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‘Rublegas:’ the world’s new resource-based reserve currency

Nan Yang

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‘Rublegas:’ the world’s new resource-based reserve currency

Rublegas is the commodity currency du jour and it isn’t nearly as complicated as NATO pretends. If Europe wants gas, all it needs to do is send its Euros to a Russian account inside Russia.​

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By Pepe Escobar
April 01 2022

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The Russian ruble is sitting pretty right now, having regained its pre-sanctions value and set to become a major commodity currency. Photo Credit: The Cradle


Saddam, Gaddafi, Iran, Venezuela – they all tried but couldn’t do it. But Russia is on a different level altogether.

The beauty of the game-changing, gas-for-rubles, geoeconomic jujitsu applied by Moscow is its stark simplicity.

Russian President Vladimir Putin’s presidential decree on new payment terms for energy products, predictably, was misunderstood by the collective west. The Russian government is not exactly demanding straightforward payment for gas in rubles. What Moscow wants is to be paid at Gazprombank in Russia, in its currency of choice, and not at a Gazprom account in any banking institution in western capitals.

That’s the essence of less-is-more sophistication. Gazprombank will sell the foreign currency – dollars or euros – deposited by their customers on the Moscow Stock Exchange and credit it to different accounts in rubles within Gazprombank.

What this means in practice is that foreign currency should be sent directly to Russia, and not accumulated in a foreign bank – where it can easily be held hostage, or frozen, for that matter.

All these transactions from now on should be transferred to a Russian jurisdiction – thus eliminating the risk of payments being interrupted or outright blocked.

It’s no wonder the subservient European Union (EU) apparatus – actively engaged in destroying their own national economies on behalf of Washington’s interests – is intellectually unequipped to understand the complex matter of exchanging euros into rubles.
Gazprom made things easier this Friday, sending official notifications to its counterparts in the west and Japan.
Putin himself was forced to explain in writing to German Chancellor Olaf Scholz how it all works.

Once again, very simple: Customers open an account with Gazprombank in Russia. Payments are made in foreign currency – dollars or euros – converted into rubles according to the current exchange rate, and transferred to different Gazprom accounts.
Thus it is 100 percent guaranteed that Gazprom will be paid.

That’s in stark contrast to what the United States was forcing the Europeans to do: pay for Russian gas in Gazprom accounts in Europe, which would then be instantly frozen. These accounts would only be unblocked with the end of Operation Z, Russia’s military ops in Ukraine.

Yet the Americans want the war to go on indefinitely, to “bog down” Moscow as if this was Afghanistan in the 1980s, and have strictly forbidden the Ukrainian Comedian in front of a green screen somewhere – certainly not Kiev – to accept any ceasefire or peace deal.

So Gazprom accounts in Europe would continue to be frozen.

As Scholz was still trying to understand the obvious, his economic minions went berserk, floating the idea of nationalizing Gazprom’s subsidiaries – Gazprom Germania and Wingas – in case Russia decides to halt the gas flow.

This is ridiculous. It’s as if Berlin functionaries believe that Gazprom subsidiaries produce natural gas in centrally heated offices across Germany.

The new rubles-for-gas mechanism does not in any way violate existing contracts. Yet, as Putin warned, existing contracts may indeed be stopped: “If such [ruble] payments are not made, we will consider this to be the buyers’ failure to perform commitments with all ensuing implications.”

Kremlin spokesman Dmitri Peskov was adamant that the mechanism will not be reversed under the current, dire circumstances. Still that does not mean that the gas flow would be instantly cut off. Payment in rubles will be expected from ‘The Unfriendlies’ – a list of hostile states that includes mostly the US, Canada, Japan and the EU – in the second half of April and early May.

For the overwhelming majority of the Global South, the overarching Big Picture is crystal clear: an Atlanticist oligarchy is refusing to buy the Russian gas essential to the wellbeing of the population of Europe, while fully engaged in the weaponization of toxic inflation rates against the same population.

Beyond Rublegas

This gas-for-rubles mechanism – call it Rublegas – is just the first concrete building block in the construction of an alternative financial/monetary system, in tandem with many other mechanisms: ruble-rupee trade; the Saudi petroyuan; the Iran-Russia SWIFT- bypassing mechanism; and the most important of all, the China-Eurasia Economic Union (EAEU) design of a comprehensive financial/monetary system, with the first draft to be presented in the next few days.

And all of the above is directly linked to the stunning emergence of the ruble as a new, resource-based reserve currency.

After the predictable initial stages of denial, the EU – actually, Germany – must face reality. The EU depends on steady supplies of Russian gas (40 percent) and oil (25 percent). The sanction hysteria has already engineered certified blowback.

Natural gas accounts for 50 percent of the needs of Germany’s chemical and pharmaceutical industries. There’s no feasible replacement, be it from Algeria, Norway, Qatar or Turkmenistan. Germany is the EU’s industrial powerhouse. Only Russian gas is capable of keeping the German – and European – industrial base humming and at very affordable prices in case of long-term contracts.

