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It will be very important for Ukraine to not only restore it's SAM arsenal to pre-war levels, but surpass it, along with upgrades. Russians, seeing complete impotence of their airforce, will be certainly thinking how to counter UA air defences next time. They will likely refit every aircraft...

If UAF intel is not lying, RU has a 3m loss hard line. Which is like half of their draft age men, but only 15% of their working age men. Russia is very much a middle aged country.

That's a surprise. Is it the "tribute" US set to repair their relationships?

Wagners weren't that much of a feared force until they resorted to prison recruitment. Russian regulars weren't that underequipped, or unmotivated in the first months of the war. Fights north of Kiyv were very real. And they took Marioupol mostly with light infantry, though, with some air...

T-Works, I heard of them few times. In the end it was not Andhra, TN, or Gujarat. I guess they are already regretting setting up in Tamil Nadu. When I was leaving, while they were rushing to finish new buildings where they will be doing final assembly for Iphones, but it was already clear...

Swiss is an offshore heaven like no other.

Bakhmut, not Bakhmut, but I think it's an easy guess what's on Russian GHQ's mind. They failed their originally planned offensive with numerous troop losses, and equipment losses significant enough to say they have no more chances to mount it again. Yet, they take whatever they have left, and...

I have different accounts, Russians do have some armour driving in with both Wagner, and airborne. To little immediate effect, but a big distraction — and used as such. They drive them around, shoot around, while the meat keeps crawling forward. Second, Russia has gotten significant amounts of...

A good question is, where is Russian 2nd army, and a 5th one? At the current rate it's very clear they can only replenish 100-120 vehicles a month. An enormous number for most militaries in the world, but it's less than their losses. And under replenishment, it means sending refurbished 50...

The problem with Bakhmut is that while UAF are attriting Russians there well, Russians only throw their infinite Wagner cannon fodder there, while Russian regulars stay far behind, and take pot shots. Wuhledar is where RU regulars get attrited fairly, because they lost tons of armour, officers...

And it seems they are preparing for round 3 now. Russians were not doing any relocations lateral to the front for months, but now they began moving extra forces from Svatove, and forces training in Belarus there.

Here is the European mental fallacy: In reality, they have spent most of their ammo, the end is nowhere in sight, but are they ready to use nukes now? And even if they will spend their nukes now on anything other than successfully incinerating whole Russian command chain, they can't deal with...

Indians always had a great power complex. Even back in time when they were existentially dependent on USSR's handouts, they were almost screaming how much independent, and self-interest driven they were. But we only seen them acting on their words few times in the 20th century.

Even multi-megaton warheads of the cold war period will likely not be much different, as units are spread apart by many miles. And there are much fewer multi-megaton warheads, and ballistic missiles to deliver them than kiloton nukes. That's why the point is that WW3, should it go nuclear, will...

A very insightful observation What needs to be mentioned is that Russia too has some little amount of precision weaponry countering which is still strategy-critical. Ukraine has documented loss of 160 artillery pieces to PGMs, and mostly to cheaper, lousy PGMs. Not to say that other losses to...

Mortars, mortars, mortars, mortars, mortars 23 pieces, more importantly, flatbed transporters which we haven't seen much through the war before

It will not matter much anymore as mobilisation resource is largely wasted. Besides the cannon fodder, they at least need lieutenants for them, and they already spent high double digit of junior officer corps fighting as cannon fodder themselves. And much of armoured transport is spent already...

Money press goes brrrrr Russians have the financial runway for 2-3 years. I have to say, I revised my estimate for the third time. They massively cut spending, let their usually strong FX control go down, double digit rates, and overall they agreed to massive degradation of day to day life of...

So it will be like a White Iraq, or worse, White Lebanon. This is just logical, and EU will get a de-facto member with freedom of movement with a warzone. It will be nice to see how much of Europe's nationalist movements would worth then if they will not join the fray. In Poland, I've seen...

It's far from the biggest. The first days of wars seen entire tank battalions vanish under well placed 300mm strikes, and Su-24 bombings. Then, there been giant tank battles around Chernihiv. And then, there been Russians losing a whole tank army to... territorials. Lol, Kazakhstan is 6...