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It's very obvious by now, US is trickle feeding supplies to Ukrainians intentionally Otherwise, they could've given them everything they've given so far without dropping a drop of sweat easily. Instead, USA has waited for Russia to send few waves of reinforcement, preventing a quickly...

If you look at the full video, you will see that two T-72s they brough in had an optical rangefinder at the commander position. Those are not even T-72As, but original T-72s from early seventies. Less than 400 of them were ever made, and most were upgraded to T-72As except complete write-off hulls.

If I were Iran, I wouldn't be so celebratory with the prospect of another war on my northern border. On the other hand, if Russia is kicked out of Caucasus, it will only leave weak statelets there, shielding you from both Turkey, and Russia.

I am checking out Doha for a holiday vacation. It's so fiendishly expensive! Way more than it was in 2016. What has happened? A cake in a coffee shop: 40 QAR minimum, and an average meal hits 100. On the other hand, Karim/Taxi is still very cheap. Prices seem to have literally doubled over the...

There are three biggest concentration points: Svatove–Kreminna line — enormous force concentration, but no active push going from either side. Wuhledar — in the news Bakhmut — unending battle

Indeed, I see that Putin being able to assure his own Army's defeat means that there is really nobody in Kremlin who can save their regime from Putin's suicidal moves. I discussed it there: https://defence.pk/pdf/threads/what-will-end-the-war-in-ukraine.760427/#post-14211481 Russians can only...

Ukraine military says Russian redline is a loss of 3 million, which I believe is easily achievable even without new weapons entering the game within 4-6 years. We see however Russians also pursuing piecemeal approach to replenishment, wanting to save their money above all. At the start, I gave...

To me, it looked like that Ukrainians acted exactly like the scenario of sovjet DVINA 70 wargame. Repulsing a multiprong Zerg Rush of a moderately mechanized enemy with limited, non-expendable forces. The key was countering enemy deep strike by intentionally letting the enemy to overpenetrate...

That's cute8-)

They lost at least 4 battalions in Wuhledar since they started an offensive there 2 weeks ago, with half of that in just 3 last days. Ukrainian officials tell Russians are now resorting to forming non-motorised infantry battalions as per soviet doctrine for "worst case scenario." 4 to 6 of...

Very likelly UAE will be the first big Lynx buyer. UAE wants to get rid of BMP-3 due to everlasting Russian supply problems.

Reports I have are also of units having to severely ration ammo now because UA logistics wasn't ready for such wide flare up, and the modest Ukrainian advatntage in fires they had for 2 months is no longer there.

For all intents, and purposes, Russian spring offensive is now ongoing. Conventional attacks have resumed across the frontline, and Wuhledar is repeating at multiple points at the front. Russian reserves can't fight seemingly at all, and are worse than even Wagner

Russia will not run out of Russians for a very long time. Similarly, they can produce arms like sewage pipe mortars for a very long time with their material capacity. They will break far sooner than they will become materially unable to field extra forces.

Yes, Russians can sell more that just their oil. It's good you brought this up as most don't notice that. On other hand, who will be buying that. It's notable Putin started the sell with his Yuan holdings, out of all things. Is he thinking he does not have much time left to use them?

My original estimate was that Russia has 16 to 17 months left in it's war chest, if it wants to sustain war on its original intensity level. I later revised it up to unexpectedly delayed sanctions on oil, and gas, with 30 month being topmost estimate before the economy croaks for good. Later...

On the other hand R-37M is such a huge overkill for anything Ukraine flies. This is to say that Russian was not preparing for a war with just Ukraine. That's 100% obvious by now. They planned on for a march to the West.

What a terrible news Almost certainly

This is interesting. How they got there? Don't say Israelis reused Iranian UAV tactic against them, and flew 2 stroke powered drones through Saudi desert at near zero altitude?

You cut off one pole, so the next contender in line gets better odds competing with the former no.2.