Disrupt this set up and you have horrifying turbulence across the EU and beyond.

The inimitable Andrei Martyanov has summed it up this way: “Only two things define the world: the actual physical economy, and military power, which is its first derivative. Everything else are derivatives but you cannot live on derivatives.”

The American turbo-capitalist casino believes its own derivative “narrative” – which has nothing to do with the real economy. The EU will eventually be forced by reality to move from denial to acceptance. Meanwhile, the Global South will be fast adapting to the new paradigm: the Davos Great Reset has been shattered by the Russian Reset.
 
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Europe is not the world.

But Europe soon will need rubles wherever they can get it (Russia) if they want to keep buying Russian gas.

And that make economic sanctions to Russia imposible.

I think arrogant and corrupt EU leaders will prefer economic self destruction than refuse the economic sanctions or pay gas in rubles.
 
Putin seems to know more about finances and economic than led to believe. :agree:
 

Is The Russian Ruble About To Become A Gold Standard Currency?

April 3, 2022 9:00 AM

Did Russia’s central bank just upend the entire global monetary system and unilaterally use the West’s sanctions to its advantage and link the ruble to the gold standard?

Certainly that would be unimaginable, because Washington’s sanctions were designed to choke off any life to Russia’s financial system to the point that it can no longer sustain the war in Ukraine, let alone its own economy. However, it appears that Moscow may have outsmarted the West again— or at least the Biden administration failed to think even one step ahead, because Russia’s central bank is now one step closer to transitioning into the gold standard, all thanks to Washington’s crude and gold trade restrictions.


Shortly after Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, the US and its allies decided to restrict Russia’s sale of gold reservesto foreign buyers, and slap secondary sanctions on any American entities making transactions in, or selling gold in the country. The move undoubtedly was aimed at preventing Russia from dipping into its last remaining lifeline to circumvent crippling sanctions, while its domestic currency is sent spiralling to historic lows.

But, here’s what’s actually happening, and why Washington has once again failed to recognize loopholes in its heaping sanction sandwich: shortly after the US blocked gold-related transactions with the Bank of Russia, the central bank announced it would start purchasing gold from domestic banks at 5,000 rubles per gram— and yes we are getting the IKEA commercial vibes, and no it’s not a mistake— it is a steal of a deal! But why would the banks be inclined to sell gold at such low rates unless their arm is twisted and they are forced to do so?

When the west sanctioned Moscow’s gold, it inadvertently created an arbitrage opportunity, whereby Russian gold becomes significantly cheaper than its foreign counterpart due to lack of outside market demand, particularly given the consequences of being caught buying the precious metal from Russia. Simply put, if the sanction sandwich is preventing you from selling your bullion reserves to foreign investors and all of a sudden the Bank of Russia comes along and offers to buy the gold at a slightly lower discount, you would happily sell because you are still making a premium.

And, its a win-win for Russia’s central bank, because it’s now boosting its gold reserves, subsequently upholding the ruble, and given that gold is traded in US dollars, setting a price floor for the ruble with respect to the US dollar. The next move for Russia is to boost foreign demand for its currency, which Putin did by instructing “unfriendly” nations to pay for Russian natural gas in rubles. Eventually, the initial discount of 5000 rubles per gram of gold will turn into a premium for the central bank, which in turn will strengthen the flow of gold into Russia from international markets, just as the domestic supplies start becoming depleted.

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Still, Russia will ultimately have to liquidate some of its gold, otherwise how else would the country pay for the goods and services it needs? Well, not necessarily— all the central bank would have to do is proclaim the ruble as a substitute for gold at a determined exchange rate ie., the gold standard. However, before transitioning its entire economy, Russia must first ensure it has adequate gold reserves, which it is precisely doing right now by taking advantage of the arbitrage inadvertently created by Washington’s sanctions.

The real money question at the heart of this theme is how did the Biden administration and its allies not anticipate for such a scenario to play out? Simple: because the West’s myopic thought process is fixated on devaluing Russian gold with the hopes of limiting the amount of stuff the country can buy with it. In fact, Washington is so infatuated with preventing Russia from selling gold that it’s completely forgetting that gold ismoney, rather than the fiat paper created by a few strokes on the Fed’s keyboard that only has value in the first place because it can be traded for gold.


So, what does this mean for the ruble, gold, the US dollar? For starters, with Russia linking the ruble to gold and then linking payments for commodity exports to the ruble, the central bank is essentially shifting the entire paradigm of global trade, whilst fundamentally altering the global monetary arrangement as we know it. If countries begin accepting Putin’s terms of using rubles for commodity payments, Russia’s ruble could shore up substantial demand and quickly become a major global currency.


Simultaneously, the move would also boost the global demand for gold, while shift demand away from the US dollar amid increased commodity trade in other currencies. Could this be… the coming of a new world order?

 

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