

The country’s economic future could be brightened by exploiting the technological potential in industry, agriculture and information technology and by utilising physical and economic resources to the full, he added.

The minister also talked about the National Power Policy 2013-18, saying the government’s focus would remain on improved governance structure, supportive legal framework, financial sustainability, supply-demand side management and promoting private sector participation. He hoped implementation of this policy would help improve the governance and financial viability of the power sector.

The participants included parliamentarians, senior civil and military officials, business leaders and members of the civil society.

Meanwhile, Dar also met a World Bank delegation, led by its director Satu Kristina Kahkonen, and sought the bank’s support on energy sector development and construction of Diamer-Bhasha dam.

He thanked the World Bank for approving country partnership strategy (CPS 2015-19) for transforming the energy sector, supporting private sector development, reaching out to the vulnerable and leveraging regional markets.

The minister also appreciated the bank for approving financing of CASA-1000 and Dasu Hydropower Project to help reduce electricity shortage and play a vital role in economic growth of the country.

He assured the delegation of government’s commitment for continuous reforms in energy, taxation and revenue mobilisation, private and financial sector development, financial inclusion, secured transactions framework, and expansion of social protection.

Ms Kahkonen told the minister that after achieving the $15bn forex reserves’ mark, Pakistan will become International Bank for Reconstruction and Development’s (IBRD) partner — a soft window for development projects.

Published in Dawn, December 6th, 2014

Dar eyes economy expanding at 7pc by FY18 - Newspaper - DAWN.COM
 
I hope inflation isn't 7% either, otherwise there will be no growth.
 
The growth rates mentioned are feasible, and could in fact be achieved quicker (and be higher than projections) if the energy shortage is overcome in a reasonable time frame and tax collection (in terms of the percentage of people actually paying taxes) increased by a percentage point or two.

The one concern on the latter (increased tax revenue) is that a centralized Federal and Provincial decision making process may not have the ability to actually spend the additional revenue in a manner that supports increased economic growth. I don't really see any "vision" on the part of the PMLN outside of mega infrastructure projects (which are necessary as well, but will only support growth to a degree). Laying the foundation for long term growth that will leverage improved energy and infrastructure availability will require investment and reforms in Pakistan's schools and higher education sectors and concerted attempts to create partnerships between industry and higher education institutions.
 
The growth rates mentioned are feasible, and could in fact be achieved quicker (and be higher than projections) if the energy shortage is overcome in a reasonable time frame and tax collection (in terms of the percentage of people actually paying taxes) increased by a percentage point or two.

The one concern on the latter (increased tax revenue) is that a centralized Federal and Provincial decision making process may not have the ability to actually spend the additional revenue in a manner that supports increased economic growth. I don't really see any "vision" on the part of the PMLN outside of mega infrastructure projects (which are necessary as well, but will only support growth to a degree). Laying the foundation for long term growth that will leverage improved energy and infrastructure availability will require investment and reforms in Pakistan's schools and higher education sectors and concerted attempts to create partnerships between industry and higher education institutions.

How/Why is there no one who supports libertarianism ?

Why does everyone want the government to tax the f**k out of people? Does that make any sense? Why would you want the government to force you into paying them more money?

Why are most people of the view that the wealthier people should pay a higher tax rate?

And why do you guys applaud a government that can raise more taxes out of you guys?

It doesn't make any sense that you would want a bunch of 300 monkeys together decide how your hard earned money should be spent instead of you deciding that for yourself and not by voting for which group of monkeys does that for you, but by never giving them all that money in the first place. Instead prefer a system where taxes are minimal.
 
The growth rates mentioned are feasible, and could in fact be achieved quicker (and be higher than projections) if the energy shortage is overcome in a reasonable time frame and tax collection (in terms of the percentage of people actually paying taxes) increased by a percentage point or two.

The one concern on the latter (increased tax revenue) is that a centralized Federal and Provincial decision making process may not have the ability to actually spend the additional revenue in a manner that supports increased economic growth. I don't really see any "vision" on the part of the PMLN outside of mega infrastructure projects (which are necessary as well, but will only support growth to a degree). Laying the foundation for long term growth that will leverage improved energy and infrastructure availability will require investment and reforms in Pakistan's schools and higher education sectors and concerted attempts to create partnerships between industry and higher education institutions.

Well if we indeed achieve close to 5% growth this year than 6% won't be impossible next year and we might be able to reach 7% earlier than expected
 
Well we have to see the growth rate of 2015-16 to determine the 7% growth rate in 2018
 
7% is easily feasible, and this is the primary reason for internal turmoil in Pakistan.
 
I think 7% growth is quite possible with political stability and a better security environment.
 
This is possible if energy projects are completed by 2017 as planned. But its just me or export target has been cut down to $32 billion?
 
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