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Also, what's on Telegrams: a very warm, and dry autumn so far. A full squad surrender

Kharkiv — Russians tried a meager counterattack north of Lyman. Dozen vehicles. 2 tanks got destroyed by upfront welcome with Javelin, the rest spooked away with artillery fire, and drones dropping 40mms. Kherson — more news of very strange events happening in between the trenches

Exactly, the point the guy talks is that the worst thing for Putin is that he will be forced to walk back, and that's all. He will only lose his army, $300B in US banks, and that's all, but Ukraine will have half the country ruined. It will be a very different conversation with B52s above...

They don't lose anything more this way. They know they are f**ked and will have to concede defeat as is, and will be f**ked and forced to concede anyways if US intervenes. But in both cases they walk away with their lives, and some parts of their empire. The right move is to deny them the former.

No, it wouldn't. Like if peepz in Moscow care about their fleet. Instead it will be taken as a tacit "it's OK" nod. At any moment in the last 7 month, Biden could've ended the conflict within 2 weeks by ordering to take out Moscow, and 3-4 remaining top-tier Russian command centres.

Is Shenzhen looked "high" to you, you clearly haven't been to Beijing. Even in the heydays of the universiade, Shenzhen was like ultra-clean compared to the rest of China.

How? They can't deal with tiny Ukrainian army. PAF will pull them to shreds.

Grobachev was a hardcore Marxist, and a hardliner. Only after the crisis broke USSR's back, he did a very sudden 180° turn.

Very strange things are starting to happen in Kherson region. RU soldiers are starting to quietly fraternise with UA solders on the radio, and there been at least 1 confirmed face to face meeting in Oleksandrivka. I think RU force is considering themselves doomed there.

He was actually a hardcore fundamentalist Marxist

Oil for $32 at the time when the rest of the world buys at 100? Good deal. Shame is all oil storage facilities on the coast were already near full since covid

The entirety of Kharkiv offensive was done with totally insufficient level of artillery support. Most villages were taken without any artillery support at all, because they only had enough for attacks on key large cities. They were lucky Russians were in shock, and did not manage to realise...

They still do. From 4:1 to 10:1, but yes, not 25:1 anymore. You guys all seen the mountains of expended shell casings they left after themselves in Kharkiv region. When they ran from Kharkiv, the only thing they tried evacuating was their arty. And they left almost everything else, including...

China lost 20% of its land to colonizers, of which 84% to Russia, and 15% to Japanese. British, French, Spanish, Germans, Dutch taken together barely amounted to 1%. They mostly sat in their concession ports, and did nothing. Now, Japanese are kicked out of China, but Zhongnanhai galaxy brains...

Lyman will cut 1 logistic line for Russian force assaulting Bakhmut, but at least 1 more will remain. In private TG channels of wellwishers, there are quiet whispers of noticeable UA losses from Russia's still overwhelming artillery advantage supporting them from the south. 1 advantage of...

A perfect move would've been to actually raid Bilgorod, and hook around through Russian territory, but again, Ukraine is fighting with scraps for a battlefield of this size. They are torn in between concentrating forces like they did East of Kharkiv, and pursuing other easy battles. Right now...

Take a note, non-KE AT gun massively outranges APFSDS at this calibre. Another take from Ukraine: modern MBTs are reliably killed by side shots even by WW2 period 85mm field guns. There been few videos of D-44 field guns destroying T80s (which have side skirts with ERA, and thicker slabs of...

Everything happened exactly as I predicted Even if there were no Truss, just anybody of white contestants would've stood a head above Rishi. Rishi = Wall St. faction of Tories — more cosmopolitan, and utilitarian, but too bad, there is no Wall street in London.

Yes, he will, his is on a finishing lap. Besides a status quo staying on Shanghai, and the South, there been no setbacks for him. Jiang cad die any day now, unless he lives past 100. South will be next if Shanghai crumbles

Western supplies to Ukraine are still extremely restrained. Artillery is a particular concern. The coalition has barely supplied 1 million shells, and just ~250 new tubes in total. Fancy toys like Excalibur, and Bonus definitely do help, but they burn through them like candies. UA army spends...