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||Your Election Prediction||

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PTI 75
PML 75
PPP 40
MQM 15
MMA 10

PML+PPP will form the federal government
 
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.which party dont contest election.s and win everytime..????

There is more than Army all the time.

See to form new govt in Pakistan, you have to PASS TWO important criterion :

1) Perform well economical wise
2) Must be in "OK" books, if not good, of Army establishment.

In 2008-13, PPP were ok for Army since Zardari was smart enough not to confront this powerful institution of Pakistan despite of Hussain Haqqani appointment and his visa issues regarding CIA agents into Pakistan. PPP Govt backed Army after OBL fiasco. But there performance was really abysmal when it comes to economy. People clearly voted them out without any interference of any institution. Their degradation as a major national party to regional one, was genuine.

Now coming to 2013-18 PMLN era, well they performed relatively well as far as economy was concerned, though in the last part of their Govt, rise of dollar and circular debts has put a stain on their overall performance now. Coming to second major criteria, of relations with Army establishment, has been shocking. PML-N Govt needlessly indicated Army's hand during 'failed' dharnas of Imran Khan when Raheel Sharif was busy in Operation Zarb-e-Azm. Had Army had to do something than their govt would had been folded up in first 2 weeks of the dharnas. Later, the killer blow was again maligning army through Dawn Leaks. Actually Nawaz Sharif thinks like a dumb king, who wants everyone to obey him at any cost. He didn't learnt from his mistake when he tried to took on Supreme Court by removing one of the SC judge Sajjad Ali Shah that time and after his last year court's sentence, he has completely came out against Army which is hurting PML-N big time. Once July 25 elections gets over, you will see a prominent forward block in PML-N and rift within the party with no Nawaz Sharif around.

As far as PTI is concerned, they are in 'Good' (better than ok) books of Army but they are facing uphill task of fixing this fragile economy. They didn't do bad in KP with major reforms in police, health and education system but governing entire country is whole different ball game.
 
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For me:

Punjab:
PTI: 65
PMLN: 60
PPP: 4-5
IND/MMA/PML-Q/Rest: 25-30

Sindh:
PPP: 28-30
GDA: 8
PTI: 5
PMLN: 2
MQM-P: 9
PSP: 3-4
IND/MMA/Others: 5-6

KPK:
PTI: 28
MMA: 8-10
PML-N: 1-2
ANP: 3
PPP: 1-2
IND/FATA/Others: 10-12

Baluchistan:
BNP/BAP/IND/Others: 8-10
MMA: 3-4
PTI: 1
PML-N: 1

Federal Capital
PTI: 3
PML-N: 0

Final Result:

Major parties/alliance:

PTI: 103+2 Sheikh rasheed
PMLN : 65
PPP : 36
MMA : 16
MQM-P: 9
GDA: 8
PSP: 3
ANP: 3
PML-Q : 3
Others(IND/BNP/AML/etc): 55+
 
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Next government will be of PTI, in coalition with the army.
Stop this boring debate.
 
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There is more than Army all the time.

See to form new govt in Pakistan, you have to PASS TWO important criterion :

1) Perform well economical wise
2) Must be in "OK" books, if not good, of Army establishment.

In 2008-13, PPP were ok for Army since Zardari was smart enough not to confront this powerful institution of Pakistan despite of Hussain Haqqani appointment and his visa issues regarding CIA agents into Pakistan. PPP Govt backed Army after OBL fiasco. But there performance was really abysmal when it comes to economy. People clearly voted them out without any interference of any institution. Their degradation as a major national party to regional one, was genuine.

Now coming to 2013-18 PMLN era, well they performed relatively well as far as economy was concerned, though in the last part of their Govt, rise of dollar and circular debts has put a stain on their overall performance now. Coming to second major criteria, of relations with Army establishment, has been shocking. PML-N Govt needlessly indicated Army's hand during 'failed' dharnas of Imran Khan when Raheel Sharif was busy in Operation Zarb-e-Azm. Had Army had to do something than their govt would had been folded up in first 2 weeks of the dharnas. Later, the killer blow was again maligning army through Dawn Leaks. Actually Nawaz Sharif thinks like a dumb king, who wants everyone to obey him at any cost. He didn't learnt from his mistake when he tried to took on Supreme Court by removing one of the SC judge Sajjad Ali Shah that time and after his last year court's sentence, he has completely came out against Army which is hurting PML-N big time. Once July 25 elections gets over, you will see a prominent forward block in PML-N and rift within the party with no Nawaz Sharif around.

As far as PTI is concerned, they are 'Good' (better than ok) books of Army but they are facing uphill task of fixing this fragile economy. They didn't do bad in KP with major reforms in police, health and education system but governing entire country is whole different ball game.
Ask the chinese... 62 billions$$..
Who the boss is in pakistan....
1.6billions$$ just for orange train...which shabaz had to beg the chinese.for lahore..for political gains...

Running rate of corruption.. 10%

If 5/6 billions go missing...who cares....
The only party that can safeguard the OBAR.... one bail. One ruin.
Is army...
The rest of the country is real state of gamma jee..
Bharia.defence..safari.s and condo.s
Ahhumdolillah sub humareah hain
 
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Ask the chinese... 62 billions$$..
Who the boss is in pakistan....
1.6billions$$ just for orange train...which shabaz had to beg the chinese.for lahore..for political gains...

Running rate of corruption.. 10%

If 5/6 billions go missing...who cares....
The only party that can safeguard the OBAR.... one bail. One ruin.
Is army...
The rest of the country is real state of gamma jee..
Bharia.defence..safari.s and condo.s
Ahhumdolillah sub humareah hain

Yes for now, Army is indeed a major stakeholder behind back. No denying to that but with consecutive civilian Govts finishing their tenure by ending up on a higher note, Army involvement will become redundant itself. When i say higher note, it means performing well economical wise. People should remember their performance while voting them next time around. Sadly, people remember them as corrupt, ill-performed leaders. Did Army told them NOT to perform well ? is army responsible for Rs 130 dollar, did army made Zardari as Mr 10%...richer is getting richer while poorer as poor.

@Champion_Usmani @Tameem

Your prediction also required.
 
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Yes for now, Army is indeed a major stakeholder behind back. No denying to that but with consecutive civilian Govts finishing their tenure by ending up on a higher note, Army involvement will become redundant itself. When i say higher note, it means performing well economical wise. People should remember their performance while voting them next time around. Sadly, people remember them as corrupt, ill-performed leaders. Did Army told them NOT to perform well ? is army responsible for Rs 130 dollar, did army made Zardari as Mr 10%...richer is getting richer while poorer as poor.

@Champion_Usmani @Tameem

Your prediction also required.
I predict... merry go round for another 5 yrs...
Muscial chair will be played as always ......
The bigger the boot--bigger the loot
...lutoo. khutoo and phutoo. ...
 
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Imo,
N league# 80-90
Pti# 70-80
Ppp# 35-40
All other parties will get their proportion.
I think people in power have also calculated the outcomes after the election and they must have considered about the response to the concerns being raised about the transparency of the election and for this they should be thinking that if both status quo parties get the share which shows no favor to Any party then these allegations can be countered so in my theory these numbers fit the table.
 
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