wolfschanzze
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What's happening resurgence of lalu nitish and congress in bypolls?
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wolfschanzze
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2999 post
wolfschanzze
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I see bjp leading some in Bihar what's the situation? BTW 3000 posts Mubarak ho
IndoCarib
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poor turn out and minority votes may have favored Lalu-Nitish alliance
Star Wars
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IndoCarib
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Modi Opponents in Bihar Should Hold Their Euphoria
With the NDA only winning four seats and the grand coalition picking up six, the results, on the surface at least, suggest the Nitish-Lalu strategy has paid off. The BJP, too, is likely to take some comfort from the fact that it held on to four. But in analyzing what these results portend for Bihar and India, it is important to bear in mind four essential facts.
First, the turnout for the by-elections, at around 44 per cent, is considerably less than what the related parliamentary constituencies registered a few months ago. While it is tempting to see the results as a vote of no-confidence in the Modi government and its policies, the low turnout and the local nature of the contests are reasons to be cautious.
Second, since the cult-like personality of Narendra Modi did not loom large in the by-elections and voters would have acted on local compulsions, the results reflect a reversion to a more 'normal' performance by the BJP. In other words, four out of 10 seats is what the BJP can hope to win in Bihar without the added impetus of the 'Modi wave'. For the party's state leadership, this is surely not good news.
Third, the fact that the actual results in the 10 seats did not reflect the arithmetical advantage that the 2014 elections predicted - the BJP won three seats (Narkatiaganj, Banka and Mohania) where it had polled less than what the RJD/INC/JDU alliance polled individually - tells us that RJD and JD(U) votes do not transfer from one ally to the other that easily. With the state going to the polls in 2015, this reluctance of party supporters to do what their leaders want them to is likely to trouble both Lalu and Nitish.
Fourth, it is worth remembering what happened in 2009, when the NDA (which consisted of JD(U) and BJP at the time) was able to win only five out of the 18 Assembly seats which had by-elections, down from a tally of 12. But by the time the 2010 Assembly elections came around, the NDA comprehensively trounced the opposition. What this means is that by-elections, at least in Bihar, are not necessarily a good barometer for gauging underlying political trends across the state.
With the NDA only winning four seats and the grand coalition picking up six, the results, on the surface at least, suggest the Nitish-Lalu strategy has paid off. The BJP, too, is likely to take some comfort from the fact that it held on to four. But in analyzing what these results portend for Bihar and India, it is important to bear in mind four essential facts.
First, the turnout for the by-elections, at around 44 per cent, is considerably less than what the related parliamentary constituencies registered a few months ago. While it is tempting to see the results as a vote of no-confidence in the Modi government and its policies, the low turnout and the local nature of the contests are reasons to be cautious.
Second, since the cult-like personality of Narendra Modi did not loom large in the by-elections and voters would have acted on local compulsions, the results reflect a reversion to a more 'normal' performance by the BJP. In other words, four out of 10 seats is what the BJP can hope to win in Bihar without the added impetus of the 'Modi wave'. For the party's state leadership, this is surely not good news.
Third, the fact that the actual results in the 10 seats did not reflect the arithmetical advantage that the 2014 elections predicted - the BJP won three seats (Narkatiaganj, Banka and Mohania) where it had polled less than what the RJD/INC/JDU alliance polled individually - tells us that RJD and JD(U) votes do not transfer from one ally to the other that easily. With the state going to the polls in 2015, this reluctance of party supporters to do what their leaders want them to is likely to trouble both Lalu and Nitish.
Fourth, it is worth remembering what happened in 2009, when the NDA (which consisted of JD(U) and BJP at the time) was able to win only five out of the 18 Assembly seats which had by-elections, down from a tally of 12. But by the time the 2010 Assembly elections came around, the NDA comprehensively trounced the opposition. What this means is that by-elections, at least in Bihar, are not necessarily a good barometer for gauging underlying political trends across the state.
wolfschanzze
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I see Congress people are happy about wresting 1 seat and are going gung-ho on twitter.
Bjp should wake up from the festive mood after may 16.Time to concentrate on elections or else its again back to Secular politics and Lalu and others ruling the country.
BJP needs to WIN J&k, Maharasthra this year anywhow,
Abingdonboy
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New member will come from states that is going for election and will form BJP govt., not otherwise. And that is how it should be.
Juggernautjatt
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Hate-mongering statements by RSS might be the reason for decline of BJPs popularity among minorities.
......since when ? 
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