Very glad to see other Chinese poster going on this.All in all, US/EU has a stronger stance, they would rather wait for post Erdogan era to amend the relationship.
In a decade or so, there will be a complete sea change is coming in, well, many things. In China, and abroad.
None of the current wave of big mouth rightist leaders have solid contingency plans, or none at all.
Even if they are not going to kick the bucket, in a decade or so they are going to be lame ducks within their own establishment, isolated, with new cadres running circles around them.
For Tayyip, it makes no difference if Gul—Davutoğlu + new upstarts axis can push him out to of power directly, or by leaving Tayyip no alternative on cadre appointments, and allies on political arena. His relationship with army may sour too, given the irony that the military faction that supported him were all more rightist than he himself was.
Xi will be stuck with current cohort of 40 something upstarts as his lieutenants, wants he or not, if he is to stay in power. And if he isn't, those guys can come to the apex of power themselves. Can imagine, that will be intense.
For Putin, don't know how it will play out. Obvious thing that the clock is ticking on his ambitions. If he is to kick the bucket, I doubt that the following president will loose an opportunity to do a U-turn in face of shrinking treasury, and ex-Putin lieutenants either deserting, or wanting to take seize power.
For the EU, the götterdämmerung of old political powers is coming, which is evident right now. The post-war pan-EU social-democrat domination will face crisis of succession. For Germany, a new leader of social-democrat camp will have to outshine Merkel if he is to come from it. An unlikely scenario. For France, the last three presidents have basically buried the post-war political establishment. Britain, I believe, will also be in a decade of rapid power successions like France.
As for USA, it's up to a god knows what shake. Invariably of the election outcomes, prepare for 4 more years of weak presidency, and mess. And the presidency after the next term, may well be a weak one. Biden will unlikely run for the second term because of both age, and me not seeing his ratings holding with his marbles going. A giant amount of post-war veteran politicians, and bureaucrats are set to retire in coming years, so expect that not seeing just any same face past the next term.
Pretty much the last remainings of the post-war political order will say bye bye in this decade
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