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I would still say it was an actual calculation. It's clearly impossible to capture a country the size of Ukraine with 240k troops, even if it had much smaller military. That's borderline suicidal. They bet everything on a minute chance of walkover in case the coup they staged against the UA...

There is no doubt that 20+br force will be able to breach the Russian line with average density of 1 battalion per kilometre somewhere, if they will concentrate that force there. Minefields, fortifications can't do much about it. Trenches don't work if there is nobody to man them. The natural...

Abu Dhabi is certainly thinking hard about how it missed an opportunity to build Global Foundries fab in Abu Dhabi 10 years ago. 22/24nm would've still been few generations ahead for CMOS than what is used for US defence electronics, and perfectly suitable for commodity chips. Too profit minded...

If already depleted units qualify as reserves, then yes. To me, they decided to expend their previously beaten units, while everything else they had was dedicated to entrenching elsewhere.

Inflation... there been times when USA paid $2B per a whole aircraft carrier

Both UA, and RU commanders understood by the winter that Bakhmut is used by the other side as a tackle. What we know Russians did in last few months: put it a highly depleted 200th brigade, and nearly completely spent paratroopers from the south, who came there with no R&R whatsoever. From what...

Russia has around 8 to 10 regiments worth of troops around Bakhmut, certainly not a major part of the force. Out of these, 4 on the northern flank are para units, which showed themselves to be a moderately capable force fighting in the south. The rest are Wagner, and other irregulars in the...

Most nationalist activists fighting on Ukrainian side are indeed ethnic Russians. Not Russian speaking Ukrainians, but specifically Russians who lived in Ukraine for a few generations.

Talking of troll factories. What beef do Indians have in this fight besides Russia being their weapon vendor? I have thought all the Marxist solidarity was gone few times over by the time Modi came to power? Do these HT trolls do it because they really believe in it? Or just trolling for hire...

I think this is a first confirmed case of them using Bulgarian Tochkas. They were surely out of Tockas by late autumn.

I witnessed it myself when I worked on a rail project in Kazakhstan. $1.6B slowly vaporising over 2 years with close to no real world impact. Utter failure. And these 1.6B went onto rail only. There were dozen more projects around the country.

"Thousands of tanks in storage" are just hulls. Extra tanks which could've been made to move with just maintenance, were all already shipped to the front lines by both UA, and RU. Russians have way more T-72s in storage, but nevertheless they switched to sending even older tanks because those...

35x228 has double the kinetic energy of 30x173, and muzzle velocities of around 1400m/s to 1600m/s for APDS It can shoot at fast flyers at 4.5km per Rheinmetall, there is no question it can lob HE quite a bit further than that at ground targets

120 maximum firing range is 4-5km because it's the limit of line of sight on a flat terrain. Tanks can fling shells far longer than that with enough gun elevation In the future, it can certainly be put onto some kind of a hinge

That's a big thing currently ignored. PAY is a huge, huge motivation even for pressganged privates. Since at least Song dynasty, if the soldier's pay doesn't arrive, the soldier knows he will be disposed off to not to pay government's debts to him. Russia is very successful at suppressing...

https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/russia-can-fight-ukraine-two-more-years-current-intensity-lithuania-says-2023-03-09/ I previously stood on the estimate of 2 years, and 6 months, of which 2 have passed already. Even a tiny state like Lithuania will have more intel analysts working on...

Mosul?

You know, their pres is a literal communist Technicalities missing, both were ethnic Russians whose families lived in Ukraine for a few generations. When people say that CPSU was ran by Ukrainians, they need to say those were Russian-Ukrainians, not Ukrainian-Ukrainians. After the death of...

The matter is, US could've strangled Russian state, or just the government, or political elites months ago, but they didn't. Not saying anything about thousands of tanks in storage, and disused surplus F-16s which USAF uses as aerial targets.

Russian army is weak and punitive. A better way to conceptualise their failings. Extreme focus on punishment for failure results in nobody trying anything risky, bad reporting, bad orders based on wrong reports, junior officers not faithfully executing guaranteed to fail moves, because they...