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They been road basing for months

Ukrainians moved in into the first major settlement in the no man's land in between Mikolayv, and Khesan - Kyselivka. Previously they made only brief incursions for the fear of Russian artillery. It seems Russians have finally ran out of it there.

3 biggest losses: Tiger's teeth - the glorious Russian tank force. Best hardware gone. More than half of all post 1991 modernised tanks PGM stock - 60%-70% exhausted. Looks like only the strategic reserve for cruise missiles is left Elite infantry - 60%-70% loss of entire para combat troops...

It's not only Severo, but Izyum forest, and Popasna sector. As I understand now, Kherson is a kind of diversion more than a genuine counterattack by the amount of forces there. They keep destroying Russian armour with whatever long-range they still have, and just wait for them to send more...

Are you a communist?

I know, but even without that, Ukraine puts to fight: People with recent conscription service Very motivated volunteer battalions People with past battle experience People in their prime physical shape Whom Russia sends forward today to die: Middle aged men Men with no military training at...

Russian general strategy seems to be to basically stall the fight now, and control their casualty rate. They plan on waiting until the West gives up. Russian R&R only bring very low quality troops, but they don't really care. As I said before, Russian will have no problem to keep sending 2 new...

Not a recession, but a lull. China can keep rising prices on exports as manufacturing in the rest of the world is still comatose, this keeps manufacturers of higher value goods running. This will shields us from inflation for as long as Western currencies hold. They will hold for some time, but...

Both sides are strongly preserving armour now. Russian airforce on the other hand became much more active in Donbas. I believe firing of of some 2-3 star generals on the Russian side made them to fly into the SAM range. They already lost quite a number of completely irreplaceable assets, and...

Russian lost major ammo dumps this week, they predictably pushed infantry forward, anticipating them soon running out of fire support. Izyum direction sees as much fighting now as Severo.

Big news, Canadian Excaliburs finally reached the frontline, and their first use - Telegrams.

Interesting observation: https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2022/06/17/world/europe/russia-private-jets.html?smtyp=cur&smid=tw-nytimes Not a single Russian oligarch ran away to China, all went to the Gulf, EU, Switzerland, Carribean, or even Central Asian countries. Not a single one went to...

Tank p0rn

These are communists

When the secretaries of Defense and State said publicly the U.S. wants Ukraine to win and weaken Russia, Biden said tone it down Reading this, I think Biden really going porridge brain, and BSE

What do people think of Imamoglu vs Yavas? Will one concede? With Erdogun declaring intention for 2023 in the open, I think all speculation about alternative/additional AK candidates are now gone?

Cutting/sabotaging supply lines is truly essential. Russians spend 150t+ of ammo per day, the only way they can sustain that is by delivery by rail. An army which used to having 150t of ammo for everything will surely stumble in short term.

$100,000,000,000 is a joke price for a continental war really. US spent more in just 1 year fighting donkey cavalry in Aghanistan.

From Ukraine, we hear that Javelin can very rarely do a near miss, or fail to lock a cold enough vehicle at the margin of its openvelope. Overwise, the hit rate is certainly above 90% as advertised. Probably a no more than 10% survivability bonus

Xi will not do so until Kremlin comes begginng on its knees. Zhongnanhai people are too afraid of Russians, though I know they don't hold much respect for Pujin aside from Xi himself. For them, he is an usurper on the CPSU throne, rather than a CPSU restorer